Blog Entry

Bears vs. Packers: 7-Point Championship Preview

Posted on: January 20, 2011 1:21 pm
Edited on: January 20, 2011 1:36 pm
Posted by Andy Benoit's patented and award-winning 7-point preview gets you ready for each and every playoff game. As a bonus, enjoy our playoff podcast preview:

1. Green Bay Packers (No. 6, NFC, 12-6) @ Chicago Bears (No. 2, AFC, 12-5)

The oldest rivalry in football takes center stage in the playoffs for only the second time ever. Their last postseason meeting occurred in 1941, a week after Pearl Harbor. We’ll assume that the Bears’ momentum from that 33-14 victory has worn off.

Vegas agrees, as these Bears are actually three-and-a-half-point underdogs at home. These teams played twice in the regular season. Chicago claimed victory in Week 3 (that was the Monday night game where Mike McCarthy should have saved clock by letting the Bears score a touchdown in the final minute but instead banked on the idea that Robbie Gould would miss a 19-yard field goal – which, of course, he did not.) In the Week 17 rematch, the Bears technically had nothing to play for, but they still went all-out in an effort to stay sharp and eliminate a white-hot Packers team from playoff contention. They held Aaron Rodgers and company to just 10 points, but as it turned out, they needed to hold them to two.

2. PLAYOFFS?! Watchability Ranking

If a conference championship game -- featuring two division rivals squaring off in the playoffs for the second time EVER -- doesn't garner five Mora Faces, what does?

3. Key Matchup to Watch: Bears secondary vs. Packers receivers

Rodgers is playing so well right now that even getting pressure on him might not pay off. After all, the Falcons got plenty of clean rushers to him last Saturday. The Bears’ best chance at slowing Green Bay’s passing attack is to out-physical Rodgers’ targets. Charles Tillman especially will have to be aggressive. He’s far and away Chicago’s best cover corner but, like most players, he lacks the quickness to shadow Greg Jennings.

Style wise, No. 2 corner Tim Jennings has a skill set that is conducive for handling Donald Driver. But all things equal, Tim Jennings on Driver is a mismatch favoring Green Bay. So it will be up to Jennings and his assisting safeties to make things unequal. The way to do that is to disrupt route timing; Driver shows hints of frustration when defensive backs get their hands on him.

Expect the Packer to use frequent three-and four-receiver formations. Chicago’s top backup defensive backs, Corey Graham, has stiff hips and struggles with receivers who change direction; Jordy Nelson or James Jones could both pose problems for him. What’s more, Chicago’s safeties are hard-hitting but only average in help coverage.

4. Potentially Relevant Video

Why not?

5. The Bears will win if ...

They protect the ball offensively (obviously) and, defensively, if they can get pressure on Aaron Rodger with only four rushers (very doable given the way Julius Peppers, Matt Toeaina, Israel Idonije, Tommie Harris and even backup Henry Melton have been playing lately). Also, Chicago must force the Packers to rely most frequently on their running backs and tight ends. That would allow the Bears athletic linebacking trio to be the focal point defensively.

6. The Packers will win if ...

Rodgers stays hot, Dom Capers’ complex defense befuddles the Bears’ pass blockers (a group that has had trouble identifying blitzes at times) and both teams break even on special teams.

7. Prediction: Packers 24, Bears 17

Since: Jun 22, 2007
Posted on: January 23, 2011 1:25 pm

Bears vs. Packers: 7-Point Championship Preview

Don't be so quick to give the Bears defense the edge over the packers.

Yards per game: Packers 5th, Bears 9th.
Points per game: Packers 2nd, Bears 4th.
3rd Down Percentage: Packers 36%, Bears 35%
Sacks: Packers 2nd, Bears 17th
Interceptions: Packers 2nd, Bears 5th
Forced Fumbles: Packers 12th, Bears 4th

I'd give the Packers the edge.

Since: Nov 16, 2010
Posted on: January 23, 2011 1:15 pm

Bears vs. Packers: 7-Point Championship Preview

Since: Sep 10, 2006
Posted on: January 23, 2011 11:40 am
This comment has been removed.

Post Deleted by Administrator

Since: Nov 14, 2006
Posted on: January 23, 2011 11:14 am

Bears vs. Packers: 7-Point Championship Preview

You've heard the adage "I'd rather be lucky than good". Well, the Packers are good, but the Bears have been lucky this year. Good teams make their luck. As a Packer fan, this game scares me,

Since: Aug 23, 2006
Posted on: January 23, 2011 10:57 am

Bears vs. Packers: 7-Point Championship Preview

Why would they need bad weather.  When the Bears beat the Pack this season it was in Sep.  Pretty good weather than.  The Bears have the better running game, and that is why they will win today.  Go Bears!!!!

Since: Sep 18, 2006
Posted on: January 23, 2011 9:17 am

Bears vs. Packers: 7-Point Championship Preview

Some good thoughts chi87 but not sure how you can give the Bears an edge on defense, they may have a very slight edge on the defensive line because GB doesn't have a DL pass rusher to compare to Peppers.  However the linebackers are at best for Chicago even and the GB secondary is much better than Chicago's.  This is a very even game but GB gets the edge because of their better offense.  Chicago really needed some bad weather.....

Since: Aug 6, 2010
Posted on: January 23, 2011 4:24 am

Bears vs. Packers: 7-Point Championship Preview

The Bears own the Packers so far this year even if it doesn't show as well. The Bears played GB the 1st game with an atrocious offensive line and while the Packers were primarily healthy. The Bears O-line has gotten much better since. I don't care what anyone says about the penalties. About 4 of them were due to the fact that Peppers was working the Packers the entire game earning his check. No excuse with penalties they are all pros.
The 2nd game was played in GB with the Packers needing the win or they don't make the playoffs. Also the Bears were running on them pretty well. Unless you live in Chicago, you probably didn't know that Martz was trying to run his 7-step drop offense to see if they had come along. The o-line was still not that good, but regardless they were trying out a new scheme and not like how they played they previous 8 weeks or so. And the Bears D held the Packers to 10 on the road against a team desperate for a win. Sorry edge Bears there also.
It will be a great game and perhaps the best game ever played in Chicago. Packers are tough and that was the one team i was worried about the Bears playing. 
Bears 23 Packers 21
GO BEARS!!!!!!!!

Since: Sep 5, 2006
Posted on: January 23, 2011 2:34 am

Bears vs. Packers: 7-Point Championship Preview

I think redsfan03 is missing the point. I've seen hell of a lot of posts (more than from Bears fans) all over the Internet from GB fans annointing SuperRodgers and the Packers the NFC champs. Sure, both teams are motivated by the Super Bowl and the rivalry...Never said it was an advantage for the Bears. Here's how I see it:  

Offense advantage: GB
Defense advantage: CHI
Special teams adv: CHI
Momentum/hot streak: GB
Homefield advantage: CHI
Passing Advantage: GB
Run game adv: CHI
Injuries adv: CHI

Bears 20 Packers 17.

Could be wrong on this...See how it works. Maybe I'm wrong...Packers are a team to be concerned about. If GB wins I won't be stunned, unlike the shock that will shoot down from Wisconsin as thousands of Packer fans disbelief that the Pack lost this gimmie game spreads.

Must be nice to have zero concern over going in to Soldier Field and facing the #2 seed Chicago Bears. 

Since: Jan 12, 2010
Posted on: January 23, 2011 1:30 am

Bears vs. Packers: 7-Point Championship Preview

umm yeah do you have any idea how the pack lost to the lions? its called... playing a backup quarterback for more than half the game many points had the hall of fame Rodgers put up before he got hurt against DET at the end of the 1st half??..C'mon Packer fans, and mr douchbag below redsfan....does...wait for it....ZERO...sound accurate?..And..wait for it..61 yards of total offense in one half..

Nice excuse loser. Just like all those injuires and penalties...right?...

Since: Oct 1, 2010
Posted on: January 23, 2011 1:15 am

Bears vs. Packers: 7-Point Championship Preview

the field is the same for both teams and there have been worse jan 1982 dallas at san francisco the field was the worst i've ever seen for a championship game but oh what a great game between two teams we can only hope this is as exciting

The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or