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Blog Entry

First take: World Series matchup

Posted on: October 23, 2010 11:43 pm
Edited on: April 18, 2011 11:21 am
 


Game 1: Wednesday at San Francisco, 7:57 p.m.
Game 2: Thursday at San Francisco, 7:57 p.m.
Game 3: Saturday at Texas, 6:57 p.m.
Game 4: Sunday at Texas, 8:20 p.m.
*Game 5: November 1 at Texas, 7:57 p.m.
*Game 6: November 3 at San Francisco, 7:57 p.m.
*Game 7: November 4 at San Francisco, 7:57 p.m.
All times Eastern      * if necessary




For just the second time in the past 20 years, the World Series will be played entirely west of the Mississippi River. Here’s a quick reaction to the matchup between the Rangers and Giants in the 2010 World Series.

Josh Hamilton OFFENSE

Rangers
For all the talk about how Texas has gotten here by abandoning its decades-old philosophy of bashing in favor of pitching and defense, this is still a very good offensive team. The Rangers led all of baseball in batting average (.276), were fifth in MLB in runs scored and finished in the Top 5 in the AL in OPS, home runs and stolen bases. The heart of the order has baseball’s batting (.359) and OPS (1.044) champion, Josh Hamilton, hitting third, followed by the rejuvenated Vladimir Guerrero (115 RBI) and Nelson Cruz, who might be in the conversation for MVP if he hadn’t battled injuries all season.

In the postseason, facing the best pitchers in the toughest situations, the Rangers have actually improved offensively, batting .281 with an OPS of .815. They outscored the Yankees in the ALCS by a 2-to-1 margin. Five of their regulars are batting over .300 in the playoffs.

Giants
Offense was San Francisco’s missing ingredient early in the year, but the Giants added enough along the way to get it done. Castoffs Pat Burrell and Cody Ross have been huge, coming through in the clutch repeatedly. Overall, the Giants ended up middle-of-the-pack offensively: Ninth in the NL in runs scored, eighth in OPS, seventh in batting average and sixth in home runs. First baseman Aubrey Huff led the Giants in every major offensive category, and Buster Posey’s arrival at catcher has boosted the heart of their lineup and made up somewhat for the collapse of Pablo Sandoval.

In the postseason, the Giants have gotten big hits when they needed them most, but they’ve batted just .231 overall and have six homers – one more than Nelson Cruz has by himself – and just two that didn’t come from Ross. San Francisco really needs Huff to step up.

EDGE: Rangers, by a significant margin. They’ve scored 5.36 runs per game in the postseason to San Francisco’s 3.00.

STARTING PITCHING

Rangers
You might have heard a bit about the Rangers’ No. 1 starter, but in case you didn’t notice, Cliff Lee only pitched once in the six-game ALCS. The rotation MVP in that series was No. 3 starter Colby Lewis, who was pitching in Japan last year. He beat the Yankees twice and has a 1.45 ERA in three postseason starts. No. 2 starter C.J. Wilson had a good start in the first round and mixed results in the second – he was the victim of the Game 1 bullpen meltdown and then had a nightmarish Game 5. Likely Game 4 starter Tommy Hunter is the Rangers’ weak link.

Tim Lincecum Having Lee on the mound twice (maybe even three times) is huge, but considering he’s going to be opposing another world-beater, you can’t exactly chalk up those wins.

Giants
The Giants entered Saturday’s game with the lowest starters ERA in the postseason, just 1.93. Tim Lincecum is perfectly capable of going toe-to-toe with Lee, showing the ability to dominate in big games. Matt Cain has been stellar in two postseason starts, and has yet to allow his first earned run.  Jonathan Sanchez will go second or third, depending on what Bruce Bochy wants to do, and he showed Saturday that he’s capable of putting up a stinker. The Giants have won both games Madison Bumgarner has started.

Pitching is what has gotten the Giants to the Series, and Lincecum has a chance to set the tone on Wednesday in Game 1.

EDGE: Giants. If you figure Lee and Lincecum cancel each other out, it’s going to come down to multiple starts by the No. 2 and 3 guys. To this point, the Giants look better at those spots – though after Sanchez’s outing, not by much.

RELIEF PITCHING

Rangers
Though it hasn’t put its best foot forward at times in the postseason, the Texas bullpen has been a strength this season, posting the second-lowest ERA in the AL. Neftali Feliz had 40 regular-season saves, Darren Oliver has been amazing at age 40, and Darren O’Day has been an effective workhorse.

Giants
The Giants came into Saturday with the second-highest bullpen ERA this postseason (4.22), which is surprising considering how rock solid the bullpen was during the regular season, when they had the second-lowest relief ERA in the majors (2.99). But their seven scoreless innings in Game 6 show that this still has to be considered a shut-down bullpen. Brian Wilson has picked up five saves and a win in seven appearances while not allowing a run. Ramon Ramirez and Jeremy Affeldt have both struggled badly in the postseason.

EDGE: Giants. Over time, that bullpen has shown it can get the job done.

DEFENSE

Rangers
An improved defense has been an important factor for the Rangers’ ascension. They were mediocre in fielding percentage during the regular season but fifth in the AL in UZR. Shortstop Elvis Andrus is a plus, and the outfielders don’t make a lot of mistakes. At first base, the Rangers sacrificed defense by leaving Chris Davis off the roster in favor of Mitch Moreland and Jorge Cantu.

Giants
The Giants are one of the better defensive teams in the game, committing just 73 regular-season errors and tying for the lead in fielding percentage. But fielding percentage isn’t everything (some will tell you it’s hardly anything), and the Giants aren’t great in the range department. Sandoval, Burrell and Huff don’t get to a lot of balls others might, though all three were better than expected with the glove this year. Presumably Burrell will be the DH in games in Arlington, which will improve the defense.

EDGE: Giants, though the difference is unlikely to be what decides the series.

Bruce Bochy MANAGER

Rangers
Ron Washington deserves a ton of credit for the Rangers being where they are. He is an infectious optimist and motivator who by all accounts did a lot to keep his crew loose during the ALCS. He badly mismanaged the bullpen during the Game 1 meltdown against the Yankees (maybe he just forgot Neftali Feliz was there?), but overall is a good in-game tactician. He’s let his team be extremely aggressive on the basepaths, which has led to some good things but also carries the potential to backfire at a critical time.

Giants
The unflappable Bochy has tinkered with his lineup a lot in the postseason, and sometimes the moves don’t seem to make a lot of sense, but they keep working. He’s always been a hunch guy who knows his ballclub. The big criticism of Bochy this season has been that he stuck with Sandoval and Aaron Rowand too long, but that’s pretty much irrelevant now.

EDGE: Giants, just because Bochy has four previous playoff runs under his belt, including a World Series, and this is Washington’s first rodeo.
 

Intangibles

* For the first time since Bud Selig uttered the words “this time it counts,” the National League will have home-field advantage in the World Series. But home field wasn’t a huge advantage for the Giants during the regular season, and five of the Rangers’ seven postseason wins have come on the road.

* The Giants have been living on the edge just about every night, while the Rangers have been involved in some blowouts. Does that mean the Giants are battle-tested, or just tired?

* Look for Texas catcher Bengie Molina to be a big storyline in the next few days -- the Giants traded him to the Rangers on July 1. Bizarre fact: He's going to get a World Series ring no matter what happens.

* The Rangers are making their first World Series appearance. Five other teams have done that in the past decade, and two have won.

Bottom line

The Giants look better on paper in most areas, but it already appears that the Rangers will be favored by the oddsmakers. The difference in the offense is huge -- if the Giants have to score five runs a game to win, it's going to be tough. But San Francisco's formidable pitching staff is capable of keeping the scoring low.

-- David Andriesen

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Comments

Since: Aug 7, 2010
Posted on: October 24, 2010 9:30 am
 

First take: World Series matchup

Saying that we only have Cliff Lee as a pitcher shows how ignorant you are. Colby Lewis pitched a 3-hitter in game six and C.J Wilson is just insane. Even Tommy Hunter is capable of pitching a good game, if you didn't notice game 3. Unless one of them has a meltdown, it's going to be Rangers in 5.



Since: Jul 21, 2007
Posted on: October 24, 2010 9:17 am
 

First take: World Series matchup

This is my dream match-up as I wanted to see both teams in the Series. At this point I'm not convinced either will definitely win the Series. I've lived near both cities to be interested in both teams, so I'm not a "homer" in that respect. The Phillies lost because their offense went flat, something it has done periodically throughout the regular season. Yes, I agree good pitching generally beats good hitting, and that will likely be the deciding factor. Still, I believe the Giants have survived the post season to this point. Their offense has done just enough to win, but that's got to balance out at some point. I'm gonna go with the Rangers in 7. They've showed an ability to win on the road, and an inclination to be aggressive on the base paths. A team that's willing to create runs against good pitching stands a better chance than one that relies on the big inning. Also, their pitching has been adequate, and the other starters have learned a lot from Lee. I won't be disappointed either way with the winner, but the Rangers have been the doormat in Dallas for too long. It's time for Ranger Nation to assert itself across the land...



Since: May 2, 2010
Posted on: October 24, 2010 4:36 am
 

First take: World Series matchup

Why would Bengie Molina get a ring no matter what? That's bush league. If you get traded, you're no longer part of that team. If they win the World Series without you, tough luck.
He's a Ranger now. You live or die with the team you're on, not the team you were on.



Since: Aug 7, 2008
Posted on: October 24, 2010 4:05 am
 

First take: World Series matchup

I think most of us had a feeling that when the Giants traded Bengie Molina to the Rangers that Molina would face his old team in the playoffs. It has happened for the past 5 of 7 years. A more recent example is when Pat Burrell faced his old team, the Phillies. I agree with most people who think that the Giants will win the World Series only because they have home field advantage. Plus aside from Cliff Lee the Rangers have no noteworthy pitchers except for Oakland A's reject Colby Lewis. While the Giants have a couple of guys named Lincecum and Cain. Perhaps the Rangers might have heard of them. :) But then again...the AL has always dominated the All Star Game...except for this year. Who knows...this might be the year that the Giants win it all. It was tough for them when they were 6 outs away from winning the 2002 World Series. Maybe they will actually win one. I think they can. They are not facing a California team.

 




Since: Oct 24, 2010
Posted on: October 24, 2010 2:56 am
 

First take: World Series matchup

I THINK THE GIANTS WILL TAKE IT IN 6... THE RANGERS HAVENT FACED PITCHING LIKE THE GIANTS.. PHILLYS LEARNED THAT THE HARD WAY,,,GOOD PITCHING BEATS GOOD HITING EVERY TIME....THE YANKS WERE BEAT UP AND OLD, THEY WERNT HUNGRY ANY MORE....YANKS PITCHERS ARE NO WERE NEAR THE GIANTS STAFF...RANGERS ONLY HAVE CLIFF LEE AND HE CANT PITCH EVERY GAME...THEY HAD HIGH HOPES FOR THE DOC, SEE WAT HAPPENED TO HIM




Since: Nov 3, 2006
Posted on: October 24, 2010 2:51 am
 

First take: World Series matchup

Dude, are you serious? You want to talk about class, you should look in the mirror.  This probably shouldn't even warrant a response, but I can't believe you would come on a message board spewing crap about a serious problem that both these guys have overcome.  Shows how much you know about what these guys went through because yes, being an alcoholic that temptation is always there, moron.
BTW, the ginger ale shower that the TEAM does is not only for Hamilton, but for C.J. Wilson also.  C.J. doesn't drink and can't stand being around alcohol either. Yeah, it might be more for Hamilton, but C.J. is a big part, as well. Plus, it was a TEAM decision to do this.  Otherwise, Hamilton wouldn't be part of any celebration.

As for radar, I'm sure you meant to put San Fran has better pitching, right? Because if you were serious about them having better hitting than the Rangers you're going to need to prove your point. Tell me who you would take from the Giants to replace Nellie Cruz, Hamilton, Vladdy, Ian Kinsler, Michael Young, and even Elvis Andrus.



Since: Dec 2, 2007
Posted on: October 24, 2010 2:20 am
 

First take: World Series matchup

Terrific breakdown here. The Giants bullpen didn't really have to prove until game 6 that it was so much more than Brian Wilson. In a series that may come down to a dozen little things, the Giants NOT playing Pablo Sandoval at third base will have deeper meaning. Their defense and pitching is a notch above, and their experience in one run games might be enough to get them over the top. This is the World Series match I voted for on CBS when the playoffs started. I'm glad to see both underdogs in it. Either way it turns out, baseball fans win.



Since: Jan 15, 2007
Posted on: October 24, 2010 2:14 am
 

First take: World Series matchup

Good luck San Fran. Texas is the best team in MLB but I believe San Fran has the best pitching and they will take it. I am sick of them saying Texas is a classy team when Hamilton and Washington are druggies but a guty that does steroids is scum? That makes no sense whatsoever. Steroids are healthy when taken properly and Heroin, Crack and all the other crap the junkies did is in no way good and they do not deserve anything. What is with the ginger ale celebration for that pu$$y Hamilton too? If a little champagne hits his body or he smells it is he going to turn into Barney Gumble and go on a bender?



Since: Oct 24, 2010
Posted on: October 24, 2010 1:48 am
 

First take: World Series matchup

Being a Giants fan, this will sound bias. The Giants can deal with Torture. This will be a torturous series. In 2002, we faced a team that had never been there before and the AL West winners won last time. Hope the Giants can do better this time with home field advantage and win in 6 and end the 54 year old drought for this franchise and win one in SF. I always say pitching will always beat hitting and I believe the Giants have better hitting than the Rangers.



Since: Oct 24, 2010
Posted on: October 24, 2010 1:27 am
 

First take: World Series matchup

Thank U oddsmakers! Giant fans luv how no one pays any attention to what they've done over the past month.  I picked Giants in 5 over the Phils--I'll go with the sane scenario here. 


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