Blog Entry

Data shows touchback rate to be over 40 percent

Posted on: March 23, 2011 8:16 pm
 
Posted by Andy Benoit

Kudos to Marty Callinan of ESPN Stats and Information for crunching some numbers regarding the expected impact of the rule change that places kickoffs at the 35-yardline. Obviously, an increase in touchbacks is in the cards. But just how big of an increase?

Callinan found that:

*16 percent of all kickoffs last season resulted in a touchback. Of the 27 total kickoffs that took place from the 35-yardline, 37 percent resulted in a touchback.

*Since 2007, 40 percent of kickoffs from the 35-yardline have ended with a touchback.

There’s reason to believe those numbers could escalate.

In 2001, just 8.8 percent of total kickoffs were touched back. By 2006, it was 12.5 percent. And, as you know, last season it was 16 percent. In other words, prior to the rule change, touchbacks were rising rapidly.

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Category: NFL
Comments

Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: January 9, 2012 12:36 pm
 

Data shows touchback rate to be over 40 percent

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fghdfre
Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: January 4, 2012 1:26 am
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hgtrerte
Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: December 7, 2011 2:01 pm
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Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: December 5, 2011 2:33 pm
 

Data shows touchback rate to be over 40 percent

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Since: Dec 2, 2011
Posted on: December 5, 2011 2:31 pm
 

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Since: Oct 7, 2011
Posted on: October 18, 2011 9:25 am
 

Data shows touchback rate to be over 40 percent

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Since: Apr 21, 2008
Posted on: March 23, 2011 10:50 pm
 

Data shows touchback rate to be over 40 percent

@gedalumnus,

The numbers show that touchbacks from the 35 have been in the neighborhood of 40% in recent years, but what I want to know is how many of those were unreturnable, and how many were just kneed in the end zone. You know Devin Hester is going to run the ball any chance he gets, so you're still going to see more returns than other teams.

Moving touchbacks to the 25 yard line would reduce kick returns even more, in the form of more players taking a knee. That doesn't benefit your Bears as much as it does other teams who are far more likely to take the free 25 yards rather than attempt a return.

But you're absolutely right that the rule change isn't going to reduce injuries. It made sence to me in my head, but as you pointed out, the players have to continue to run into each other at high speed regardless of where the ball is going to end up.



Since: Nov 12, 2006
Posted on: March 23, 2011 9:33 pm
 

Data shows touchback rate to be over 40 percent

One writer made a comment that the teams that voted against the new rule did so because they have good return games.  I agree with that theory.  What I don't understand is why the 'Yeah' voters were not made to pay a penalty for gaining the advantage back from teams with solid return games?  If you take away the return, pay the penalty by placing the ball at the 25.  Injuries my eye.  The other 21 guys on the field can't assume it is a touchback.  They will still be running and hitting and hurting.  Taking away the kickoffs is like taking away fighting in hockey.  The dunk in basketball. 


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