Blog Entry

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

Posted on: January 6, 2011 8:35 am
Edited on: January 7, 2011 11:14 am
Posted by Andy Benoit's patented and award-winning 7-point playoff preview gets you ready for each and every playoff game. And as an added bonus, check out our playoff podcast preview:

1. New York Jets (No. 6, AFC, 11-5) @ Indianapolis Colts (No. 3, AFC, 10-6)

Rex Ryan is getting yet another crack at a legendary quarterback who is 5-0 all-time against him (counting Ryan’s days as the Ravens defensive coordinator…and NOT counting the Week 16 Curtis Painter Game from last year). Ryan calls his matchup with Peyton Manning “personal” – almost like it’s a foot fetish issue or something. Or maybe by “personal” Ryan means that he takes the losses personal (yeah…probably that one). In that case, someone can inform Ryan that Manning isn’t making it personal – he tries to exploit the holes of every opposing coach’s system.

2. PLAYOFFS?! Watchability Ranking (On a scale of 5 'Jim Mora Faces')

AFC Championship rematch? Definitely worthy of primetime slot and 5/5 Jim Mora Faces. (And any game that follows an NFC West-related game is going to naturally look great by comparison.)

3. Key Matchup to Watch: Jets DB's Drew Coleman & Dwight Lowery vs. Colts Blair White & Jacob Tamme

The winner of this weakness-on-weakness matchup could very well determine the outcome of the game. About 10 seconds after they learned they were playing the Colts, the Jets announced that shutdown cornerback Darrelle Revis would shadow 111-catch wideout Reggie Wayne. In the past, Manning has had no problem going elsewhere with the ball when Wayne is bracketed by safety help or facing a superstar cover artist.

Manning’s No. 2 option Saturday is Pierre Garcon, though Jets cornerback Antonio Cromartie poses a tough challenge. Cromartie does not have the physicality or technique to grind with the über-strong Garcon, but his lanky 6’2” frame and ball skills give him lethal playmaking prowess. Manning knows all about that playmaking prowess – he’s been picked off four times by the ex-Charger (three coming in an ’07 Sunday night contest).

And so we get to Manning’s third read: wideout Blair White or tight end Jacob Tamme (depending on the formation). Both are better options than you’d guess but, of course, worse options than their injured predecessors (Austin Collie and Dallas Clark). What makes White’s and Tamme’s wild card contributions significant is that the Jets ancillary pass defenders have struggled mightily at times this season. The 45-3 shellacking from the Patriots, for example, was a product of Tom Brady throwing repeatedly to whichever receiver New York’s backup corners lined up against. That said, White and Tamme are not as dynamic as Deion Branch and Aaron Hernandez.

As defensive backs go, Coleman and Lowery are both very good blitzers. Though he hasn’t done so nearly as often this season, perhaps Ryan will elect to gamble. Manning, however, is revered around the league for his ability to punish a blitz (he has mastered “the little things”). In all likelihood, the Jets are going to have to rely on their backup defenders winning their man-to-man matchups. Ironically (and fortunately), those matchups are against Indy’s backups.

4. Potentially Relevant Video

There is a certain video involving a certain member of the Jets coaching staff circulating around the internet these days, but at some we have to commit to having maturity and class. So, we’ll pass along something else. Because interceptions were a bit of a bugaboo for Indy’s quarterback this season, and because this game (like all playoff games….and all games in general) will probably come down to turnovers, we’re going with The Manning Face.

5. The Colts will win if ...

Their defense can hold an opponent to 80 yards rushing or less for a fourth straight game. In fact, keeping the Jets’ sixth-ranked rushing attack under 125 yards would probably do the trick.

6. The Jets will win if ...

They can maintain a simplistic, ball-control oriented gameplan for Mark Sanchez. Doing that involves playing for field position, keeping the score close by limiting the Colts’ possessions early and banking on at least one big play (think Brad Smith kick return, Santonio Holmes catch-and-run or a turnover that leads to immediate points).

7. Prediction: Colts 24, Jets 17

Since: Nov 9, 2006
Posted on: January 7, 2011 9:37 am

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

I love it. I know that the Jets and everyone else are stroking the media's egos and being all complimentary towards the Peyton Manning and the Indianapolis Colts in general, but I think alot of people on this Jets team think they are better than us and its time for our defense to shut them up.


Since: Dec 5, 2010
Posted on: January 7, 2011 12:54 am

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

Colts by 10 due to having a way better quarterback,im also tipping rex ryan to say something stupid before and after the gameTongue out

Since: Oct 11, 2007
Posted on: January 6, 2011 11:50 pm

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

I'm a huge Colts fan, but I'm not looking past the Jets at all. The Colts have not put away any team this year. The "youngins" (White, Tamme, etc) don't have the playoff experience. We've seen how if they read the defense wrong or run the wrong route, Peyton will throw the INTs. During that bad streak of games, you could see Peyton being hesitant. He was worried more about where his receivers were going to be, rather than the defense.

The Colts will win if they can get their run game going - Dominic Rhodes is their workhorse. A couple of hard runs will keep the play action alive and well, giving Manning time to find the open receiver. Tamme needs to step up as I can see him be open over the middle of the Jets D.

Go Blue!

Since: Oct 18, 2010
Posted on: January 6, 2011 6:44 pm

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

I think you need to worry more about your spelling,  (There offense, come on), than the Patriots.  Since Baltimore will most likely win, you have to get by the Jets and the Steelers before you can to the Patriots.  Maybe if Manning was more concerned about the Super Bowl last year compared to saying he is going to DisneyWorld, you would be better off.  Go Jets.

Since: Oct 20, 2010
Posted on: January 6, 2011 6:01 pm

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

Yeah I agree, they should be able to pull out a win in Indy. The Jets offense is lackluster at best... Everyone knows what they are going to try and do: Run, run, and run... They haven't even been doing that well, and I don't need to get started on Sanchez... Predicting big game for White and Tamme...

Best case scenario: Colts get the ball first and score TD, forcing Sanchez to throw and abandon the run...

Since: Jan 6, 2011
Posted on: January 6, 2011 5:41 pm

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

Go Horse.. that being said I don't think the colts win this easily, but i do think they will win. I can see them getting healthier and healthier they have begun a new momentum. I don't see them crusing through any game throughout the play-offs but i see them with as much chance as any team to go all the way , and as long as their momentum keeps going i don't see anyone beating them easily.

Since: Feb 21, 2008
Posted on: January 6, 2011 5:21 pm

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

The same colts team that struggled to beat a titans team with kerry collins at QB? While I do think the colts have the edge you are either stupid or ignorant if you think the colts will easily "handle" the jets

Since: Dec 31, 2010
Posted on: January 6, 2011 4:06 pm

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

 I am a big Colts fan and we should win over the Jets these week. The Jets offense isn't all that good and the defense has been letting a lot of points go up on the board lately. The team I worry about for us to get to the Superbowl again is the Patriots. There offense puts up 40 points a week and they are a very good right now. We are on a 4 game winning streak and if we can win 4 more games we will be Superbowl Champs again.

Since: Feb 27, 2009
Posted on: January 6, 2011 3:39 pm

Colts vs. Jets: 7-Point Playoff Wild Card Preview

hahaha manning face was funny but Colts will beat the jets handily in my opinion

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