Blog Entry

2009 AFC SCENARIOS - Weeks 16 and 17

Posted on: December 22, 2009 1:32 am
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AFC
(Key Week 16 Games: BAL @ PIT, KC @ CIN, DEN @ PHI, HOU @ MIA, NYJ @ IND, JAC @ NE, SD @ TEN)  

SAN DIEGO Chargers
  San Diego clinches a first-round bye:
   1) SD win or tie
   2) NE loss or tie

NEW ENGLAND Patriots
  New England clinches East division:
   1) NE win or tie
   2) MIA loss or tie
  

CINCINNATI Bengals
  Cincinnati clinches North division:
   1) CIN win
   2) CIN tie + BAL loss or tie
   3) BAL loss
  Cincinnati clinches a playoff spot:
   1) CIN tie
   2) JAC loss or tie + NYJ loss or tie + HOU/MIA game ends in a tie
  

BALTIMORE Ravens
  Baltimore clinches a playoff spot:
   1) BAL win + JAC loss or tie + NYJ loss or tie
   2) BAL win + JAC loss or tie + DEN loss
   2) BAL win + MIA loss or tie + NYJ loss or tie + DEN loss
   3) BAL tie + NYJ loss + JAC loss + TEN loss or tie + HOU/MIA game ends in tie
  

DENVER Broncos
  Denver clinches a playoff spot:
   1) DEN win + JAC loss or tie + MIA loss or tie + NYJ loss or tie +
       PIT loss or tie
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Comments

Since: Jun 30, 2008
Posted on: December 27, 2009 9:45 pm
 

2009 AFC SCENARIOS - Weeks 16 and 17

What needs to happen in week 17 for the broncos to make the playoffs?



Since: Aug 24, 2008
Posted on: December 27, 2009 9:19 pm
 

2009 AFC SCENARIOS - Weeks 16 and 17

Can you guys help me...

If Denver beats KC next week.

 What else would they need to get into the playoffs and why???



Since: Dec 20, 2009
Posted on: December 27, 2009 9:17 pm
 

2009 AFC SCENARIOS - Weeks 16 and 17

What you said CM85 is causing massive confusion in baltimore...all sites need to put a * that indicates which teams control their own destiny.



Since: Dec 2, 2007
Posted on: December 27, 2009 9:06 pm
 

2009 AFC SCENARIOS - Weeks 16 and 17

So are the Jets out with a loss?  Or can they sneak in now because that Indy wins helps 'em?
-Mutt



Since: Oct 27, 2008
Posted on: December 27, 2009 9:02 pm
 

2009 AFC SCENARIOS - Weeks 16 and 17

Hi gwsmith,

Those scenarios are pretty much correct, except that your third scenario is redundant of the first scenario, plus the unnecessarily inclusion of BAL.



Since: Dec 22, 2009
Posted on: December 27, 2009 9:01 pm
 

2009 AFC SCENARIOS - Weeks 16 and 17

For the PIT scenarios, I came up with:

1) Pittsburgh win + Houston loss/tie + New York loss/tie
2) Pittsburgh win + Baltimore loss/tie + Denver loss/tie + New York loss/tie
3) Pittsburgh win + Houston loss/tie + Baltimore loss/tie
+ scenarios involving Pittsburgh ties

For #1 - Denver/Baltimore/Pittsburgh are tied @9-7
5-seed) Baltimore has the divisional tie-break over Pittsburgh; Pitt is eliminated
      
;     &nbs
p;    Baltimore has the HTH tie-break over Denver;
6-seed) Pittsburgh/Denver are left;
      
;     &nbs
p;    Pittsburg
h will win HTH against Denver

For #2 - Houston/Pittsburgh are tied @9-7
5-seed) Houston has the common games tie-break over Pittsburgh;
6-seed) Pittsburgh

For #3 – New York/Denver/Pittsburgh are tied @9-7
5-seed) New York & Denver are tied in Conf. Record; Pitt is eliminated;
      
;     &nbs
p;    New York will win the Common Games tie-break with Denver;
6-seed) Pittsburgh/Denver are left;
      
;     &nbs
p;    Pittsburg
h will win HTH against Denver






Since: Dec 3, 2007
Posted on: December 27, 2009 8:53 pm
 

2009 AFC SCENARIOS - Weeks 16 and 17

I think I have some scenarios for PIT to clinch a playoff spot. 

1. PIT win over MIA plus losses/ties by NYJ and HOU, or
2. PIT win over MIA plus losses/ties by BAL and DEN plus a loss/tie by either NYJ or HOU, or
3. PIT win over MIA plus losses/ties by BAL, HOU, and NYJ
3. PIT tie plus a DEN tie/loss plus losses by BAL, NYJ, and HOU

Now for elimination scenarios for PIT:

1. Loss
2. Wins by at least 2 of the following 3: BAL, NYJ, HOU.

For tiebreakers, PIT has the h2h over DEN, but lose out in pretty much all 3-way tiebreakers, as they have worse conference record than NYJ, worse division record than BAL, and lose on common opponents to HOU.

The AFC is going to be crazy in week 17.



Since: Dec 27, 2009
Posted on: December 27, 2009 8:48 pm
 

2009 AFC SCENARIOS - Weeks 16 and 17

Joe, I noticed that the NFL site had the Broncos listed in front of the Jets and Baltimore at the moment in the standings.  I was figuring that since the common opponent tiebreaker can't be enforced yet, the Broncos technically remain in front because of the SoV tiebreaker for this week (DEN 60-59, NYJ 59-61, and BAL 46-73).  Then once the Jets and Ravens play their fourth common opponent in week 17, then the common opponent tiebreaker kicks in.  Is that the case? 



Since: Aug 24, 2008
Posted on: December 27, 2009 8:45 pm
 

2009 AFC SCENARIOS - Weeks 16 and 17

Can you guys help me...

If Denver beats KC next week.

 What else would they need to get into the playoffs and why???



Since: Dec 18, 2008
Posted on: December 27, 2009 8:17 pm
 

2009 AFC SCENARIOS - Weeks 16 and 17

If the Jets lose next week to Cincinnati, and Bal beats Oak, Pit beats Mia, and Den beats KC...

...then the winner of the New England-Houston game will determine who makes the playoffs between Pittsburgh and Denver.

Same thing would happen would happen if NYJ beat Cin and Bal loses to Oak.



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