Blog Entry

Team-by-team AL free agency outlooks

Posted on: November 1, 2011 4:35 pm
Edited on: November 1, 2011 10:20 pm
 


By Matt Snyder


With open free agency set to hit us at 12:01 a.m. Thursday, it's worth taking a quick look at what every single team is going to be looking for. We've already done detailed breakdowns in the R.I.P. series, so here are some quick hitters for the American League:

Baltimore Orioles | R.I.P.
Needs: Could use a corner infielder, depending upon where they want to play Mark Reynolds (including DH). Pitching, starting and in relief.
Money to spend? They should have a decent amount. Between Derrek Lee, Vladimir Guerrero, Mike Gonzalez, Koji Uehara and Cesar Izturis, that's roughly $25 million coming off the books from the beginning of last season. Some arbitration raises are coming, but we'll see how much owner Peter Angelos wants to spend. The Orioles have already raised payroll about $20 million since 2008. Don't count out a run at Prince Fielder or some other big name.

Boston Red Sox | R.I.P.
Needs: Pitching, right field.
Money to spend? Will new GM Ben Cherington be more careful on big free agent deals after seeing some colossal failures in recent years? It's hard to tell, but if the Red Sox let both David Ortiz and Jonathan Papelbon walk, they'll be able to spend. The two combined to make over $24 million last year. J.D. Drew's $14 million is gone just as Jason Varitek and Tim Wakefield are free agents. A few arbitration raises should still leave the Red Sox about $30 million short of last season's payroll. So there's room to play.

New York Yankees | R.I.P.
Needs: Pitching, pitching, pitching
Money to spend? With Jorge Posada's hefty contract coming off the books, yes, you can expect the Yankees have money to spend. Do they go large and land C.J. Wilson? I'd guess there are serious discussions about doing so. He's left-handed, which is a great fit for Yankee Stadium. Maybe Mark Buehrle is a fall back and posting for Yu Darvish is entirely possible. One thing is for sure: Getting CC Sabathia nailed down before free agency began was huge.

More Free Agency
Position rankings
Tampa Bay Rays | R.I.P.
Needs: Catcher, first baseman, shortstop, bullpen help
Money to spend? Not much. The situation in Tampa Bay is dire, so if the Rays are really looking to shore up that many positions via free agency, it's going to have to be on the cheap. And they might even have to trade James Shields to do so. Trading B.J. Upton is a no-brainer in order to save money. In dealing those two, they could plug Desmond Jennings in center and Matt Moore in the rotation and then fill the holes cheaply with guys like Johnny Damon and Casey Kotchman (which they did last season).

Toronto Blue Jays | R.I.P.
Needs: All kinds of pitching, second base.
Money to spend? The belief is they have a lot of money to spend between this offseason and next. Do they make a big splash now or wait? They could make a run at Prince Fielder or David Ortiz, but the offense doesn't need near as much help as the pitching -- plus, with Edwin Encarnacion coming back 1B and DH seem to be filled. They will probably hit on a closer like Jonathan Papelbon or Ryan Madson. As for the second base crop, it's pretty thin. Maybe Ramon Santiago or Jamey Carroll? If they really wanted to go for it, they could move Brett Lawrie back to second base and go after Aramis Ramirez, but that's not happening.

Chicago White Sox | R.I.P.
Needs: To get younger
Money to spend? Not much. The White Sox had a huge payroll last season and got nothing to show for it. Paul Konerko, Adam Dunn, Alex Rios and Jake Peavy will make over $55 million combined and there don't appear to be any areas where a quick fix would make the White Sox a ton better than last year. Instead, they should stay away from free agency and instead start trading veterans to stock a barren farm system.

Cleveland Indians | R.I.P.
Needs: catcher or first base (depending on where they play Carlos Santana), left field (Michael Brantley likely moves to center with Grady Sizemore gone)
Money to spend? The Indians have a lot of good, young talent but it's all already arrived at the big-league level (or been traded away). So they're ready to make a move in the Central, as evidenced by trading for veteran Derek Lowe. There's some extra revenue from the increased attendance in 2011, but they still can't come close to affording Prince Fielder or Albert Pujols. Maybe Carlos Pena? He's a good defensive first baseman and hit 28 homers with 74 RBI and an .879 OPS if you lop off his dreadful start in 2011 (that listed stat line began May 3). If not Pena, Casey Kotchman is a decent fall back.

Detroit Tigers | R.I.P.
Needs: Second base and third base (or shortstop, with Jhonny Peralta shifting positions).
Money to spend? With some big contracts (like Magglio Ordonez and Carlos Guillen) coming off the books and a revenue stream from a season that saw the Tigers hit the ALCS, you can bet they'll be spending. Jose Reyes or Aramis Ramirez would work well, but it seems like a top-of-the-order guy makes more sense, considering Jim Leyland was forced to keep trotting strikeout machine Austin Jackson out in the leadoff spot and the Tigers already have Miguel Cabrera and Victor Martinez in the middle. Also, the Tigers could also go cheap in the infield and grab someone like Michael Cuddyer for right field. We'll see.

Kansas City Royals | R.I.P.
Needs: Starting pitching, relief pitching, bench depth
Money to spend? The Royals haven't yet made their move in the AL Central, so revenues haven't greatly increased just yet. They'll be able to spend some money, but mostly the type that can land spare parts while the Royals wait on the young wave to thrive. Reports have indicated general manager Dayton Moore wants to trade some of the Royals' many coveted prospects for a good starting pitcher, so expect K.C. to be more active in hot stove trade talk than in major free agency signings.

Minnesota Twins | R.I.P.
Needs: Closer, setup men, corner outfielders and to stay healthy
Money to spend? If the Twins bring back both Jason Kubel and Michael Cuddyer, they'll be a bit strapped for cash. If not, they'll have plenty to spend, as those two leaving along with Joe Nathan and Matt Capps frees up lots of money. Expect the Twins to be aggressive in seeking relief pitching help, even possibly willing to trade other pieces to shore up the back-end of the bullpen.

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim | R.I.P.
Needs: Catcher (hmm, if only they didn't trade a certain postseason star), pitching depth
Money to spend? Nope, they're pretty much on lockdown, as owner Arte Moreno has said the payroll will decrease -- and they're already saddled with lots of huge veteran contracts. Even if they could find takers for some of the overpaid veterans, they'd have to give significant salary relief. As things stand, the Angels in 2012 probably greatly resemble the Angels of 2011.

Oakland Athletics | R.I.P.
Needs: An entire outfield and third base.
Money to spend? The A's have over $23 million in salary coming off the books, but the question is if Billy Beane attacks things in a similar manner to how he did last year with the offense. Several modest one-year contracts were handed out. Why not instead go young with Michael Taylor, Chris Carter and Brandon Allen while using the free agent money on one bigger bat (Aramis Ramirez? Carlos Beltran?)? The problem there lies in convincing a major free agent to play in Oakland, so the guess is Beane again signs a few cheaper guys like Josh Willingham and Hideki Matsui last season.

Seattle Mariners | R.I.P.
Needs: Pitching depth, offensive firepower.
Money to spend? There's a modest amount of money leaving the payroll while Ichiro is signed for $18 million in 2012 before he's done. So the Mariners could actually backload deals if they want to make a huge splash. Could they get crazy and go after two big offensive names? They've done so in the past (the Adrian Beltre and Richie Sexson signings). Expect to hear the Mariners in rumors for Prince Fielder and Jose Reyes, and probably trickling on down to the likes of Carlos Beltran and Jimmy Rollins. Now, whether or not they can convince any of those guys to sign, we'll see.

Texas Rangers | R.I.P.
Needs: Bullpen depth
Money to spend? A modest amount. It's likely the Rangers let C.J. Wilson walk and fill in the rotation either in-house (Neftali Feliz, Alexi Ogando, Scott Feldman) or by signing Japanese phenom Yu Darvish. From there, the Rangers could make Mike Adams the new closer and focus on setup men, or go after a free agent closer like Jonathan Papelbon or Ryan Madson. Keep in mind, the Rangers don't have to change much, considering they were one strike away from a World Series title twice and the overwhelming majority of the team is returning intact. Plus, the revenues from going to two consecutive World Series will give them the ability to increase the payroll should they wish.

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Comments

Since: Aug 7, 2008
Posted on: November 2, 2011 7:41 pm
 

Team-by-team AL free agency outlooks

The Yankees have far more "Haters" then just the RSN.... Get real!!!!!!!



Since: Aug 7, 2008
Posted on: November 2, 2011 7:38 pm
 

Team-by-team AL free agency outlooks

Yankees suck, doesn't matter how much they spend, its always enough for them to make playoffs, then they fall apart.  Enough said!!!!



Since: Sep 2, 2007
Posted on: November 2, 2011 4:35 pm
 

Team-by-team AL free agency outlooks

If the Tigers plan on returning Inge....that poses some intersting issues.

I think they need a back up catcher as much as 2B!

Sure they have Martinez....but I don't think they want to risk his status behind the plate.

Aramis Ramirez would be a great acquisition for 3rd base to relegate Inge as the back up catcher....though I am not sure he is physically capable of playing that position once every 8-10 days.

If they could get Jose Reyes at Short...and move Peralta to 2B that could solve 1 part of their two part problem. And contrary to what soem have said..Peralta is a TEAM player and would accept that move no problem.

Delmond Young should be a solid OF.....but Boesch is still questionable due to durability. And I certainly agree that Jackson...as good as a defensive player with speed he is....is a detriment to the top of that line up.

Also, they need another starter. Verlander and Fister looks like a good 1-2 punch. Scherzer and Porcello were way to inconsistent. Does Oswald interest them?





Since: Nov 1, 2011
Posted on: November 2, 2011 3:44 pm
 

Team-by-team AL free agency outlooks

The Tigers will have $$ to spend and Mike Ilitch at 83 wants to win now. He isn't concerned about what a big contract will do th the future (his kids can worry about that). I fully expect a big signing. Reyes at leadoff would be fun but I would love to see Aramis Ramirez.



Since: Mar 9, 2007
Posted on: November 2, 2011 3:24 pm
 

Team-by-team AL free agency outlooks

Check that I did say virtually even. O well, lets just stick with stabilized.



Since: Mar 9, 2007
Posted on: November 2, 2011 3:23 pm
 

Team-by-team AL free agency outlooks

Looks like the only Kool-Aid you drink tommygunn is the "spiked" kind found in the Red Sux locker room. But the payroll excuse for losing is getting old.

...The Yankees payroll in 2011 was $202.7 Million - over $30mil more than the #2 team in payroll, the Phillies... and $40+mil more than the Red Sox..
So yes tommygunn44, like I said in my comment the difference between the Phillies or the Red Sox and the Yankees essentially is Alex Rodriguez's salary ($31 million in 2011). He makes up for the difference entirely between NY & Phillies salary and almost closes the gap between the Yankees and the Red Sox. His collasal salary is an albatross like I said in making the Yankees overall salary look inflated.

... there is no "virtually even" with any other team...

I never said "virtually even" I said stabilized. If you look at the past Yankees salary versus the league average (lets take 2005 for example) the Yankees payroll was at $208 million while the Red Sox (the next closest team) was at $123 million. Over the past 6 years while the Red Sox have climbed to $161 million while the Yankees have dropped $6 million in overall salary to 2011.

So yes stabilizing.

And the Red Sux suck.

Big time.



Since: Jul 24, 2009
Posted on: November 2, 2011 3:14 pm
 

Team-by-team AL free agency outlooks

and the Yankees will be adding yet more payroll this offseason (adding pitching to their terrible rotation) while Boston and Philly are much more likely to be trimming payroll. So the moniker 'Best team money can buy' is still very alive and well in NY ... there is no "virtually even" with any other team... stop trying to fool yourself
LOL.  Yea ok, I'm sure the Red Sox will be "trimming" their payroll.  You think they are just going to let all their free agents go somewhere else and not make any big moves this offseason???  Can you say delusional???



Since: Jul 24, 2009
Posted on: November 2, 2011 3:07 pm
 

Team-by-team AL free agency outlooks

Since when do the Yanks actually do anything that makes sense????....I think Fielder wants to play for the Yankees, just a hunch.  He can DH and sub for Tex once inawhile.
Why would the Yankees spend 150 million dollars on a full time DH when they have a much cheaper option in Montero, who is one of the best hitting prospects in all of baseball.  Like I said before, ARod is going to have DH much more next year and will end up being the full time DH sooner than later to keep him healthier.  Like I said before, there's no chance Fielder is on the Yankees next year regardless of whether you have a hunch or not.  If the Yanks are going to make any more moves this offseason, it will be for starting pitching. 



Since: Dec 13, 2008
Posted on: November 2, 2011 1:45 pm
 

Team-by-team AL free agency outlooks

Since when do the Yanks actually do anything that makes sense????....I think Fielder wants to play for the Yankees, just a hunch.  He can DH and sub for Tex once inawhile.  I just think thats where he wants to go....if he's smart Texas looks like the best fit for him, upgrade over Moreland and makes that lineup ridiculous.



Since: Nov 26, 2008
Posted on: November 2, 2011 1:29 pm
 

Team-by-team AL free agency outlooks

Stabilizing? I realize your a Yankee fan, but gezz - stop drinking the Kool-Aid...  the Yankees payroll in 2011 was $202.7 Million - over $30mil more than the #2 team in payroll, the Phillies... and $40+mil more than the Red Sox... and the Yankees will be adding yet more payroll this offseason (adding pitching to their terrible rotation) while Boston and Philly are much more likely to be trimming payroll. So the moniker 'Best team money can buy' is still very alive and well in NY ... there is no "virtually even" with any other team... stop trying to fool yourself


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