Blog Entry

Eagles vs. Packers: 7-Point Wild Card Preview

Posted on: January 6, 2011 2:47 pm
Edited on: January 6, 2011 5:02 pm
 
Posted by Will Brinson



CBSSports.com's patented and award-winning 7-point playoff preview gets you ready for each and every playoff game. And as an added bonus, check out our playoff podcast preview:



1. Green Bay Packers (No. 6, NFC, 10-6) @ Philadelphia Eagles (No. 3, NFC, 10-6)

And we're right back where we started! Except instead of the regular season opener, we all know that Michael Vick will play and that he's capable of being the most dangerous quarterback in the NFL on any given day. So is Aaron Rodgers, though, which is why this is such a compelling matchup. It doesn't hurt either that at one point either before the season (Packers) or during the year (Eagles), both of these teams were the clear-cut favorite to win the NFC. Injuries almost derailed Green Bay, but they rallied to become the annual "wild card team no one wants to play," while the Eagles stumbled down the stretch as either Vick's injuries caught up to him or defenses figured him out. Sunday, we find out which one it was.

2. PLAYOFFS?! Watchability Ranking



This is probably a 5-Mora rating because of the compelling matchup at quarterback, but I'm a hard sell for a maximum rating. Plus, the whole "What if Michael Vick has a bad performance" storyline is terrifying.

3. Key Matchup to Watch: Michael Vick vs. Dom Capers and his blitzing minions

Michael Vick threw his first interception since like 2006 in Week 12 against Chicago. It's cool, though, because no one can go totally interception-less. Except since that Week 12 game, he hasn't had a game without an interception. That's not saying Vick hasn't been good -- Lord knows he's piling up fantasy points by the bundles and won my championship for me (it's a CBSSports.com league, duh, so hey, Garrett! Maybe next year!). But fantasy football doesn't offer negative points for quarterbacks being sacked and when someone runs in touchdowns, which Vick does, scores get inflated. 

That's a long way of saying that take a look at the final three games of Vick's regular season and you realize how important pressure is for Dom Capers and the Packers. If they can get athletic blitzers to Vick (i.e. defensive backs and Clay Matthews), they'll force sacks, fumbles and bad decisions from Vick. 

That was the plan Minnesota utilized in Week 16 and it resulted in six sacks, two fumbles, an interception and enough bad decisions by Vick that he completed just 58.1 percent of his passes. Now, Vick probably wasn't "100 percent" but that's the nature of football at the end of the season. 

It's no secret that there's a correlation between additional pressure on the quarterback (and this applies to any team playing any quarterback) and turnovers, sacks, bad decisions and wins. And it's no secret that quarterbacks who can recognize blitz packages and formations and then adjust on the fly have a higher rate of success. Michael Vick has shown, over the past few weeks, that perhaps he's not as developed as a "pure passer" as everyone thought when he was piling up deep balls against the Redskins.

Capers will bring the heat with the Packers blitz packages -- if Vick can demonstrate a better job of recognizing the various formations, then he'll seem a lot more like the guy who upped his MVP status in the second half against the Giants than the guy who was stifled in the first part of that game.

4. Potentially Relevant Video

I was originally going to put  to put "Redemption Song" by Bob Marley here (for Vick's comeback), but that's probably desecrating the importance with which Marley wrote the anthem of freedom. Instead, let's think about what's at stake for Vick and Rodgers here -- both guys need a playoff win in the worst way. One to really beef up his contract status with the Eagles next year and the other to get that final monkey off his back. But that doesn't mean there's any PRESSURE, DAN Michael and Aaron.



5. The Eagles will win if ...

They provide Vick adequate protection and establish LeSean McCoy in both the running and passing game. The Packers are going to bring pressure (duh) and the best way to counter that is by letting McCoy make plays from screens, draws and dumps in the flats designed to occur before the pressure hits.

6. The Packers will win if ...

They get to Vick. Rodgers will get his points so it's on the defense, and the Eagles are 1-2 in games where Vick was sacked four or more times, with the lone win a 35-32 victory over Detroit in Week 2.

7. Prediction: Eagles 23, Packers 21
Comments

Since: Sep 17, 2006
Posted on: January 8, 2011 9:20 am
 

Eagles vs. Packers: 7-Point Wild Card Preview

 While I don`t think this is anything but a walk in the park I still think the Eagles beat the Packers, with  the help from some nice running on the part of McCoy and Vick to find the time to throw. The Eagles D which has been anything but stellar i think will do enough to rattle and disrupt Rodgers and really without a rushing game from the Packers the Eagles will be more aggressive in the attack on Rodgers and force him into making some bad throws. LETS GO EAGLES!!!!!




Since: Dec 26, 2010
Posted on: January 7, 2011 5:39 pm
 

Eagles vs. Packers: 7-Point Wild Card Preview

packers only win when the refs are their side.  sorry cheesehead hope the truth dont hurt you to badly.  dont start crying. 



Since: Sep 6, 2008
Posted on: January 7, 2011 4:18 pm
 

Eagles vs. Packers: 7-Point Wild Card Preview

This game is all on two people. Celek and Schmitt. If they can contain Matthews and Woodson, The Eagles win easily, with McCoy running the ball in a controlled game. If not, look for Vick to not finish the game and the Packers win big. <br /><br />I'm going with the two slow guys to protect Vick and help Shady do his thing.




Since: Aug 5, 2008
Posted on: January 7, 2011 2:54 pm
 

Eagles vs. Packers: 7-Point Wild Card Preview

I hate you Will Brinson.




Since: Jan 7, 2011
Posted on: January 7, 2011 2:02 pm
 

Eagles vs. Packers: 7-Point Wild Card Preview

Great article! Seven unique points on a football matchup. Oh wait, five of the points said get pressure on Vick. Come on, you mailed this one in.



Since: Aug 29, 2006
Posted on: January 7, 2011 1:53 pm
 

Eagles vs. Packers: 7-Point Wild Card Preview

sorry dont know what all that bottom crap is



Since: Aug 29, 2006
Posted on: January 7, 2011 1:52 pm
 

Eagles vs. Packers: 7-Point Wild Card Preview

So many ways this game can go. Packer fans overconfident, me I see an even matchup. I hear all this Vick/Rodgers talk but people forgetting the lopsided rushing attack the Eagles offer over the Packers. It is Ridiculous the advantage. It is as ridiculous as the defensive advantage the Pack has over the Eagles. The average yards per rush the Eagles own over the rest of the leaque even KC is absurd. They average almost a yard and a half over Green Bay on the ground. Does anyone else see this ridiculous advantage. 5.5 ypc for the Eagles more than a half yard better than every team in the NFL. A whole half yard. Nobody runs as well as Philly does and I cannot remember the last time a team had such a high ypc average over the rest of the NFL. Put Vick/Rodgers passing talk aside the Eagles hold a huge advantage running the ball. If they stick with that they win the game. Like I said "IF" we all know Andy hates to run. McCoy will be MVP of this game if they do so.  He quietly had an incredible season. Also we have Harrison who is an incredible seldom used runner, this guy can play too. If Andy runs the ball and doesnt panic like he normally does in the beginning of a close game the Eagles pound the ball down Green Bays throat like they did every other team and Green Bay earlier in the year. Stick with the run Andy the Eagles do it best!!!

McCoy     
      
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sp; Vick     &
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1080 yards rushing 5.2 yard average 7 TDs     &n
bsp;     676 Yards rushing 6.8 yards average 9TDs
78 Receptions 592 yards 2 TDs

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Since: Jan 19, 2007
Posted on: January 7, 2011 1:25 pm
 

Eagles vs. Packers: 7-Point Wild Card Preview

You realize that our run is not that terrible. In the Red Zone, Mike McCarthy has drawn up plays with John Kuhn, so now defenses have an additional thing to game plan for. Granted, Kuhn did not really shine against the Bears, but the Bears are terrific against the run. Drop the whole "we should have gotten lynch", yes, we might have dropped the ball on that, but who knows. Your comment is Green Bay is just an average team without Rodgers? Check the Patriots game, i believe they were far better than just average. And your comment that the Packers are average with Rodgers, wow. Take off your Favre jersey and start paying attention to games. The Packers are one of the, if not, most talented teams in the NFL, but the Packers find ways to lose games. We haven't had a running game and we lost 193 starts to players with injuries, and the Packers still made the playoffs. AVERAGE? SO, if the Packers win this game, are you going to comment saying, GO PACK GO!!!! Geez, get off your band wagon, because you resemble a Vikings Fan.




Since: Jan 7, 2011
Posted on: January 7, 2011 1:15 pm
 

Eagles vs. Packers: 7-Point Wild Card Preview

You might want to remember that Vick played in the first game as did Kolb, we knocked Kolb out twice and we are a much better team now than we were back then. I think our secondary and overall defense is far better than what Philly has seen lately. Yeah, we need to run the ball, but I think between the 3 backs we have, all 3 can at least force you to respect the threat of the run.  We won't run for 100 yards but we'll make you think about the run. If Vick struggled against the Vikings and Giants late in the year, he's going to have a lot of problems Sunday evening with our defense.

On a side note, is anybody else sick and tired of hearing about the Jets and watching them stack up prime time game after prime time game?  Good God almighty, every time you turn around the darned Jets are on primetime, they're not that good!




Since: Dec 22, 2010
Posted on: January 7, 2011 1:01 pm
 

Eagles vs. Packers: 7-Point Wild Card Preview

If the eagles win they will face the Bears unless you mean, when they beat the Bears and face the Falcons in the NFC championship 






If the Eagles do happen to get past the Packers, they would meet the Bears in Chicago. I don't see them getting past the Bears on the road. I think the best way to beat Vick is to not over pursue him. The Bears did a good job of containing Vick the last time they met. There were times that they let him roll out and kept the coverage tight. Keep the LB's around the line and wait for him to come to you. A strong 4 man rush will beat Vick most times. He'll get his yards, just keep him off the board. Garbage time 4th quarter scores made the game look a lot closer than it actually was. I still think the Packers prevail in Philly. 


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