Blog Entry

Early odds for '12 show Phillies as favorites

Posted on: October 31, 2011 1:46 pm
Edited on: October 31, 2011 1:50 pm
By Matt Snyder has released its early odds for the 2012 baseball season, and the Philadelphia Phillies are the current favorites to win the World Series. The defending champion Cardinals are tied for fifth with the Tigers, and there's a decent explanation for that we'll get to later. Here's a complete list of the odds to win it all, from top to bottom (again, according to the odds -- I'm not endorsing them, only passing them along):

Philadelphia Phillies                   4/1
New York Yankees                    13/2
Boston Red Sox                        8/1
Texas Rangers                          12/1
Detroit Tigers                             14/1
St. Louis Cardinals                     14/1
San Francisco Giants                 16/1
Tampa Bay Rays                       18/1
Atlanta Braves                           18/1
Arizona Diamondbacks               20/1
Milwaukee Brewers                    22/1
Chicago Cubs                            25/1
Cincinnati Reds                         25/1
Colorado Rockies                       25/1
Los Angeles Angels                   25/1
Los Angeles Dodgers                 30/1
Florida Marlins                           30/1
Chicago White Sox                    30/1
Washington Nationals                30/1
Oakland Athletics                      35/1
Toronto Blue Jays                      35/1
Minnesota Twins                        35/1
New York Mets                          35/1
Cleveland Indians                       50/1
Seattle Mariners                        60/1
Pittsburgh Pirates                      60/1
San Diego Padres                      75/1
Baltimore Orioles                       75/1
Kansas City Royals                   75/1
Houston Astros                          100/1

Now, as I alluded to above, I found a pretty obvious answer as to why the Cardinals weren't higher. After all, they just won the World Series and are getting ace Adam Wainwright back from injury. Sure, they aren't young, but I would have thought if the team returned intact with a healthy Wainwright, they should at least be somewhere around the Phillies, right? Well, Bodog has also sent out the odds for where Albert Pujols signs. Here they are:

Chicago Cubs                            7/4
St. Louis Cardinals                     2/1
Los Angeles Angels                   9/2
Washington Nationals                7/1
New York Yankees                    12/1
Boston Red Sox                        12/1
Los Angeles Dodgers                 12/1
San Francisco Giants                 12/1
Texas Rangers                          15/1
Toronto Blue Jays                      30/1

So Bodog is betting that more of the betting public believes Pujols will sign with the Cubs than with Cardinals, which means the Cardinals odds have to drop a bit.

One thing to remember on gambling odds is they're meant to predict the betting action, not the actual results. They're in the business of making money, so they're trying to get the most possible action on as many different teams as possible. Thus, more popular teams like the Yankees, Phillies, Red Sox and Cubs generally seem to have better odds than they should.

This post is meant for entertainment purposes only, but if you think there's a steal in here, go get some action and put your money where your mouth is. Just please do so legally.

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Since: Aug 25, 2009
Posted on: November 2, 2011 12:11 am

Early odds for '12 show Phillies as favorites

This is premature to try to put odds when there are way too many variables that have to settle down.  A bookmaker would be nuts to open the book before knowing the roster for the teams and at least the first cut at who is having medical procedures performed.  At least wait until the free agency period starts. 

Since: Oct 31, 2011
Posted on: October 31, 2011 2:37 pm

Early odds for '12 show Phillies as favorites

picking odds before free agent signings is just silly one should not even think about this till Feb. after all this FOOTBALL SEASON

Since: May 2, 2007
Posted on: October 31, 2011 1:50 pm

Early odds for '12 show Phillies as favorites

arizona might be the team to beat next year. even thou im a brewers fan. they are young and have a solid core. cant wait for the 2012 season

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