Blog Entry

NFL Wildcard Playoff Picks

Posted on: January 6, 2011 10:12 am
Edited on: January 7, 2011 4:02 pm
 
The playoffs are finally here!  This is my favorite time of the year, there is nothing like playoff NFL football.  Wildcard weekend will feature 4 games, 3 of which have a spread of 3 or less points.  The home teams are favored in all but one of the close spread games and normally Vegas gives the home team three points so Vegas is basically saying those two games are pick'ems.  I finished the season above .500 against the spread but barely.  This is my time to shine and I am predicting I will have a better than .800 record during the playoffs.  Let's get down to business...here we go...

Saturday, January 8th - 4:30 PM - New Orleans Saints (-10.5) at Seattle Seahawks - Mole & Meares Show Pick - Seattle Seahawks

At first blush this line seems really big, especially considering both Pierre Thomas and Chris Ivory are done for the season.  The Saints running game will have to rely heavily on Julius Jones and Reggie Bush to step up or they will become one dimensional for the entire playoffs.  The Saints will win this game, especially considering the quarterback situation with the Seahawks.  Both Hasselbeck and Whitehurst have been sharing reps in practice this week meaning they have yet to decide on who will start the game.  I am not confident that the Saints will cover the spread though, mainly due to Seattle being at home and the Saints having to rely heavily on the pass.  I will take the points and take the Seahawks to cover.

Saturday, January 8th - 8:20 PM - New York Jets at Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) - Mole & Meares Show Pick  - New York Jets

This game is a rematch of last year's AFC Championship game where the Colts came out on top.  This is a completely different Colts team who, although they have won four straight games, is no where near the caliber of team they were last year.  Injuries have taken their toll on both sides of the ball and if it wasn't for Peyton Manning the Colts would have been 4-12 this year.  I like the matchup of the Jets defense against a depleted Colts offense and although I don't think the Jets will put up many points I believe they will put up enough to win this game outright.  I will take the two and a half points and take the Jets to win on the road.

Sunday, January 9th - 1:00 PM - Baltimore Ravens (-3) at Kansas City Chiefs - Mole & Meares Show Pick - Baltimore Ravens

There are a lot of factors going in the Chiefs favor in this game.  First they are 7-1 at Arrowhead stadium this year which is a very difficult place for opposing teams to play.  Second, they are basically playing with house money as no one expected them to be in the playoffs this year let alone host a first round game.  Third, they have the leading rusher in the NFL this season in Jamal Charles.  With all of that said I believe experience is going to play a huge role in this game.  The Ravens have been here before and they know how to win a road playoff game in a hostile environment.  The Ravens offense is much improved from a year ago with new weapons at the wide receiver position and Ray Rice can bruise opposing defenses with the run.   The Ravens defense will need to find away to shut down Charles and force Cassel to beat them through the air which I don't believe he can do.  I will give the three points and take the Ravens on the road.

Sunday, January 9th - 4:30 PM - Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) - Mole & Meares Show Pick - Philadelphia Eagles

This is the marquee game of the weekend.  The Green Bay Packers were a lot of people's preseason pick to represent the NFC in the Superbowl.  Since then they have been decimated with injuries but have found a way to make it to the playoffs.  Aaron Rodgers is having a great season when he is able to stay healthy and on the field.  The Packers have absolutely no running game and are basically a one dimensional team.  The Philadelphia Eagles, on the other hand, were not on anyone's radar before the start of the season, they were supposed to be in a rebuilding year.  But Michael Vick has proven he can still play quarterback and is perhaps playing better than when he was in Atlanta.  Even though the Eagles defense has been brutal this year I believe they can game plan accordingly for a team that is only going to throw the ball.  The x factor in this game is Vick, can the Packers contain him and keep him bottled up?  I like the Eagles to pull this one out at home so I will give the two and a half points and take Philadelphia.

There you have it, my wildcard playoff game picks against the spread.  I have a good feeling that I am going to get off to a great start in this year's playoffs.  Do you see the games going differently?  Let me know by leaving a comment below.  Also, on my site, www.moleandmeares.com, we are running a playoff contest for a chance to win a great prize.  You have to pick the participants in both the AFC and NFC championship games, the teams in the Superbowl and the eventual Superbowl winner.  Make sure to sign up before Saturday and Good Luck!

Mole & Meares
Comments

Since: Dec 27, 2010
Posted on: January 10, 2011 8:58 am
 

NFL Wildcard Playoff Picks

.750 on the first weekend is tremedous seeing how the games played out. Sorry about your Eagles. That game had me very fooled while the others went as expected. I still can't believe Green Bay beat them. I can't believe Akers missed those FGs even with the wind, he is usually automatic. Looking forward to next weeks picks and very interested in the line and your pick on the Jets and Patriots game as well as the Steelers and Ravens game. At this point I'm thinking the AFC is a shoe-in for winning the Superbowl unless Atlanta romps through their two games.



Since: Jan 7, 2011
Posted on: January 7, 2011 1:57 pm
 

NFL Wildcard Playoff Picks

I believe Saints will win against the Seahawks, no doubt about it.  As far as the NY Jets and Indianapolis goes I believe Indianapolis is going to win that game.  Ravens and Chiefs....well, Im a little skeptical on this one.  Even though Ravens have Ray Rice Im hoping Chiefs pull ahead and win.  And not but least, Packers and Eagles....well, I have to say I think the Eagles are going to win this game.



Since: Sep 11, 2010
Posted on: January 6, 2011 7:40 pm
 

NFL Wildcard Playoff Picks

THE PLAY OFFS ARE HERE, LOOK FOR NEW OREANS TO COVER, TOO MUCH DEFENSE, YES I SAID IT TOO MUCH DEFENSE THE SAINTS DEFENSE HAS GOTTEN BETTER AND BETTER AS THE YEAR PASSED, YES LESS TURN OVERS, BECAUSE TEAM KNOW WHAT WILL HAPPEN IF THEY DO, ALSO 3RD DOWN PCT DOWN TEAMS IN LONGER SITUATIONS, IF DREW CAN MANAGE NOT TO TURNTHE BALL OVER, THIS GAME COULD BE OVER EARLY.

EMOTION WILL BE HIGH IN KC, BUT A OLDER BALTIMORE SHOULD BE THERE AT THE END.

PACKERS AND EAGLES, ITS A QUESTION OF WHICH TEAM WILL SHOW UP, FOR BOTH. LOOK FOR THE PACKERS TO JUMP OUT, BY HSLF TIME IT WILL BE CLOSE, FROM THERE WHITCH DEFENSE GIVES UP THE BIG PLAY, EAGLES BY 3 IN THE END.


JETS SHUT UP, I DONT KNOW WHO WILL SHOW UP, I DONT LIKE YOUNG QBS IN PLAY OFFS, AND PAYTON HAS SHOWN UP IN THE PLAY OFFS LATELY, TAKE THE COLTS.



Since: Dec 6, 2007
Posted on: January 6, 2011 11:28 am
 

NFL Wildcard Playoff Picks

@Gus-3 - To be honest I am still on the fence on the GB/Philly game...I am a huge Philly fan but this matchup just isn't sitting right with me.   The only way the Eagles win is if they can find a way to outscore the Packers which I definitely think is possible.  I would be surprised if Green Bay puts up less than 28 points.  If you blitz Rodgers you leave your self open for him to pick you apart and the Eagles secondary is not very good, giving up the most pass touchdowns this season.  But if you don't get any pressure on him he will pick you apart also.  The Bears found a way to contain him last week but in the end he still found a way to win.  Vick, Jackson and Maclin need to have big games but honestly, the key to victory is probably Shady McCoy.  If he gets 20 rushes the Eagles win, guaranteed.



Since: Dec 27, 2010
Posted on: January 6, 2011 11:14 am
 

NFL Wildcard Playoff Picks

I concur on this weeks predictions. Seems it took 2 days to change your opinioin of the GB/Philly game. According to your rankings I thought you would be picking GB but upon further review I agree with game analysis. Good insight and good luck with trying for .800. I'll be lucky to get 3 games correct against the spread. Thus, I never bet money on games.


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