Blog Entry

Way Too Early, Pointless NFL Predictions

Posted on: August 11, 2010 9:34 pm
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With training camps well under way and pre-season games getting started this weekend, I figured now is as good of a time as any to give my professional opinion on how the NFL season will play out. It may be more prudent to wait until teams get a pre-season game or two in, but I don'tthink you can really learn too much from a team from their pre-season games. They're known as exhibitions for a reason.


AFC North
*Baltimore Ravens -- 11-5
*Pittsburgh Steelers -- 10-6
Cincinnati Bengals -- 8-8
Cleveland Browns-- 4-12

I see the Ravens as the team to beat in the division this year (as much as it pains me to say it). I don't think they're good enough to be considered a strong Super Bowl contender, but I think they will have a strong season. Call me a homer when it comes to theSteelers, but with Polamalu and Aaron Smith back and healthy this year, andI think Big Ben will want toremind peoplethat he is an elite QB despite all the offseason issues. I'm not sold on Cincinnati at all, even with the addition of T.O. Under the tenure of Marvin Lewis the Bengals have generally been a .500 team, and they'll have to prove they are a legit contender before I consider them one. And Cleveland will once again be Cleveland.

 
AFC South
*Indianapolis Colts -- 13-3
*Houston Texans -- 10-6
Tennessee Titans -- 5-11
Jacksonville Jaguars -- 3-13

Like the past decade, the Colts will be the class of the South again this year. They're a proven great regular season team, and I don't expect anything different from them until they show some great decline, or Peyton Manning retires. The surprise team I'm looking at this season is Houston. They've been heading in the right direction the last few years, nearly making the playoffs last year. I think they'll break through this year and earn their first playoff appearance in team history. I see Tennessee and Jacksonville taking major steps backwards this season.

 
AFC East
*New York Jets -- 11-5
New England Patriots -- 9-7
Miami Dolphins -- 8-8
Buffalo Bills -- 3-13

As much as I dislike Rex Ryan and how over-hyped the Jets have been this off-season (people seem to forget they were a 9-7 team last year and were handed a playoff spot), I do think they have improved and are good enough to win the division this year. However, if Darrelle Revis ends up sitting out this season, I'm not sure if the Jets will win more than 8 games, but time will tell. I think the Pats are currently on the down years of their dynasty and they won't have as a strong of a season this year. They are an aging team, and the Ravens exposed them last year in their massacre of a playoff game. Also, I think the East will be stronger this year. Miami I could see having a strong season this year and make a push for the playoffs, but I'm not completely sold on Chad Henne yet. Buffalo will suffer from a tough division and an even tougher schedule.

 
AFC West
*San Diego Chargers -- 13-3
Denver Broncos -- 6-10
Oakland Raiders -- 5-11
Kansas City Chiefs -- 2-14

The Chargers will have another walk through the West again this year. I don't think they'll will be as good as some of their past teams, but they have a relatively easy schedule, and the other 3 teams in the West are in current re-building modes. Kyle Orton is a solid QB for Denver, but he can't win games for them. The loss of Dumerville for a chunk ofthe season will hurt their defense. Oakland could be a surprise team this year, but I don't see them having a good enough team in place just yet. Kansas City will pull a Cleveland.

 
AFC Playoff Seeding

San Diego Chargers

Indianapolis Colts

Baltimore Ravens

New York Jets

Pittsburgh Steelers

Houston Texans

 

 

NFC North
*Green Bay Packers -- 11-5
Minnesota Vikings -- 9-7
Chicago Bears -- 6-10
Detroit Lions -- 3-13

Whether or not Brett Favre decides to come back, I think this is Green Bay's division this year. They have a strong defense and a solid offense with Aaron Rodgers at the helm (my darkhorse MVP this year). I think Rodgers and the Pack take the next step this year towards becoming a contender. Minnesota will take a step back this year, mainly because I don't see Favre coming back. I think this is a 9 win team without Favre, 11, possibly 12 with Favre. But as I said, I don't see Favre coming back. I don't see anywhere Chicago will find offense. Jay Cutler is only good if he has elite receivers, Matt Forte needs to bounce back after a sophomore slump, and someone in the receiving corps will need to step up. I think Detroit is close to turning it around (somewhat), but this will be another slim year in the winning column.

 

NFC South
*New Orleans Saints -- 13-3
*Atlanta Falcons -- 11-5
Carolina Panthers -- 8-8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- 2-14

I'm not just giving Saints respect for winning the Super Bowl last year, I think they have a solid team once again this year. It'll depend mainly depend on if the defense can create so many scoring opportunities once again this year. Brees will be awesome again. Atlanta and Matt Ryan will have a strong bounceback season after missing the playoffs last year. They have a great running attack, and if Ryan and the passing game can take the next step, this team will contend for the division. I just can't place Carolina. Matt Moore will have to have a strong season if he doesn't want to lose his job to Jimmy Clausen by the end of the season. Tampa will just be bad.

 

NFC East
*Dallas Cowboys -- 12-4
*New York Giants -- 10-6
Philadelphia Eagles -- 10-6
Washington Redskins -- 6-10

As much as it pains me, I think Dallas will have a strong season this year, and be the class of the NFC with the Saints. I still think of the Saints as the favorites for the NFC, but Dallas will have alot to say about it. I'm stuck in the middle when it comes to the Giants and the Eagles. One of those 2 teams will earn a wildcard seeding this year, but I can't separate the two. Both sport strong defenses, but both have questions on offense. Kevin Kolb is the major factor for the Eagles, and the Giants biggest question mark is their running game. It seems like alot of people like the Redskins this year, but I don't see it this year. Shanahan and McNabb will improve the offense, but Portis needs a strong season, and some receiver will need to step up. Also, the defense is a question mark too. Will Haynesworth play and be a factor?


NFC West
*San Francisco 49ers -- 11-5
Arizona Cardinals -- 9-7
Seattle Seahawks -- 9-7
St. Louis Rams -- 3-13

Along with Houston, the 49ers are one of my surprise teams this year. Although they may not be that much of a surprise to many. They're building a strong team, offensively and defensively, but Alex Smith is their major question mark. Mike Singletary will bring a strong defense, but Smith needs to improve to take the 49ers to the next level. Arizona will take a step back after losing Warner to retirement and Boldin to the Ravens. Matt Leinhart will have to prove this year if he's an NFL-capable QB. Pete Carroll will have the Seahawks more competitive this year, but I don't see them much more than an average team. St. Louis will once again suffer this season as Sam Bradford begins the changning of the guard. 3 wins may be a little gracious for this team

 

 

NFC Playoff Seeding

New Orleans Saints

Dallas Cowboys

Green Bay Packers

San Francisco 49ers

Atlanta Falcons

New York Giants

 

 

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Category: NFL
Comments

Since: Apr 30, 2007
Posted on: August 26, 2010 12:02 pm
 

Way Too Early, Pointless NFL Predictions

Thanks for the input guys. Great posts.

I think I went a little low with the Jags and Chiefs, and a little too high with the Chargers and Saints. Steelers were a bit of a homer pick, but oh well. I think the Vikings will win more than 9 now that Favre is coming back, they'll probably win in the 11-12 range. However, with Rice missing significant time, and Harvin with his migraines, they may slip back down to the 9 win range.

Should be an exciting season as always.

Go Steelers!





Since: Oct 5, 2009
Posted on: August 23, 2010 1:40 pm
 

Way Too Early, Pointless NFL Predictions

Way Too Early, Pointless NFL Predictions


Why waste time putting them up then?



Since: Aug 23, 2010
Posted on: August 23, 2010 11:41 am
 

Way Too Early, Pointless NFL Predictions

And here is mine:

AFC North
*Bengals 9-7
Ravens 9-7
Steelers 7-9
Browns 2-14

This division comes down to the Bengals and Ravens w/the Bengals taking it beating the Ravens 2 times this year, the Steelers w/Ben out do not recover and Cleveland at the bottom again.

AFC South
*Colts 12-4
*Titans 11-5
*Texans 11-5
Jaguars 6-10

Colts take it again w/the Titans and Texans close behind, I think it's the best division in football.

AFC East
*
Patriots 11-5
Jets 10-6
Dolphins 8-8
Bills-3-13

Patriots w/a 100% Brady takes this tough division, and the Jets miss out on the playoffs.

AFC West
*
Chargers 11-5
Raiders 6-10
Broncos 6-10
Chiefs 4-12

A very weak division w/the Chargers running away w/it...Look like the Raiders are moving in the right direction though.

AFC Playoff Seeding

Colts
Patriots
Chargers
Bengals
Titans
Texans

NFC North

*Vikings 11-5
*Packers 11-5
Bears 6-10
Lions 5-11

This division is top heavy w/Favre back I give the edge to Min because I think they also have a very good defense.

NFC South

*Saints 11-5
*Falcons 11-5
Panthers 6-10
Buccaneers 5-11

Saints take the division but the Falcons give them all they can handle, the other two teams struggle.

NFC East

*Cowboys 9-7
Eagles 8-8
Giants 7-9
Redskins 6-10
 
This is not the old NFC east Eagles are molding a nice team together but to young to take over the Cowboys this year.

NFC West

*49'ers 12-4
Cardinals 9-7
Seahawks 7-9
Rams 2-14

49'ers take this division easy and make some noise in the playoffs...

NFC playoff seeding

49'ers
Saints
Vikings
Cowboys
Packers
Falcons

Minnesota beating Houston in the Superbowl...





 

 

 

 

 







Since: Sep 15, 2007
Posted on: August 22, 2010 4:26 pm
 

Way Too Early, Pointless NFL Predictions


AFC North
*Baltimore -- 10-6
Pittsburgh -- 9-7
Cincinnati -- 8-8
Cleveland -- 4-12

Boldin will make a big difference for the Ravens. 4 - 6 weeks without Rapenburger will be too much for the Steelers to overcome. The Bengals could surprise and take the division depending on how the breaks go. Cleveland is just the AFC's Detroit.

AFC South
*Indianapolis -- 12-4
*Houston -- 11-5
Tennessee -- 5-11
Jacksonville -- 3-13

Indy will be Indy. The Texans will take one from Indy this year as they should have last year. Tenn and Jax you can throw in a hat and draw for the better record.

AFC East
*New York -- 11-5
*New England -- 10-6
Miami -- 8-8
Buffalo -- 2-14

The Jets are pretty solid all around. The Pats get Welker back and their offense will be among the best but defense is a question. Miami is getting better but still not there yet. The Bills are right with the Rams, Lions, Browns, Chiefs, and Bucs.....pain!

AFC West
*San Diego -- 13-3
Denver -- 6-10
Oakland -- 5-11
Kansas City -- 2-14

Hit it right on the head here. A walk away for the Bolts.

AFC Playoff Seeding

San Diego Chargers

Indianapolis Colts

New York Jets


Baltimore Ravens

Houston Texans

New England Patriots



NFC North
*Minnesota Vikings -- 12-4
*Green Bay Packers -- 11-5
Chicago -- 9-7
Detroit  -- 3-13

Most competitive division this year. Minny and GB you can flip a coin but they'll both be in the playoffs because of defense. Martz will add a level of comfort for Cutler but also cause more hits. Adding Peppers will give them a legit pass rush. Detroit has to get better some time don't they?


NFC South
*New Orleans -- 12-4
*Atlanta -- 11-5
Carolina -- 6-10
Tampa Bay -- 2-14

I'm apprehensive to even give this to the Saints. The number of turnovers the defense forced last year can't possibly be sustained and everyone will give them their best game this year. Atlanta has a good team and will continue to improve. Carolina lost Delhomme (not necessarily a bad thing but he knows the offense) and Peppers which will cost them a couple of games. The Bucs are in rebuild mode.

NFC East
*Dallas -- 11-5
New York -- 9-7
Philadelphia -- 8-8
Washington -- 7-9

Dallas will eek this out as the division likes to beat each other. Winning it's first playoff game since the mid-nineties will help but I'm not sold on Romo. The Giants, Eagles, and Redskins should all be competitive.

NFC West
*San Francisco -- 11-5
Arizona -- 6-10
Seattle -- 5-11
St. Louis -- 3-13

SF will have a ton of wins in it's division which will reflect in the standings. They have a solid and rising team. The Cards lose Dansby, Rolle, Warner, and Boldin!!! Huge step back for them on both sides of the ball. Pete Caroll has already proven that if he can't recruit his team he can't be successful and should have stayed in College (think the Reggie Bush fiasco had anything to do with him leaving USC?).
The Rams need alot of work.

NFC Playoff Seeding

New Orleans Saints


Minnesota Vikings

Dallas Cowboys

San Francisco 49ers

Green Bay Packers


Atlanta Falcons




Since: Jul 22, 2010
Posted on: August 22, 2010 12:06 am
 

Way Too Early, Pointless NFL Predictions

I think pointless just took on a new meaning.  The jags are going nowhere, but 3, give me a break, they will fight for .500.   Patriots will be on top of jets, vikings and pack will be close, but Steelers over Bengals, come on. 



Since: Dec 9, 2008
Posted on: August 20, 2010 6:01 am
 

Way Too Early, Pointless NFL Predictions

Nice Job, i'm about halfway in agreement. 
AFC North
i like Cincy to take the division, i think they field the better overall team and i think Flacco is a bit overhyped at this point in his career. Ravens will miss the postseason this year.
AFC South
I think this is a tossup between Indy and Houston, with Tenn close behind...i see a heavily contested division with Tenn having the potential of upsetting either team and would not be surprised to see them emerge ahead of both.
AFC East
Another contested division but i think it will be between NE and MIA, with the Jets having a mediocre (relative to the expectations) 8-8, 9-7 year.
AFC West
Total agreement, but i agree that KC will eek out a few more wins than 2, and maybe 1 or 2 fewer for Denver
NFC North
Minnesota takes the division, they have proven they can beat GB.
NFC South
Total agreement, maybe CAR surprises, i agree it hangs on the success of Moore. 
NFC East
Again i agree with DAL as the division winner, but i think it's close with NY...Phi does worse than 10-6, i see 8-8, 7-9 at best.
NFC West
Again, i overwhelmingly agree with SF as the division winner...probably the only lock for a division imo. However, i think ARI has a max 5 wins, not only is Leinart unremarkable...but they have a mediocre rushing attack that will only make it more difficult for him. Additionally, their 20th overall ranked defense in 2009 got much worse with the parting of Dansby and Rolle. this will bode well for both Alex Smith and Sam Bradford. Seattle is in shambles right now. I see STL coming in 2nd here ;) 
Go Bears!! 



Since: Apr 7, 2010
Posted on: August 17, 2010 10:17 pm
 

Way Too Early, Pointless NFL Predictions

A bit dissapointing to see the same old predictions you see from the "experts" on this site.  How about going out on a limb?



Since: Dec 17, 2006
Posted on: August 17, 2010 2:17 pm
 

Way Too Early, Pointless NFL Predictions

WHAT the Jets over New England and Miami..............yea...I think it's too too early.......can wait for the update preditions.....



Since: Mar 17, 2010
Posted on: August 15, 2010 10:01 pm
 

Way Too Early, Pointless NFL Predictions

Nice post.



Since: Mar 18, 2009
Posted on: August 13, 2010 4:25 pm
 

Way Too Early, Pointless NFL Predictions

If you are a true fan, it's never too early to make predictions.  It's what keeps all of us "Die-Hards" going until September.  I enjoyed reading your comments... you obviously put a lot of thought into them, for which you should be commended.  I'd like to offer a few comments of my own, if you don't mind:

AFC North

For the most part, I agree with your analysis on this division.  However, and I know you are a Steelers fan, I don't know if Leftwich, Dixon or Batch, or whoever fills in for Roethlisberger, can make a 10-6 season come to fruition (especially if Ben is out the 6 games he is supposed to be).  If the Commish reduces it to 3, and that is the rumour I'm hearing, it could be possible I suppose.  I do agree that the Ravens are the team to beat in the division, however, the Bengals will be a different team on both sides of the ball come September.  Good enough to be a better-than-.500 club... I think so, but the D is improved as much as the offence, notwithstanding the addition of that old fly-in-the-ointment Owens.

AFC South

The colts will be, as you have indicated, the class of this division once again.  Houston is gradually getting better with each passing year and it is a team with a lot of talent.  The Schaub-to-Johnson and Schaub-to-Daniels connections will be very difficult to defend, and I would like to see Houston get to their first playoff game.  Do you think that Jacksonville will regress to the tune of a 3-13 season?  I envision some struggles, but I think they will squeeze out 6 or 7 wins this season, with 5 of those games against Denver, Buffalo, Cleveland, Oakland and Washington.

AFC East

I think the Patriots still win the division.  Although I admire Sanchez's heart and determination, he still throws more picks than TDs and everyone knows that when a team loses the turnover battle, it almost always loses.  Revis will not sit the entire season, I'm betting.  Although I am a Miami fan, I am not letting that cloud my judgment of the Dolphins.  They have made very good improvements on both sides of the ball (i.e. Dansby and Marshall to name a couple).  For people who are tempted to say "Marshall will struggle with Henne throwing him the ball," don't fall into that trap.  A lot of people said that about Kyle Orton as well and Marshall had a great season (on the field, that is).  Henne, although under the shroud of mediocrity, is a smart QB and makes smart plays.  I'm willing to gamble that he will be markedly better this year with Marshall as the big threat.  Bess has shown that he can be the Welker-esque player and will also be markedly better this year.  Ronnie Brown is a premier back and should be healthy come opening day (he has said the foot is a non-issue).  Williams seems to thrive in his role as a 5-10 touches-a-game guy behind Brown.  I may be giving them too much credit, but I don't think an 10-6 season is out of the question.  The Bills on the other hand... 'nuff said ... 3-13.

AFC West

The schedule permits the Chargers to wlak away with the division, and the Broncos are, as you said, a 6-10 or 7-9 team.  However, I am not buying the hype that Jason Campbell can lead the Raiders to some semblance of a decent season.  Sure they have young, talented players, but until the offence matches the play of the D, they will continue to lose games.  If you think the Raiders will be a surprise team this year and finish at 5-11, then so must I based on their D.  Kansas City, on playing 8 games at Arrowhead alone will finish no worse than 6-10.  The only team to pull a Cleveland will be the Lions.

NFC North

There's no question about which team is at the summit of this division come Christmas.  The only problem, if you can call it that, with the Packers this year is that Rodgers will develop 22 favorite receivers (like Brees in New Orleans), which will slightly decrease the fantasy value of all the receivers (Jennings, Nelson, Jones, Finley etc... ).  I agree 100% with your analysis of Minnesota.  Chicago on the other hand may be an 8-8 team if Forte lives up to his expectations and Cutler can limit the picks.  Their WRs are young and still on a learning curve, but we can't forget about Olsen, who will be (is) one of the better TEs in the game.  Detroit... 'nuff said ... 3-13, regardless of whether or not all the experts rank Calvin Johnson in the top 5.

NFC South

You've given the Saints some well-deserved respect.  That Super Bowl win was a storybook ending for a City in desparate need of something to believe in (still) and Payton, Brees and the boys gave it to them.  I can't disagree with your assessment of the Saints, although 13-3 might be a little optomistic.  I think the Falcons will be a team on a mission this year.  Matt Ryan will be a superstar in this League, and it may happen this year.  Not only does he have a great ground game with Turner leading the way, but a great passing attack as well, with (my favorite) Roddy White at the forefront.  The Falcons are balanced, and if all the big producers stay healthy... look out N'Awlins.  The Panthers are a tough team to guage, as Matt Moore flew under the radar until now, more or less.  Tampa will be bad, but I don't think they will be 2-14 bad, maybe 5-11 or 6-10 bad.  After all, they do have to play Cleveland, St. Louis and Seattle (who will start to crumble under Pete Carroll).

NFC EAST

Andy Reid hung his hat at Kevin Kolb's house, where it will remain until Philly returns to the playoffs.  If it doesn't happen this year, Reid may have some 'splainin' to do, but his decision wasn't likely made without the input (or perhaps direction) of Jeff Lurie.  I think Andy Reid is one of the best coaches in professional sports, so I won't question anything he does.  I do believe (1) that McNabb had to go and (2) Kolb's had enough time to observe and learn.  McNabb will sink (further) into mediocrity in Washington and I can't see Shanahan (the guru) developing his trademark 1000 yard rusher in Washington.  This, combined with the fact they have only Santana Moss as a legitimate threat, will make for a very long year in Washington (sorry Mr. Snyder).  Cowboys are balanced and will win the division.

NFC West

I like this division, as there a lot of differences on all the teams.  Alex Smith has his (first) second year with the same scheme, coaches etc... and should be the favorite to win the division.  Vernon Davis will be a stud again this year and Crabtree will surprise the most skeptical of skeptics.  However, the Cardinals may be a surprise (even with Leinart, and without Warner and Boldin).  This will be the last year that the Cards trust Leinart to develop and improve, and if he doesn't, Derek Anderson is waiting to assume that role (but may not be any better).  I believe Leinart will be a relatively short leash.  Breaston will fill in admirably for Boldin, while Doucet will pick up some slack.  Fitz is Fitz (top 2 in the League, in my opinion), so he'll perform based on Leinart's performance.  Pete Carroll... great college coach... terrible NFL coach.  He will coach the Seahawks for a season or 2, then leave with the organization in a state of shambles.  The Rams' only bright spots are Jackson and Laurent Robinson.  However, Robinson will get doubled all year and that will keep him in check given his experience.  Bradford WILL BE a bright spot, guaranteed... just not this year (in my opinion).

Hey, r0thlis07BuRG, great job, man.  I really enjoyed reading something from someone other than an "expert," although your analysis was as good or better than some of the "expert" columns I've read.  Simple, no BS thinking... I love it.  Thanks!!!


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