So I didn't put my picks up last week due to the Thanksgiving holiday, for week 11 I went 9-6-1, which is respectable. I am feeling very confident this week as the games seem to be slightly easier then in weeks past. With that said I am sure I will go under .500 this week. Here we go...
Record to date (52-42-3)
Houston at Philadelphia (-9) - Houston Texans - The Eagles are coming off a very difficult loss and are on short rest against the visiting Texans. I believe the Eagles will win this game but 9 points is a bit too much for my liking so I will take the Texans with the points.
Jacksonville at Tennessee (no line) - Jacksonville Jaguars - Not sure why there is no line for this game but even if there was I would still take Jacksonville whether they were favorited or not. Tennessee is in a world of hurt right now with a rookie quarterback who looks like a rookie quarterback leading their team. Should be an easy win for the Jaguars.
Denver at Kansas City (-9) - Kansas City Chiefs - Although this is a pretty large line, I really like the way Kansas City is playing and the Broncos have not been putting up a fight lately. I think the Chiefs will take care of business and easily cover the 9.
Washington at New York Giants (-7) - Washington Redskins - Seven points is a lot to give up in a heated divisional rivalry game so I will take the points and the Redskins. They lost a tough game to the Vikings last week but I still think they can compete and will keep the game close.
Chicago at Detroit (+3.5) - Detroit Lions - I think the Bears are poised for a letdown game this week and Detroit has played almost all of its opponents tough this year. I like the Lions straight up this game so I will definitely take the 3 and half points and take the Lions.
Atlanta at Tampa Bay (+3) - Atlanta Falcons - I can almost say the same thing about the Falcons as I did about the Bears, this could be a letdown game for them. I also believe that the Falcons are a much more complete team than the Bears and they will not allow the Buccaneers to be overlooked. I will give the 3 and take the Falcons.
New Orleans at Cincinnati (+7) - New Orleans Saints - This line seems way too low to me. The Bengals season is over and they have looked absolutely terrible at times this season. The Saints are playing the best football they have played all year. If they were giving 14 I would still take the Saints.
Buffalo at Minnesota (-6) - Buffalo Bills - The Bills are the best one win team in the history of the NFL through 12 weeks. This game will be close and could go either way. With that said I will take the points and the Bills all day long.
Cleveland at Miami (-4.5) - Cleveland Browns - I have been riding the Browns for over a month now and I they haven't been proving me right. I am going to ride them for one more week. I think they can win this game against the Dolphins because Miami is not very good against the run. Give me the 4 and a half points and I will take the Browns.
San Francisco at Green Bay (-10) - Green Bay Packers - San Francisco is one of those teams that I cannot get a read on this year. Green Bay is coming off a brutal last minute loss to the Falcons and they will be ready for the 49ers. I think this game could get out of hand fast so I will give the 10 and take the Packers.
Oakland at San Diego (-13) - San Diego Chargers - The fact that this is the biggest line of the week really surprises me. I know San Diego is playing well but 13 points in a pivotal division showdown seems like a lot. With that said I think San Diego is playing that good right now and I will give up the 13 and take the Chargers.
St. Louis at Arizona (+3.5) - St. Louis Rams - Arizona is a really bad team right now having lost 6 games in a row. St. Louis has a real shot at winning the NFC West and I think they will be ready for this game and will take care of business. I will give the 3 and a half and take the Rams.
Dallas at Indianapolis (-5.5) - Dallas Cowboys - This is my upset pick of the week. Dallas is coming off an extra few days of rest and a loss against the Saints. I think they will play the Colts close and could pull out a win against an extremely depleted Indianapolis team. I will take the 5 and a half points and take the Cowboys.
Carolina at Seattle (-6) - Seattle Seahawks - To be honest, I have no idea who to take in this game. The Panthers showed some signs of life last week and the Seahawks are the most up and down team in the NFL. I will give the points and take Seattle only because they are at home.
Pittsburgh at Baltimore (even) - Baltimore Ravens - Game of the week #1, I like the way the Ravens are playing right now, their defense has been steady and improved. On the other hand, Pittsburgh has been struggling lately even though they have been winning. It is very hard to beat a team in your division twice in a season but I am going to go out on a limb and take the Ravens.
New York Jets at New England (-3.5) - New York Jets - Game of the week #2. This is the biggest game of the week and should allow the winner to get home field advantage in the AFC playoffs. New England's defense has been too inconsistent this year for me to be willing to give up 3 and a half points so I will take the Jets and enjoy watching this Monday night game.
There are my week 13 picks ATS. Check back next week to see how I did.
Don't forget to visit my NFL picks site at www.moleandmeares.com where we have a weekly video talking about the four biggest games of the week. We also have a place for you to submit your picks for week 11 straight up for a chance to win our weekly prize! Good Luck!