Blog Entry

Compare 4 Top teams: Syracuse, Texas, UK, and KU

Posted on: December 17, 2009 2:41 pm
 
OK, don't know what happened to the last try, but here it is again (I hope)

OK! Internet sites don't seem to like anyone pasting from Excel, so I'll do this manually...Hope it works this way!


I've looked at KenPom.com....his site has lots of useful numbers...go check it out!

So all of the rating #'s are from his site.

I'm comparing Syracuse, Texas, UK, and KU...so if it gets somewhat garbled, remember, every first stat or team relates to Syracuse, while every 2nd byte relates to Texas, and so on:


                                 Syracuse                 Texas              UK                  KU

KenPom Rating                    5                        1                44                   2

KenPom SOS                    256                     242              269                 301

Record                            10-0                    9-0               10-0                9-0

# of opponents
rated over 100                    6                         6                 8                    8

Best four opp's
to-date:
                                   Cal #9                   Pitt #59       Conn #32       Memp #7
                                   UofF 28                 LBSt 82        UNC 44           Hofst 108
                                   UNC 44                  WCar 86      Stanf 119        LaSal 120
                                   Corn 65                 USC 124      IU  168           UCLA 145

Next worst
Opp to-date:                Columb 194           Rice 165       Mia, OH 174    Oakl  148

to their 18th
gm - Opp's
rated > 100                      3                          4                    5                    1

Best 4 Opp's
to 18th game:
                                   WVU #4                  KSt #17         UofF #28        Cal #9
                                   Memp 7                 MichSt 21        Lville 66         Tenn 11
                                   SHall 49                 TA&M 34         LBSt 82          Temp 31
                                   Pitt 59                   UNC 44           Aub 114         TTech 50

Some stats:

Adj. Offensive
Efficiency:                         #11                    #17               #44                #2

Def Effic:                           #8                       #1               #70                #7

Effective FG%:
Team                         62.2 [#1]               56.5 [#12]         54.8 [#25]     58.3 [#6]
Opp                           42.1 [#14]             34.8 [#1]           45.1 [#74]     38.2 [#2]

3 pt FG%                    41.1                       33.1                   38.0             44.2

Turnover %
Team:                        21.0 [#169]            17.5 [#37]          23.5 [#279]  16.6 [#18]
Opp:                          27.0 [#7]                20.8 [176]          20.7 [185]    23.6 [68]


Assists per
made FG:                  68.8 [#6]                53.9 [167]           54.0 [165]    61.2 [40]

Experience:              1.53 yrs [#222]         1.49 [241]           0.96 [332]    1.26 [299]

Avg Height:              78.4" [#10]               76.5" [185]         78.7" [7]        77.3" [58]



So, if this looks remotely legible....

How would you rate these four teams (#1-4)?

Do any stats seem to make you think any of these teams is over-rated or under-rated?

My comments:

KU's schedule so far has been really, really weak (rated #301 out of 347)
But their upcoming 9 game schedule only has 1 team rated (By KenPom) lower than 100. They're going to
get challenged!

KU's weak schedule, no doubt helps their stats look better, but compare KU's and UK's stats...their SOS's aren't
that much different, but KU ranks consistently, MUCH higher than UK!

Syracuse has played some good teams, but their overall SOS of 256 indicates they've played some really bad ones too.
Their top 4 opponents are great, but the next toughest is rated only #194!

UK's toughest opponent in their first 18 gamses will be Florida, rated #28 by KenPom....

All four teams are still undefeated, and I think that says that they are all good teams, because each team has faced at least
one team rated in KenPom's top 60 (Texas has had the weakest top-end opponent so far, but that changes on Saturday)


Well, hopefully this looks fairly decent...
As always, let me know what you think!!!!

This is a Big 12 Blog...And It's our turn to rule!

OK, looks good in preview...Here's hopin it posts well!
Comments

Since: Mar 21, 2008
Posted on: December 19, 2009 5:49 pm
 

Compare 4 Top teams: Syracuse, Texas, UK, and KU

First, my comment about the Cuse sqweeking by an Ivy team...was WRONG...I brainfarted..I was thinking about UConn..not the Cuse.


Here are the margin of victories for the teams(through the games completed for my initial analysis)...

KU 33 (That's the number they kept saying during Saturday's game...so I went with that)...

I calculated the other three...they are...best to worst...

Cuse 26.6 per game

Texas 24.8 per game

UK 14.8 per game


UK's is perhaps a little light, but the others are about what you would expect, given their weak SOSs!

Good luck to the Illini in the Big Ten!





Since: Mar 21, 2008
Posted on: December 19, 2009 5:36 pm
 

Compare 4 Top teams: Syracuse, Texas, UK, and KU

Thanks for the comment...

Yeah, its tough doing comparisons early in the season..but all four have played 9 or 10 games, and that is almost 1/3 of their regular season, so I thought it was worth a try...all the more so, because of the questions about their schedules...

I know that KU had won by an avg margin of 33 per game before Saturday's tilt with Michigan...I see if I can find the others' margin of victory, if not I'll calculate it (To be consistent with the other info, I'll omit Saturday's games)

Re: your Cuse comment...Yeah, 3-0 and one of those was a sqweeker!



Since: Mar 21, 2008
Posted on: December 19, 2009 5:35 pm
 

Compare 4 Top teams: Syracuse, Texas, UK, and KU

Thanks for the comment...

Yeah, its tough doing comparisons early in the season..but all four have played 9 or 10 games, and that is almost 1/3 of their regular season, so I thought it was worth a try...all the more so, because of the questions about their schedules...

I know that KU had won by an avg margin of 33 per game before Saturday's tilt with Michigan...I'll see if I can find the others' margin of victory, if not I'll calculate it (To be consistent with the other info, I'll omit Saturday's games)

Re: your Cuse comment...Yeah, 3-0 and one of those was a sqweeker!



Since: Aug 17, 2007
Posted on: December 19, 2009 10:55 am
 

Compare 4 Top teams: Syracuse, Texas, UK, and KU

Very interesting.  

I think the challenge with doing a comparison so early in the season is that teams have best have played 3 or 4 quality opponents and the rest bottom feeders.  I would like to see what the comparison looks like after the 18th game.  The other stat that would be interesting to include is average margin of victory.

To add to your comment on Syracuse they are 3 - 0 against the Ivy, which hurts their SOS.



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