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Blog Entry

Five active surefire Hall of Famers

Posted on: January 4, 2012 1:30 pm
Edited on: January 4, 2012 1:57 pm
 


By Matt Snyder


With the Hall of Fame voting results revealed this coming Monday, it's always a perfect time to look at ahead at future Hall of Famers. Sure, we'll debate about them when the time comes, but why wait? We've got time -- as it's a slow time of the year for baseball.

Thus, Eye On Baseball will do a five-part series about current players who may or may not eventually be enshrined into the Baseball Hall of Fame at Cooperstown, New York. The first part, this one, will deal with players who could retire right this second and be a sure bet to be voted into the Hall. While the resume isn't necessarily complete -- one of these guys' is far from complete -- it's already Hall-worthy.

Anyway, considering we're saying a player can retire right this instant and still easily get into the Hall, this list is short. It's just five names. We'll go in alphabetical order. To reiterate, this isn't players who we think will get in one day (which would certainly include someone like Roy Halladay). This list is of guys who could call a press conference and retire right now and still make the Hall.

Hall of Fame coverage
Derek Jeter: The Captain was already headed to Cooperstown regardless, but the 3,000th hit this past summer completed his first-ballot resume. He has a career .313 batting average with 240 homers, 339 steals, a Rookie of the Year award and five World Series rings. His postseason line -- .307/.374/.465 with 20 homers in 152 games -- along with seven top-10 finishes in MVP voting further cements his legacy.

Chipper Jones: Jones joined a division-winner and was one of the key members of 11 more division championships, winning the World Series once. The seven-time All-Star won the 1999 MVP -- pretty darn tough to do in those days for a presumed non-juicer -- and finished in the top 10 in voting five other times. He has 454 home runs and over 1,500 runs and RBI. Perhaps the most underrated aspect of Jones' game is he's walked more times than he's struck out in his career, helping to give him a .402 career on-base percentage. His .935 OPS ranks him 31st in MLB history.

Albert Pujols: Will the "longevity" crowd go nuts over this pick? Maybe. But c'mon. The guy has been one of the three best players in baseball for 11 years and the best since Barry Bonds retired. To randomly select a recent inductee, Jim Rice played 2,098 games in 16 seasons; winning one MVP and finishing in the top five six total times. Pujols? He's played in 1,705 games. In his 11 seasons, he's won three MVPs and finished in the top five 10 times. He already has 445 career home runs and his rate stats are insane. Pujols' .328 career batting average ranks him 33rd of all-time. His .420 OBP ranks him 19th and his .617 slugging percentage ranks him fourth ever. Only Babe Ruth, Ted Williams and Lou Gehrig had a higher mark. Yes, those rate stats tend to decline with age, so then I'd go back to the prime and point to the top five MVP finishes. Oh, and the two World Series rings, along with several huge postseason hits.

The point is, while he hasn't played 15 years, for example, few in the history of the game have ever put up 11 seasons at any point in their career as Pujols already has, so he's in right now. The only thing that could possibly keep him out is an unfortunate test at some point, but we're talking facts here, not baseless speculation.

Mariano Rivera: Obviously there's a spot for the best reliever in major-league history. Not only does Rivera hold the all-time record with 603 regular-season saves, but he's closed down 42 of 45 postseason save chances with a sparkling 0.70 ERA and 0.76 WHIP. Small sample? Not really. It's 141 innings, which is roughly twice as many as he'll throw in a given regular season. The 12-time All-Star also has those five rings, like Jeter does. Rivera's consistency, dominance and longevity mean he's a sure bet, even if other relievers have had trouble getting in.

Jim Thome: Is 600 the new 500? It used to be that hitting a 500th home run was like punching one's ticket to Cooperstown. That club has grown to 25 guys now, and will be adding one more pretty soon (Pujols). That's still pretty exclusive and might remain a barrier that always gets guys voted in -- assuming the PED cloud of suspiscion doesn't hang over their heads the way it does McGwire and Manny Ramirez, to name two. For good measure, though, Thome just went past 600 home runs this past season. Only seven have ever hit more homers in a career, three of which (Bonds, Sammy Sosa and Alex Rodriguez) will have to deal with those PED questions.

Thome doesn't just hit home runs, either. He's drawn 1,725 career walks (eighth all-time), which has helped him garner over 1,500 runs and a .403 career OBP. He also ranks 26th in history with 1,674 career RBI. Even if most of Thome's value does stem from hitting home runs, that's the best possible outcome a hitter can have. That's like saying all a football player does is score touchdowns -- more than all but seven have in the game's history. How is that bad?

Coming Thursday: Borderline candidates among older veterans
Friday: Players over 30 who have a shot of getting there with a few more good years
Saturday: Players under 30 building a good foundation
Sunday: Asterisk candidates -- on-field numbers good enough but PED issues cloud matters

For more baseball news, rumors and analysis, follow @EyeOnBaseball on Twitter, subscribe to the RSS feed and "like" us on Facebook.
Comments

Since: Jun 24, 2008
Posted on: January 6, 2012 4:33 pm
 

Five active surefire Hall of Famers

Lombardincoke:  The #1 classic reasoning blunder most people make about who should be in the Hall and who should not is that they look for the worst Hall entrants and then use that to compare to the player they are advocating for.  That approach, of course, ensures that the Hall standards will deteriorate until everyone who ever played baseball is in the Hall.  And you've fallen into that trap here with your reasoning.  Congratulations. The thing is, most of those players should not be in the Hall either and they are all mighty fortunate that they are in. You are also arguing, by inference, that Carlos Beltran, J.D. Drew, Mike Cameron, Andruuw Jones and all the rest of the players on the first list should be in as well.  So, your reasoning is circuitous and you end up arguing for complete nonsense. 



Since: Apr 1, 2009
Posted on: January 6, 2012 4:25 pm
 

Five active surefire Hall of Famers

dude, you are crazy to think chipper wont be in on the first ballot. he is one of the most productive switch hitteres in baseball. he was the anchor and franchise face of the braves throughout thier 13 straight division titles. He is without a doubt a first ballot guy. To think he isnt is ludacris.



Since: Apr 1, 2009
Posted on: January 6, 2012 4:24 pm
 

Five active surefire Hall of Famers

dude, you are crazy to think chipper wont be in on the first ballot. he is one of the most productive switch hitteres in baseball. he was the anchor and franchise face of the braves throughout thier 13 straight division titles. He is without a doubt a first ballot guy. To think he isnt is ludacris.



Since: May 2, 2007
Posted on: January 6, 2012 4:14 pm
 

Five active surefire Hall of Famers

ichiro for sure.......



Since: Feb 24, 2007
Posted on: January 6, 2012 3:27 pm
 

Five active surefire Hall of Famers

Whether I agree with it or not, Chipper Jones is not a sure HOF and probably will not get in on the first ballot. he has hung on for a few extra years and still did nto get any ofthe magic numbers. He was great for a nice run of years, but that has not resulted in HOF votes for a lot of similar players recently. It's the Hall of Fame, Not the Hall of the Very Good.

The missing name is Ichiro.

I do like that they left anyone associated with PED's of the list including ARod.

I think there is a spot for Rivera, but there wasn't a spot for Lee when he retired the all time leader so who knows. There will be extra votes to go around if they are not voting for the steroid players.



Since: Feb 7, 2007
Posted on: January 6, 2012 3:14 pm
 

Five active surefire Hall of Famers

ICHIRO



Since: Feb 28, 2008
Posted on: January 6, 2012 3:09 pm
 

Five active surefire Hall of Famers

Pudge the best catcher ever? Not hardly, pilgrim. I think I'll just quote all-time great manager Sparky Anderson when he said (of Thurman Munson), "Don't embarrass (another catcher) by comparing him to Johnny Bench."
 



Since: Dec 6, 2011
Posted on: January 6, 2012 1:54 pm
 

Five active surefire Hall of Famers

i have a baseball card which has juan gonzalez, rafael palmeiro, jose canseco and ivan rodriguez on it.  i realize pudge has never been bust for PEDs and i hope he never does because i loved watching the guy play but there is something to be said for guilt by association.



Since: Aug 18, 2009
Posted on: January 6, 2012 12:53 pm
 

Five active surefire Hall of Famers

Well, where is it? It's Friday and I still can't find this article that was coming Thursday.

Did they say which Thursday? 




Since: Nov 4, 2011
Posted on: January 6, 2012 12:44 pm
 

Five active surefire Hall of Famers

Where is Ivan "Pudge" Rodriguez....he will be for sure a first year election....best catcher ever....period!


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