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Blog Entry

One NFL Draft to RULE THEM ALL! Its gonna be wild

Posted on: April 19, 2010 6:26 pm
Edited on: April 20, 2010 9:23 am
 

With its new Thursday night slot (er, afternoon for the non-East Coast folks - you guys are always getting a raw deal - NO SUSHI FOR YOU!)  it will be easy for many folks across the country to miss the NFL Draft. 

And THIS ONE will be the one not to miss.


Why is it gonna be the wildest draft ever?! 

1)  It features the Oakland Raiders.  

Yes - expect the unexpected once again.

(and before you spout off that every draft features the Raiders and their crazy "combine-induced" picks of nautical disasterousness, remember they're taking next season off  thanks to that little Richard Seymour trade with the Pats.)

2) Lots and lots of trades.

Multiple teams have lots of picks.  Seattle, San Fran, Denver, Philadelphia.


3) Bill Belichick and the Pats.  

I'm giving you 6 to 5, that he'll flip next year's Raiders pick for a pick THIS year.  Expect more wackiness with the Pats this draft.

4) Most Wanted: Pick #33, Rams 1st Pick of the 2nd Round

1st of the 2nd round on Friday will be a bidding war that will go through the night.  Before this season, you didn't have a WHOLE NIGHT of wheelin' and deelin'.  Perhaps that's when the Pats make their move - maybe it'll be Denver - SOMEONE will make a move for that Rams pick and St. Louis will take the big bushel of picks with Glee.  Everyone knows this - which leads us to.......

5) Pick #30, #31 and Pick #32. 

31 teams will want the Rams pick at #33 but they know (except for one) they won't get it.  Some of the smarter teams will decide, hey if I'm gonna pay through the nose, I'm doing it BEFORE the bidding starts and my guy is gone.  Expect some crazy action on the Vikings, Colts and Saints choices in the bottom three.

6) C. B. A.  

A lot of people complain about the ridiculous prices for unproven talent.  But guess what?  No one complains about the bargain-basement contracts picks get in the bottom half of the first round and the beginning of the second.  Who knows what a new CBA will bring - but teams can LOCK into a player they want now, in a deep draft and get a tremendous contract.  Moving into the late 1st round or 2nd round is almost like playing it safe with all the CBA turbulence ahead and we all know NFL coaches LOVE TO PLAY IT SAFE.  (Except for Coach Payton, who does Super Bowl onside kicks and I bet, peddles his #32 pick into more risk-taking, BASKETT FULL OF GOODIES.

Side Note: The Eagles amongst other teams, have ALWAYS determined that high 2nd round picks are the best in the draft when you offset contract values with player values and have never been hesitant to trade down into the second round.  The pick they got for Donovan?  They prefered it was early second round vs. early first round. 

Eagles Picks - 2nd Round (2009 Base Salary + Bonuses)
2009: LeSean McCoy - ($310k + 1.37 Mil)
2008: Trevor Laws - ($385k + $419k)
2008: DeSean Jackson - ($385k + $398k)
2007: Kevin Kolb - ($460k + $736k)
2007: Victor Abiamiri ($460k + $529k)

Jets' Vernon Gholston ($2.9 Mil + $6.286 Mil= $9.2 Million)

Now Abiarmiri is a solid backup whereas Laws hasn't established himself at all.  Kolb is now the starting QB as is McCoy at RB and we all know how DeSean worked out.  With all the money saved by 1 top of the 1st round bust vs. FIVE 2nd round picks, you can literally afford to overpay for a free agent.

More and more teams are learning, bottom of the 1st, top of the 2nd round is WHERE ITS AT! 

7) Its a deep draft with lots of curious options at QB.

Claussen slipping?  McCoy?  Tebow?  Some intriguing choices plus a lot of teams setup to take a QB they can develop (KC, Philly, SF, Arizona)

So what are you going to see?  Wild trading - maybe some "reaching" and no chance that there will be value picks at the QB position.  Teams will be jockeying around like an auction - wild draft trading WILL ENSUE!


My trade predictions:
1. There will be no movement in the top 4 (the dollars are so insane, these picks almost have negative value)
2. Seahawks will bounce around with their picks.
3. Jaguars will move down out of their 10 slot by any means possible.
4. 49ers may move up with their 13th pick and down with the 17th one.
5. Patriots will move their 2011 Raiders 1st rounder to get a second pick in this draft
6. One (or more) of the Vikings, Colts and Saints will swap out of the bottom of the 1st round.

I also suspect several player trades will go down (in particular with running backs) after Day 1.

Now with all this action, just don't be stuck in traffic getting home to see it. 


(Blatant Plug: CBSSports.com is covering it strong.  Today, we had the NFL team bloggers from FanSided.com do a REAL live mock draft . Of course, we're covering the NFL Draft all weekend - check out our coverage.






Category: NFL Draft
Tags: eagles, patriots, rams
 
Comments

Since: Apr 6, 2010
Posted on: April 21, 2010 8:12 am
 

One NFL Draft to RULE THEM ALL! Its gonna be wild

The Rams seem to be doing a hesitation dribble in their 1st pick selection procedure so to me if they were going to take Bradford, it would already be a done deal.  The dominos will really start to fall if they do not take him.  All of these pre draft prediction will fall by the wayside if they trade the pick or take as Johnny Cash once sang " A Boy named Suh".  If the Redskins do not take a left tackle prospect then McNabb better buy some body armor to protect himself.  The teams that are perrenial losers  are that way because of the draft.  Passing on Moss,Peterson, etc creates their woes.  Philadelphia better use all those picks wisely because their fans have been used to the team contending and not pretending.  Good luck and I hope you like " Corn on the Kolb".  Has there ever been as much fanfare about a 2nd or 3rd round selection as Tebow????  He has a monster publicity machine going for him.  I will predict that one of the four top linemen, (offense or defense) will be a flop on the field.  So I hope the teams with the chance to pick these guys have done their homework.  I wish nothing but the best for DEZ as he should not have had to go through the nonsense. 



Since: Feb 12, 2010
Posted on: April 20, 2010 4:14 pm
 

One NFL Draft to RULE THEM ALL! Its gonna be wild

That depends. Is there a rookie salary cap next year. If there is they keep it. If not they trade down and get a 1st and a 2nd out of it. Either way it works out for them. Wow the Raiders are dumb.



Since: Nov 11, 2009
Posted on: April 20, 2010 3:04 pm
 

One NFL Draft to RULE THEM ALL! Its gonna be wild

The patriots would then deal the pick to some other team. They don't want to spend much money on a player, and don't need someone at that level. But if they can get a few 2nd and 3rd rounders in this and next draft, they will trade it. But don't expect them to deal it this year,  Bill will plan and maybe even sulk in the deepest, safest, and darkest parts of the EVIL EMPIRE!!!!!!! 



Since: Jan 19, 2010
Posted on: April 20, 2010 12:40 pm
 

Pats trading into the 1st round.

That's a very good point. 

That would also allow the Patriots to trade down their Raiders selection next year for multiple picks.  Depending how the Raiders do of course.  What would the Pats do with a #1 overall pick in 2011 Draft?!



Since: Feb 12, 2010
Posted on: April 20, 2010 10:50 am
 

One NFL Draft to RULE THEM ALL! Its gonna be wild

While I agree the Pats may trade back in the top 32 with a first round pick from next year. However it won't be the Raiders pick it will be their own. You can easily get back into pick 20-32 with a first round pick from next year. No team will allow them to trade into the top fifteen just because it is the Raiders pick. So trade their own pick and keep the Raiders.


The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com