Blog Entry

2012 free agent predictions

Posted on: November 2, 2011 10:05 pm
Edited on: November 3, 2011 1:49 pm
By Evan Brunell

Which free agents will end up where?

That's the burning question facing the experts, who have submitted predictions for where some top free agents on the market will go.

Eye on Baseball's Evan Brunell further explains his predictions here, while Larry Dobrow thinks that Prince Fielder will stay in the NL Central, but move a bit south and join Theo Epstein in Chicago. Meanwhile, Gregg Doyel cheekily predicts New York and Boston will open up their wallets and dominate the market. One question, Gregg: With Derek Jeter, Jose Reyes and Jimmy Rollins all Yankees, where do they play!?

2012 Free Agency
Position rankings
Resident baseball columnists Danny Knobler and Scott Miller agree that Pujols will return to St. Louis and Rollins to Philadelphia, but past that it's a free-for-all. The biggest surprises? Knobler has Jose Reyes joining the Tigers, presumably shoving Jhonny Peralta to third. Scott Miller likes Reyes to the Giants, while calling for Carlos Beltran to join the Pittsburgh Pirates. Yes, really. Knobler, on the other hand, tabs Beltran to the Marlins.

Eye on Baseball's C. Trent Rosecrans and Matt Snyder have their own surprise picks. For one, Rosecrans has Albert Pujols to the Marlins. Can you imagine? Snyder, meanwhile, is the only person to predict a shortstop heading to Seattle with Rollins apparently headed northwest. Brunell was the only other person to believe Seattle will play in the free-agent market, as Fielder heads to Seattle in his predictions.

Speaking of Fielder, no one could agree on his landing spot. He could be headed virtually anywhere in the United States. It will be a major surprise if he doesn't land at one of the places projected, but with Fielder, anything goes. The person with the biggest consensus as to his destination is closer Jonathan Papelbon, with five of seven experts predicting he'll return to Boston.

Oh, and that guy named Pujols? Most see him back in St. Louis.

2012 MLB free agent predictions
C. Trent
Albert Pujols
Prince Fielder
Jose Reyes
C.J. Wilson
Jonathan Papelbon
Carlos Beltran
Heath Bell
Jimmy Rollins
Ryan Madson
Mark Buehrle

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Since: Nov 6, 2011
Posted on: November 6, 2011 9:44 am

2012 free agent predictions

Scott Miller I disagree with your notion that Papelbon would go to the Cubs. Unless the Cubs trade Carlos Marmol. Carlos is better and a heck of a lot cheaper.

Since: Feb 1, 2007
Posted on: November 6, 2011 9:44 am

2012 free agent predictions

Well it is good to see Doyle put a lot of thought into this; why who want to sign two closers in Madson and Papelbon

Since: Oct 12, 2006
Posted on: November 6, 2011 8:44 am

2012 free agent predictions

Marlins bringing in stars ? Not Pujols, they'd have to lock him in and the Cardinals are going to want to pay anything to keep him after the way he played in the WS.

Since: May 29, 2009
Posted on: November 6, 2011 6:51 am

2012 free agent predictions

Carlos Beltran will not be signing with the Tigers.  Zero chance they give him a multi-year deal with his injury history for that type of money.  I'm sure some team will, but it won't be the Tigers.  If they were to take a risk on a player with injury history -- they'd take the cheaper route and go after Grady Sizemore.

Only FA they'd be willing to shell out cash like that for in a multi-year deal with Jose Reyes, as team speed and a leadoff hitter are two things the Tigers are lacking. 

Since: Jun 14, 2009
Posted on: November 6, 2011 2:48 am

2012 free agent predictions

I think Doyel is trolling

Since: Jan 22, 2009
Posted on: November 6, 2011 12:39 am

2012 free agent predictions

If I had to pick a landing space for these players. Here is where I believe their destinations will be:

Albert Pujols: (St. Louis Cardinals) Even with the departure of Tony Larussa. I think Albert Pujols will stay with the city that he is most comfortable with and that he won a World Series title with this past season, and with the possibility of repeating with Adam Wainwright returning in 2012 will help make the case for Pujols to stay be come heavier. Solid offensive help like Lance Berkman, Matt Holliday, and Allen Craig all returning will factor into his decision as well to stay. Mr. Pujols will be looking at a hefty contract to stay with the Cardinals. We may see an Alex Rodriguez type contract of $300 Million for 10 years with alot of the contract back loaded so that the Cardinals can pay Pujols after he is through playing so they can afford to acquire some more help in the areas which they are thin at.

Prince Fielder: (Chicago Cubs) The Cubs have a lot of payroll on their team and some of it to players who are worth nowhere near what their mammoth contracts are paying them (Carlos Zambrano and Alfonso Soriano come to mind). However, The Cubs have to know with the understanding of hiring Theo Epstein that he has a penchant for the big name marquee signing, and the Cubs have the payroll in order to take on a Prince Fielder type contract even with some of their bloated contracts. The Cubs really want Fielder in order to stick it to NL Central foe Milwaukee Brewers as well as to help Theo Epstein have a marquee player to build around to be competitive against the Powerhouse NL Central Brewers and Cardinals. If I had to guess his price range I would say the Cubs will give him $230 Million over 7 years.

Jose Reyes: (San Fransisco Giants) This San Fransisco Giants team has a huge void at Shortstop and the same void at the top of their lineup. Reyes said earlier this season that he wants Carl Crawford type money ($142 Million for 7 years). The only team I can see giving him that type of money due to the massive offensive void they have is the San Fransisco Giants. With a player like Reyes especially if he can stay healthy in the NL West would make the Giants odds on favorites. The Giants also seek to recapture their 2010 championship and with the dynamic changed much since then they realize that Lincecum and Cain alone can't do it. With the return of Buster Posey and with the addition of Jose Reyes along with good pieces around them such as Aubrey Huff and Pablo Sandoval. Suddenly, the Giants offense wouldn't look bad at all. If I had to guess a price range for Reyes and the Giants. I would say he will get the Carl Crawford type money he wants and then some just due to him playing Shortstop which is a far more premium position and considering his age, he should really rake in the cash at the tune of $166 Million for 7 years.

C.J. Wilson: (Florida Marlins) With moving into a new stadium. The Marlins will need to confront a major hole on their team to attract fans to come out to their new park. By signing the left handed Wilson to compliment righties Josh Johnson which should return healthy along with Annibal Sanchez and Ricky Nolasco suddenly the Marlins rotation would look more formidable. I say the Florida Marlins give him $90 Million over 5 years.

Jonathan Papelbon: (Boston Red Sox) After having a very solid season for the The Boston Red Sox. I believe Red Sox management will bring him back, because they know that it takes a special type of closer to be able to handle the vaunted offenses in the AL East and Papelbon for the most part has proven that he can do that. Teams typically tend to keep homegrown players, and since the Red Sox while they may have some holes they need to fill in the rotation. Do understand that they can't part with a player that has been servicable to them especially when neither Madsen or Bell have proven they can handle AL East hitters. I think Papelbon and The Red Sox come to an agreement along the lines of $70 Million for 5 years

Carlos Beltran: (Detroit Tigers) While Delmon Young and Ryan Raburn are alright players. They aren't exactly what you envision as starters for your outfield. Carlos Beltran would be an amazing upgrade for this Tigers outfield, and give it some validity and help fill in an area that is very suspect for the Tigera at this point in time. Brennan Boesch, Austin Jackson, and Carlos Beltran make the Tigers outfield look alot better than before. I think Beltran and The Tigers agree to a contract of $48 Million for 3 years

Heath Bell: (Philadelphia Phillies) With the departures of Brad Lidge and Ryan Madsen. The Phillies have money to sign solid bullpen help as well as the fact that they now need it with those 2 departures. I think they go big and land Heath Bell because he provides their bullpen with the consistancy that they have at times not recieved from Madsen and Lidge from the closers role. I believe the Phillies and Heath Bell will agree on a contract of $54 Million for 4 years

Jimmy Rollins: (Milwaukee Brewers) With the departure of Prince Fielder. The Brewers need someone to hit at the top of their order so they can move Corey Hart down in the order. Rollins provides two crucial things for the Brewers someone to replace Yunesky Betancourt and someone to make their overall defense much better at shortstop. I think Rollins and the Brewers come to terms on a deal at $65 Million for 5 years

Ryan Madson: (Cincinnati Reds) The Reds didn't have a great season in 2011, but are 1 year off from winning the NL Central in 2010. So they may believe they still have a shot, and with closer Fransisco Cordero's Team Option being declined. The Reds will be looking for a closer in late innings that can bring it especially after Cordero has blew so many pivotal games for them. I think the Reds and Madsen come to a deal of $46 Million for 4 years

Mark Buehrle: (New York Yankees) The Yankees and Brian Cashman know they need Starting rotation help, and have acknowledged that they will contact C.J. Wilson. However, I think the Yankees will go the Buerhle route because he has been amazingly consistant and durable which is something they aren't sure they can get from C.J. Wilson, and with the type of hitting they have amassed and the age of the players that they have on the roster they know that even with the money at hand that the core roster is aging quickly, and that the fans are getting impatient with having the highest payroll in baseball and haven't won in the world series in 2 seasons. Buerhle is the best pitcher on the market that gives the Yankees the afore mentioned Consistancy and Durability. I believe the Yankees and Buerhle will agree on a deal of $82 Million for 5 years

Since: Apr 11, 2007
Posted on: November 5, 2011 11:53 pm

2012 free agent predictions

you REALLY think back 2 back WS by the same 2 teams ? and the Brewers losing Fielder ?
rooooooolllll another one , just like the other  Tongue out

Since: May 29, 2009
Posted on: November 5, 2011 11:37 pm

2012 free agent predictions

Doyel's pick made me literally spit the drink out of my mouth.  Signing Jimmy Rollins, Jose Reyes and already just giving an extension to Derek Jeter.  LMAO.  Throw in Pujols as well.  Why not???  Suprised Doyel didn't have NY signing Fielder too.  

Not very educated picks on his behalf, but humorous none the less. 

Since: Mar 22, 2008
Posted on: November 5, 2011 11:26 pm
This comment has been removed.

Post Deleted by Administrator

Since: Nov 18, 2006
Posted on: November 5, 2011 10:09 pm

2012 free agent predictions

This article l would only have the slightest hint of meaning if these blowhards had to actually SUFFER for an incorrect GUESS - like maybe running a rusty nail thru a boy part. Based on the complete lack of substanation provided, other than what any guy that listens to the radio on hs commute work could give, this might be the lamest piece of journalism yet in this offseason. Something tells me its gonna get a lot worse...

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