Blog Entry

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

Posted on: January 6, 2011 8:35 am
Edited on: January 7, 2011 11:14 am
Posted by Andy Benoit's patented and award-winning 7-point playoff preview gets you ready for each and every playoff game. And as an added bonus, check out our playoff podcast preview:

1. New York Jets (No. 6, AFC, 11-5) @ Indianapolis Colts (No. 3, AFC, 10-6)

Rex Ryan is getting yet another crack at a legendary quarterback who is 5-0 all-time against him (counting Ryan’s days as the Ravens defensive coordinator…and NOT counting the Week 16 Curtis Painter Game from last year). Ryan calls his matchup with Peyton Manning “personal” – almost like it’s a foot fetish issue or something. Or maybe by “personal” Ryan means that he takes the losses personal (yeah…probably that one). In that case, someone can inform Ryan that Manning isn’t making it personal – he tries to exploit the holes of every opposing coach’s system.

2. PLAYOFFS?! Watchability Ranking (On a scale of 5 'Jim Mora Faces')

AFC Championship rematch? Definitely worthy of primetime slot and 5/5 Jim Mora Faces. (And any game that follows an NFC West-related game is going to naturally look great by comparison.)

3. Key Matchup to Watch: Jets DB's Drew Coleman & Dwight Lowery vs. Colts Blair White & Jacob Tamme

The winner of this weakness-on-weakness matchup could very well determine the outcome of the game. About 10 seconds after they learned they were playing the Colts, the Jets announced that shutdown cornerback Darrelle Revis would shadow 111-catch wideout Reggie Wayne. In the past, Manning has had no problem going elsewhere with the ball when Wayne is bracketed by safety help or facing a superstar cover artist.

Manning’s No. 2 option Saturday is Pierre Garcon, though Jets cornerback Antonio Cromartie poses a tough challenge. Cromartie does not have the physicality or technique to grind with the über-strong Garcon, but his lanky 6’2” frame and ball skills give him lethal playmaking prowess. Manning knows all about that playmaking prowess – he’s been picked off four times by the ex-Charger (three coming in an ’07 Sunday night contest).

And so we get to Manning’s third read: wideout Blair White or tight end Jacob Tamme (depending on the formation). Both are better options than you’d guess but, of course, worse options than their injured predecessors (Austin Collie and Dallas Clark). What makes White’s and Tamme’s wild card contributions significant is that the Jets ancillary pass defenders have struggled mightily at times this season. The 45-3 shellacking from the Patriots, for example, was a product of Tom Brady throwing repeatedly to whichever receiver New York’s backup corners lined up against. That said, White and Tamme are not as dynamic as Deion Branch and Aaron Hernandez.

As defensive backs go, Coleman and Lowery are both very good blitzers. Though he hasn’t done so nearly as often this season, perhaps Ryan will elect to gamble. Manning, however, is revered around the league for his ability to punish a blitz (he has mastered “the little things”). In all likelihood, the Jets are going to have to rely on their backup defenders winning their man-to-man matchups. Ironically (and fortunately), those matchups are against Indy’s backups.

4. Potentially Relevant Video

There is a certain video involving a certain member of the Jets coaching staff circulating around the internet these days, but at some we have to commit to having maturity and class. So, we’ll pass along something else. Because interceptions were a bit of a bugaboo for Indy’s quarterback this season, and because this game (like all playoff games….and all games in general) will probably come down to turnovers, we’re going with The Manning Face.

5. The Colts will win if ...

Their defense can hold an opponent to 80 yards rushing or less for a fourth straight game. In fact, keeping the Jets’ sixth-ranked rushing attack under 125 yards would probably do the trick.

6. The Jets will win if ...

They can maintain a simplistic, ball-control oriented gameplan for Mark Sanchez. Doing that involves playing for field position, keeping the score close by limiting the Colts’ possessions early and banking on at least one big play (think Brad Smith kick return, Santonio Holmes catch-and-run or a turnover that leads to immediate points).

7. Prediction: Colts 24, Jets 17

Since: Aug 14, 2006
Posted on: January 8, 2011 7:35 am

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

JETS match up well vs Colts in my opinion , the one caviott is Manning plain & simple ! With that said i think we`re forgetting one big thing , the JETS will put up points on this Colts defense ! Losing Clark & Collie will hurt more than Colts would care to admit , our defense should be able to control their run game as well . I see the JETS putting up 30 -35 points with Holmes shredding Colts secondary , as well as JETS run game in high gear keeping Manning on sideline ! Colts haven`t really beat anyone good in last 4 games & have struggled mightily to win them , where I think the JETS showed you they can score ve a top defense (Bears) . Final score JETS 33 - Colts - 20 . See you in New England boys !

Since: Dec 15, 2010
Posted on: January 8, 2011 2:52 am

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

good point, jets only have one weakness, peyton manning

Since: Jan 7, 2011
Posted on: January 7, 2011 11:51 pm

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

Jets could (but probably wouldn’t) win a low-scoring game. If they get into a shoot-out as they did with the Bears, they’ll get killed. Bears’ offense, which is pretty tame, shredded the Jets’ D. Seems likely the Colts’ offense will do the same. Which D has the better chance of stopping the opponent’s O? Going to be tough for the Jets to win at Indy.

Since: Jan 7, 2011
Posted on: January 7, 2011 6:32 pm

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

I have trouble envisioning Mark Sanchez going into Indy and coming out victorious. Nothing against the Jets and their accomplishments this season (inspite of the insipid verbal meanderings of their bloated lugubrious coach) but Peyton will be too much to handle . Colts 31 Jets 17

Since: Jan 7, 2011
Posted on: January 7, 2011 5:52 pm

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

wow , these so called experts sound like they are in their mom's basement getting ready to play dungeons and dragons .

Since: Jan 4, 2011
Posted on: January 7, 2011 5:26 pm

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

I love it when the "Experts" and lemmings of the sports world make a game seem so one-sided. There are very few that give the JETS a chance in this game (excluding JETS fans) and it makes me laugh. Yes Manning is probably the best QB for the last decade but the team is not nearly as good as they once were. The Jets are better at almost every other facet of the game - running, defense, special teams, offensive line etc.. and please do not forget Manning's overall playoff performance - it'sub-par to average at best. If Sanchez can perform as well or better than last year the JETS win this game by 10 points or more. I think Manning will have 2 INT's Sanchez will have 1, but the ground game will be what decides the outcome and the JETS will rush for at leat 140 yards to 85 yards by the Colts. It will be a good game but Rex gets his first real win against Manning. Jets 27 - Colts 17.

Since: Feb 1, 2009
Posted on: January 7, 2011 4:31 pm

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

Although you have to better quarterback, the Jets are better than the Colts in running the  ball, the Jets defense is better, the Jets special teams are better, the offensive line is better as well. The Jets will win this game if they run the ball effectively, and don't turn the ball over.

Since: Jan 7, 2011
Posted on: January 7, 2011 1:14 pm

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

Let's see What's the saying.
Stupid is as stupid speaks.

Since: Jan 7, 2011
Posted on: January 7, 2011 1:13 pm

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

This should be a good game. But we all know the team that will be moving on. Borrowing no injuries to either team.


Since: Dec 22, 2006
Posted on: January 7, 2011 10:58 am

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

Yeah, that's what everybody said the last time the Jets and Colts met in the wildcard round... 

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