Blog Entry

LeBron James is Vegas favorite to win Finals MVP

Posted on: May 27, 2011 7:52 pm
 
Miami Heat forward LeBron James is Las Vegas' favorite to win MVP of the NBA Finals. Posted by Ben Golliver. lebron-james

No surprise here: Miami Heat forward LeBron James is the odds-on favorite to win the 2011 NBA Finals MVP award. (Mandatory disclaimer: the following is for entertainment purposes only.) 

The Dallas Mavericks and Miami are set to start the NBA Finals on Tuesday night in Florida. Here is the full list of odds via Bodog.com for the award, which is formally known as the Bill Russell Trophy.  
Odds to Win the 2011 NBA Finals MVP (The Bill Russell Trophy)
LeBron James 5/4
Dirk Nowitzki 2/1
Dwyane Wade 7/2
Chris Bosh 11/2
Jason Kidd 10/1
Jason Terry 10/1
Field (Any Other Player) 7/1
James enters the NBA Finals with every reason to be the favorite. His team is favored to win the series. He was a force of nature on both ends of the floor against the Chicago Bulls. Perhaps most importantly, he was clutch: nailing huge three-pointers on offense and making Derrick Rose's life miserable on defense.

And, of course, his playoff stats have been monstrous: 26.0 points, 8.9 rebounds and 5.5 assists, plus 1.5 blocks and 1.7 steals to boot. 

James, then, looks like the total package for this pick, which is almost always given to the player with the best numbers and/or biggest impact on the title winning team. 

In case you were wondering, Vegas set odds on James' regular season stats prior to the season. Here's how he performed compared to projections.
Points Per Game Over/Under: 23.0 PPG -- (James was over: 26.7)
Rebounds Per Game Over/Under: 7.5 RPG -- (This was a push: James finished with 7.5)
Assists Per Game Over/Under: 7.7 APG -- (James was under: 7.0)
While Dirk Nowitzki is almost a lock to win the Finals MVP should the Dallas Mavericks spring the upset, Heat guard Dwyane Wade represents a fairly good value pick at 7/2. Wade did look a bit limited -- perhaps by injury? -- against the Bulls so there's a risk factor there. He certainly has a huge match-up advantage, however, as neither DeShawn Stevenson nor Jason Terry figures to be able to meaningfully impact his ability to score in volume.
Comments

Since: Oct 5, 2006
Posted on: May 29, 2011 5:04 pm
 

LeBron James is Vegas favorite to win Finals MVP

It isn't going to eat at Lebron that there is no championship in Cleveland.  Instead it is going to eat at Gilbert.  Lebron did all he could for seven solid years and all Cavs did was cut corners, make awful signings, and fail him.  Loyalty?  Where was the Cavs loyalty to Lebron?  Where was the Cavs loyalty to their fans and winning...or their city that needs Lebron apparently far more than Lebron needs the city.  Gilbert thought he could get away with having Lebron do it all on his own.  But he couldn't; no one in the sport can.  But Lebron unlike most; came closest I've ever seen.

It takes two to succeed.  Lebron did his job.  He did all he could.  He put Cavs back on map.  But he got little help and in the end; it was him or Cavs..and he choose him.  Which was the right choice.  He can't sit back and hope..when he is good enough to go somewhere and achieve greatness.

Hasn't this year proven anything to the haters?  Cavs= worst team.  Miami=in NBA Finals.  Lebron having another steller year.  W/L the Finals....Lebron has made the right decision and given himself the best shot at victory.

He's shown clearly he is the best in the game today.

I'd consider this year already a success but Lebron won't til a ring.  Good luck and may the best team win.  But I refuse to hate on Lebron for doing what we all do.  Make a business decision about your career that betters yourself. 

Gilbert showed what loyalty means as a owner when Lebron left.  Fact is:  it means nothing in sports.  Try and fool yourself if you sleep better at nite.  But fact is:  it is each man for his own.  That is competition.  Why we love the game?  And there isn't an owner in the business that wouldn't blame the player who left so that the world wouldn't figure out it was Gilbert who didn't do his job.  After all, he is there to sell tickets.  It is all about money for Gilbert.  All about rings for Lebron.  I'm thinking Lebron will get his.  A back-stabber like Gilbert, not sure I care if he flops completely or not.

If Dirk didn't get the team he needed, he'd left too.  Heck, Kobe was willing to play in Pluto after 3 rings.  There is no loyalty.  There are simply smart owners such as Buss/Cuban..and idiots like Gilbert.

Who wants to work for an idiot.



Since: Mar 10, 2011
Posted on: May 29, 2011 12:43 pm
 

LeBron James is Vegas favorite to win Finals MVP

I understand rooting for the underdog, who doesn't?  But there is a reason that Miami is favored to win this series.  Wade did it with Shaq against the same guy a few years back - and now he has Lebron and Bosh.  The Mav's are a comeback team with explosive offense built around Dirk.  Simply put - they are not going to be able to contain Miami, while Miami will be able to limit them at least somewhat.  Miami will gain the rythm and momentum with their speed and young energy.  Miami in 6.  



Since: Jun 12, 2009
Posted on: May 29, 2011 11:32 am
 

LeBron James is Vegas favorite to win Finals MVP

Who cares where Vegas has its money...the real question is where does Stern have his money?



Since: Jan 5, 2009
Posted on: May 29, 2011 7:50 am
 

LeBron James is Vegas favorite to win Finals MVP

GO DALLAS!!!



Since: Jan 23, 2011
Posted on: May 29, 2011 6:01 am
 

LeBron James is Vegas favorite to win Finals MVP

I'm not crazy about Lebron, but the guy is a beast.  He can take any one player out of the Dallas offense (even Dirk, I bet) and shut them down.  I'd love to see the Mavs win.  Just because their team was built the right way.  Not signing two Superstars, keeping one,and filling in the gaps.  The only slap against LBJ is he should have stayed home and brought Cleveland a championship.  where's you loyalty.  That's going to eat at him his whole life that he didn't accomplish that task. 



Since: May 5, 2011
Posted on: May 28, 2011 10:57 pm
 

LeBron James is Vegas favorite to win Finals MVP

Dirk wins the MVP as the Mavs win in 6.


little ceasars
Since: Jan 1, 2009
Posted on: May 28, 2011 7:58 pm
This comment has been removed.

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Since: Sep 18, 2006
Posted on: May 28, 2011 4:51 pm
 

LeBron James is Vegas favorite to win Finals MVP

Omi.... What besides the Decision Show, does Lebron do that's such a disgrace?? I'm sick of people like you making everything he does an issue.... All season everyone took shots at the Heat and Lebron saying they weren't going to win.... Celtics beat them 3 out of 4 times during the season and you morons said they had no chance, then look they won... The Bulls beat them 3 out 3 times during the season and yet they knocked them off too... Face it, the Heat are playing great basketball and Lebron is having a great playoffs series... I'm not a Heat fan or a Lebron fan but I'm honest enough to admit the guy is a great player....



Since: May 28, 2011
Posted on: May 28, 2011 4:02 pm
 

LeBron James is Vegas favorite to win Finals MVP

aggie56:

Yes. I am biased. But just sayin ...

I only brought up the regular season games to dispute CBS's claim that the Mavs can't contain Dwyane Wade. Because they can. They have. My main analysis, though, is the most recent 15 (playoff) games. Momentum is to Dallas. And Dallas can be as defensive as Miami if they focus. In post-season so far Miami's allowed 88 ppg, while Dallas allowed 93 ppg. With two defensive teams going head-to-head, the team which can score the most points in the home stretch wins. And Mavs are a great 4th quarter team. Miami not so much. Though they did well that last quarter against Chicago, didn't they?




Since: Oct 12, 2006
Posted on: May 28, 2011 2:32 pm
 

LeBron James is Vegas favorite to win Finals MVP

dive2depth,

How did those numbers turn out for the Chicago Bulls who where undefeated against the Heat during the regular season?  It's also telling that you don't mention in your "analysis" that Miami was tied with Chicago as the only teams with a minimum of 8 games played to hold opponents under 90ppg during this playoff.  (I used minimum of 8 games to guarantee we're talking about teams that played at least 2 rounds).  In any case in the playoffs defense normally wins championships and the team with the most superstars ussually win.


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