Blog Entry

Week 10: safe bets by DC

Posted on: November 11, 2009 8:16 pm
 

Last week was the first time that I shared my predictions with the online community. I was on point with 61% of my games with the spread. I'm looking to build on that percentage this week. That brings me to the first game of week 10.

The 49ers are 3-point favorites over the Bears, who have lost four in a row. Another loss and they might lose sight of the Cardinals in the NFC West.

Chicago (4-4) has seen its once fearsome defense turn soft without Brian Urlacher, who broke his wrist in the opener, and several other key players. The Bears have won the last three meetings, all at Soldier Field, outscoring San Francisco 81-32. They could be vulnerable to the runs of Frank Gore because Chicago ranks 21st against the rush.

The Niners handle the run well but struggle against the pass, which means Jay Cutler might be airing it out all night. Chicago has looked a bit more vulnerable and a lot more fragile.

49ERS, 21-20

 



Dallas (pick 'em) at Green Bay

Having found their pass rush, the Cowboys could cause more sack havoc for Aaron Rodgers.

BEST BET: Cowboys, 21-17

 



New England (plus 3) at Indianapolis

Time for Bill Belichick to toy with Peyton Manning's mind again, and for the Patriots to prevent Indy from chasing their unprecedented 16-0 of 2007. The Colts just have too many injuries in the secondary.

UPSET SPECIAL: PATRIOTS, 24-20

 



Cincinnati (plus 6 1/2) at Pittsburgh

I have been wrong on the Bengals a lot this year, but I'm starting to believe in them — at least enough to cover.

Steelers, 20-17

 



Philadelphia (plus 1) at San Diego

Two teams that epitomize the up-and-down nature of the NFL. Philly's secondary is depleted and they only have one LB. I expect Gates and Vincent Jackson to come up big.

Chargers, 24-23

 



Jacksonville (plus 6) at N.Y. Jets

Two teams that epitomize not being too good or too bad, thus their 4-4 marks. Mark Sanchez will get back on track this week; Cotchery and Braylon Edwards will have fun with the weak Jaguar secondary.

JETS, 24-13


 

Detroit (plus 15) at Minnesota

Fresh from a bye, this should be easy for the Purple Favres. It's like having 2 bye weeks.

Vikings, 31-10

 



Denver (minus 4 1/2) at Washington

Denver's mini-slide ends here, or its sensational early season comes into serious question. The Redskins without Clinton Portis are even worse than they were, but not as bad as the Browns.

Broncos, 20-10

 



New Orleans (minus 14) at St. Louis

Been searching for hours for a reason this will be close. Still searching ...

Saints, 40-14

 



Seattle (plus 7 1/2) at Arizona

Enigmatic Cardinals need to bring their road temperament to their dome.

CARDINALS, 30-20

 



Buffalo (plus 6 1/2) at Tennessee

From 0-6, Titans have decent shot at seven wins. Here's No. 3. The Bills are just horrible this year.

TITANS, 20-10

 



Atlanta (minus 2) at Carolina

Panthers can be tough if they don't make errors. Falcons have been mistake-prone recently. Jake Delhomme is due for another turnover special.

Atlanta, 24-14


 

Baltimore (minus 10 1/2) at Cleveland

The Monday night massacre, although the Ravens really are struggling. Not nearly as much as the Browns, of course. Brady Quinn better practice throwing from his backside; I feel bad for the young fella.

RAVENS, 27-7


Tampa Bay (plus 9) at Miami

Does anyone outside of Florida really care? Don't expect Freeman to sneak out with another win.

Dolphins, 23-10

 



Kansas City (plus 2) at Oakland

Does anyone anywhere really care?

Chiefs, and cover...no points total here because they are both zeros.


There it is: safe bets by DC.

Comments

Since: Sep 15, 2009
Posted on: November 12, 2009 9:18 am
 

Week 10: safe bets by DC

I know that some people don't feel like reading the whole list to get my picks, so I'm going to make it easy for you guys. (in summary)

1. 49ers win Bears cover
2. Cowboys win and cover
3. Patriots win (outright)
4. Steelers win Bengals cover
5. Chargers win (outright)
6. Jets win and cover
7. Vikings win and cover
8. Broncos win and cover
9. Saints win and cover...duhh
10. Cardinals win and cover
11. Titans win and cover
12. Falcons win and cover
13. Ravens win and cover
14. Dolphins win and cover
15. Chiefs win and cover

Quick and easy for you.


The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com