Blog Entry

Supply And Demand

Posted on: February 27, 2010 11:25 am
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Everyone knows Economics 101 and that when demand is high and supply is low then the price goes up.  Why would this not apply to Fantasy Baseball?  
Here is cbssports.com's ranking of this year's group:http://fantasynews.cbssports.com/fa
ntasybaseball/rankings

As you sort through, is there any aspect of their dollar values that jump out?  
How about the gap between top one or two guys in a particular position versus the third?
For example, look at Joe Mauer, he is coming in at $36 then V Mart at $26 then McCann at $19.  There is a enormous gap for 1st to 2nd, nevertheless to 3rd.  Sure, Mauer does not seem like a true #1 overall but maybe he should.  
Pujols, in many drafts, is the true #1 overall and why not, the guy is an absolute MONSTER.  How about the supply is really high?  Pujols at $40, Fielder $34, Tex $34, Howard $33, Reynolds $30, Morneau $26, A Gon $26, V Mart $26, Youk $25 and then the drop off to Morales at $18.  So what is the point?  Sure, Pujols is by far the most valuable 1B if not overall offense player in MLB.  But what is the difference between him and Fielder?  Him and Tex?  Him and Howard?  Him and Reynolds? 
How about Mauer and V Mart?  
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Comments

Since: Apr 13, 2009
Posted on: April 26, 2010 12:29 am
 

Supply And Demand

I was able to lock down both Weiters and V Mart, but the price I paid but have countered the benefits recieved. In retrospect, I think this is a fantastic idea that should be followed in the future, but only if it were put in your hands and you had to chose not to. I have Haren, Lincecum, Cordero, Wilson, Fuetnes holding down the rotation and A Gon, Morales, Weiters, V Mart, and McGhee of all people holding down the lineup but it is what people have beyond this threshold that is making the difference. Horrible gambles on NL Rookie of the Year Coghlan, injury prone Chipper and B. Roberts, and a horrendously painful start from Floyd have all but crippled what was to be a bulletproof concept. Time will tell, but for now I am going to have to say my plan has failed. If you are to adopt this notion, make sure to back it up with less risk in the depths of your team and take vets, there is little room for error as high picks are used on a position that never hits 600 ABs or 200+ IP.



Since: Apr 13, 2009
Posted on: March 17, 2010 1:01 am
 

Supply And Demand

Better numbers, yes, but against what?  His numbers over Howard, Tex, or even A Gon are not even in the same realm as Mauer versus the 4th in this position's rival.  Who is going to touch his aver, R, RBI, or HR at the C position this season?  Who will come somewhat close to Pujols?  I don't know if you are saying Mauer's price is inflated as the result of scarcity, but if so, I do not think enough.  If you take Mauer in the 1st, even #1 overall, and then a 1B beast in the second you will undoubtedly end up with more in the end of the second than Pujols and anyone else.  Unless we add Lincecum to the debate and open a whole different topic all together.  



Since: Feb 27, 2010
Posted on: March 1, 2010 12:35 pm
 

Supply And Demand

Yes, position scarcity does increase Mauer's value.  Some might say that already factors into his $36 tag, for example, on CBS.  Remember, he is not a 40-HR, 130-RBI type like Pujols, Howard, and Fielder.  If Mauer were a 1B I think his value, compared to those 1B you list, would  be right around $30. 

So I think that supply and demand is already in effect here because he is a catcher.  Pujols is more valuable because, well, he is a near lock for better numbers across the board.  Better than anybody's, really.


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