Blog Entry

Bumgarner among those on Verducci Effect list

Posted on: January 11, 2011 1:55 pm
Edited on: April 18, 2011 11:25 am
Madison Bumgarner Sports Illustrated 's Tom Verducci has come out with his Verducci Effect watch list for 2011 , led by San Francisco left-hander Madison Bumgarner.

The Verducci Effect states pitchers 25 and younger shouldn't increase their workload more than 30 innings from one year to the next. (In fairness to Verducci, he originally called it the "Year After Effect" because the year after the jump in innings there was a regression or injury).

Last year the 10 on the watch list finished with four pitchers who were hurt or regressed, two we about the same and four -- Mat Latos, Felix Hernandez, Josh Johnson and Max Scherzer had breakout years. Verducci notes it was "as strong a showing against the Verducci Effect since I started tracking it."

The 10 on his list for 2011, followed by their age and innings increase in 2010:
Madison Bumgarner, 21, 73
Alex Sanabia, 22, 66 1/3
Mat Latos, 23, 61 2/3
David Price, 25, 58 2/3
Brandon Beachy, 24, 57
Phil Hughes, 24, 46
Brett Cecil, 24, 41 1/3
Gio Gonzalez, 25, 41
Dillon Gee, 24, 40
Travis Wood, 23, 38 1/3
Ivan Nova, 23, 38 1/3

That's not to say all of these pitchers will struggle or get hurt next season -- pitchers are being watch more closely than ever -- but it is something to watch.

-- C. Trent Rosecrans

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Since: Jul 31, 2008
Posted on: January 14, 2011 12:03 pm

Pitch Counts

I was watching a program on MLB network where they talked about how in the 70s it was routine for the SP to throw over 200 pitches per game and how many complete games there was back then. Seems to me that all this pitch count crap is just a way to protect the millions invested in pitchers today. Makes me wonder if in another 20 years the SP will just go away completely and you will see teams stock pile arms so each guy only pitches a couple innings per game. I like how Nolan Ryan is making his guys actually pitch and EXPECTS them to finish games. Old school all the way!

Since: Dec 14, 2006
Posted on: January 12, 2011 2:33 pm

Bumgarner among those on Verducci Effect list

what a joke!! People like Ron Sandler has demonstrated that this so called "effect" is bogus. A  control group had just as many injuries as those that would fall into the "Verduccui Effect"  group.

Just looking for attention, I guess.

Since: Dec 9, 2006
Posted on: January 12, 2011 10:53 am

Bumgarner among those on Verducci Effect list

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Since: Jan 2, 2008
Posted on: January 12, 2011 10:17 am

Bumgarner among those on Verducci Effect list

Give me a break......What about the TONS of players this didnt effect????? Can you say a STRETCHHHHHHH? Is Verduci that hard up?

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