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Blog Entry

Ryan Howard update: Maybe back in May

Posted on: January 31, 2012 2:30 pm
 
By Matt Snyder

Phillies slugger Ryan Howard tore his achilles tendon on his final at-bat of the season, a groundout that ended the NLDS against the Cardinals. He then had surgery in the second week of October to repair the injury and -- at the time -- the Phillies seemed hopeful he'd have a really quick recovery.

"A lot depends on how he recovers," said Amaro at the time. "The start of the season could be impacted, but I still hope he makes his first at-bat of the season."

Fast-forward to January 31, and here's what Amaro has to say about Howard's recovery:

"I think [opening day] is more than a reach," said Amaro (via MLB.com). "If he's back by sometime in May, I'll be happy."

Initially, Amaro set the timetable of recovery at five to six months and sounded hopeful for opening day, though some injury analysts said a nine- to 12-month recovery was more likely. If Howard gets back on the field nine months from his surgery, he'll be playing right after the All-Star break in July and 12 months would have him missing the entire regular season. So if Howard is actually able to get back in May, that's still a very fast recovery. Judging from Amaro's latest statement, though, the reality is obviously starting to set in: Ryan Howard is going to miss a chunk of the 2012 season. From here, the only determination is whether he misses a small chunk or a large one.

Howard, 32, hit .253/.346/.488 with 33 home runs and 116 RBI for the Phillies this season. He begins a five-year, $125 million contract next season.

Without Howard, it appears the Phillies will use Ty Wigginton at first base, though Jim Thome and Laynce Nix are also options.

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Category: MLB
Comments

Since: Mar 18, 2009
Posted on: January 31, 2012 8:53 pm
 

Ryan Howard update: Maybe back in May

No problem, Matt.  The story was accurate, just the headline was misleading for some who don't know any better.  Keep up the great work.



Since: Jun 3, 2010
Posted on: January 31, 2012 8:44 pm
 

Ryan Howard update: Maybe back in May

argo444:

Yeah, I think in between is where it's going to fall ... 7-8 months sounds reasonable judging from Amaro's quotes.

String:

You are correct. I'll have that fixed.

- Matt



Since: Mar 18, 2009
Posted on: January 31, 2012 8:37 pm
 

Nice Headline

The headline indicated 'ACL' which CBS presumably thought was an acronym for an achilles tendon.  ACL is the anterior crutiate ligamment.  Ryan Howard ruptured his achilles tendon and not his ACL... just saying, lest there be any confusion.



Since: Dec 5, 2011
Posted on: January 31, 2012 8:16 pm
 

Ryan Howard update: Maybe back in May

Good !



Since: Jul 9, 2009
Posted on: January 31, 2012 8:15 pm
 

Ryan Howard update: Maybe back in May

Thanks for the responses, Matt. I did not see the Oct. 12 story (or tweet) you refer to.

I must say, though, that the 9-12 month estimate may not prove to be any more reliable than the 5-6 month estimate is likely to be (which itself was probably based on something a physican or two had said). Without going into detail, I've had plenty of occasions to see that physicians can and frequently do disagree with one another as to diagnosis and prognosis maters (such as how long a person will be out of work)--sometimes it's shocking how much they disagree. So my only suggestion would be that no one rely on any one medical source too heavily (even if the source has asked around), particularly if they haven't examined the patient. 




Since: Jun 3, 2010
Posted on: January 31, 2012 6:20 pm
 

Ryan Howard update: Maybe back in May

I have absolutely no idea why it matters, . I never disputed the Phillies' timetable, which they said was 5-6 months. I just passed along that people not involved with the organization didn't think Howard would make it back in 5-6 months.

Considering the GM today said he'd be happy with a May return (May 12 would be SEVEN months), it would appear the 5-6 month estimates were wrong.

Again, I don't understand why this matters, but whatever.

- Matt



Since: Jul 27, 2011
Posted on: January 31, 2012 6:16 pm
 

Ryan Howard update: Maybe back in May

Yes, Matt (Snyder), you did mention 9-12 months, but in a Tweet.  Like others here, I don't recall 9-12 months getting a lot of PR back when it happened, and that certainly changes the outlook bigtime.  And yes, R1vera, I agree that Mayberry deserves time at first, and based on Manuel's strategy last year, I'm betting he DOES get time there--and maybe more than Nix, almost definitely more than Thome, and that leaves Wiggington. Whoever hits, wins, because the Phils will need all the homers and RBIs they can get minus Howard, plus an aging Utley, JRol, and Polanco.  In the end, the Phils go over the hill soon--it may just be a matter of this year or next, especially since no one has any idea how Howard recovers from a debilitating injury.  



Since: Jul 21, 2009
Posted on: January 31, 2012 5:55 pm
 

Ryan Howard update: Maybe back in May

I would also like to see a little John Mayberry Jr. used at first base. Batting 5th/6th last year he produced as an everyday player when Raul Ibanez was out. Lots of Philly sports writers are down on the kid, but you never know, Jayson Werth was projected not as an everyday player just like Mayberry Jr., and look how he developed once in the lineup everyday. I think it's worth a shot early on. Thome might be too much of a defensive liability at his stage in his career.



Since: Jun 3, 2010
Posted on: January 31, 2012 4:45 pm
 

Ryan Howard update: Maybe back in May

Will Carroll of SI.com who has a physical therapy background and several medical contacts asked around and said 5-6 months is "aggressive" but possible -- but that 9-12 months is a "normal quote." .
I mentioned that in a story October 12, so I guess you didn't read it then.

- Matt



Since: Jul 9, 2009
Posted on: January 31, 2012 4:34 pm
 

Ryan Howard update: Maybe back in May

I don't know who the anonymous "injury experts" are that the author's referring to, but in all the stories I've read on this since October I've never seen anyone say nine-to-twelve months.

it appears the Phillies will use Ty Wigginton at first base, though Jim Thome and Laynce Nix are also options.

. . . and possibly John Mayberry, it's often been said.



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