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Blog Entry

Can Oregon make the BCS Championship Game?

Posted on: October 17, 2010 10:57 pm
Edited on: October 17, 2010 11:31 pm
 

Posted by Adam Jacobi

Certainly, one of the teams that got the best news tonight is Oregon, ranked second in the initial BCS rankings. While there's only so much that can be read into these rankings with six games of play remaining, of course, the fact remains that as of right now Oregon is projected to go to Glendale to play for the BCS Championship.

So, those six games. There's no such thing as an automatic win in college football these days, but the Ducks should be heavily favored in the majority of these contests.

October 21, vs. UCLA: UCLA is of the most schizophrenic teams in the country, blowing out Houston and Texas but getting crushed by Stanford and a truly mediocre California. Still, even with the Bruins playing at their best, it's hard to imagine they can put up enough points to keep pace with the Oregon offense.

October 30, at USC: If there's any team left on Oregon's schedule that has the sheer talent to run with the Ducks for 60 minutes, it's likely USC. Lane Kiffin's team, led by emerging star Matt Barkley, is young and lacking in depth, but still explosively athletic. If Oregon's really a championship team, it'll handle the Trojans.

November 6 vs. Washington: Anyone think Jake Locker can lead the Huskies to eight touchdowns against Oregon's defense? Because the Ducks are probably putting up at least a 50-spot on the Washington defense.  

November 13 at California: It's a road game, which means the Ducks have no business looking past the Bears. They probably won't, and on paper, they'll probably win by about five or six touchdowns here. But you never know -- there's no such thing as a safe road game anymore. We'll see if the game on paper resembles the game on the field.

November 26 vs. Arizona: Here's another potential roadblock for the Ducks; Arizona quarterback (and the Pac-10's leading passer up until his knee injury) Nick Foles should be healthy by the time this game rolls around, and Arizona is one of the few teams that has an offense that might keep pace with the Ducks. Might. 

December 4, at Oregon State: Oregon State QB Ryan Katz is developing as a passer game by game, but the Beavers surely miss wideout James Rodgers, lost for the year with an awful knee injury. But that Oregon State defense doesn't have the horses or the discipline to keep Oregon down, so even though this is a rivalry game and anything can happen -- especially with a BCS championship at stake -- this is a probable win.

So yes, Oregon's road to an unbeaten record is relatively safe. Now, there's another question of whether Oregon can stave off Oklahoma and Auburn if they both go unbeaten, too. But that's a question the BCS will be tasked with answering, isn't it?

Comments

Since: Aug 22, 2006
Posted on: October 19, 2010 12:46 am
 

Can Oregon make the BCS Championship Game?

Oregon is number 1 in the country.  If they don't lose then they stay #1.  How do you not put the #1 team in the country in the NC game?  Wait...this is college football...I guess they could...yikes!


RingoAlva
Since: Oct 18, 2010
Posted on: October 18, 2010 2:10 pm
This comment has been removed.

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Since: Aug 18, 2010
Posted on: October 18, 2010 2:00 pm
 

Can Oregon make the BCS Championship Game?

Ringo, the answer to your question is, NO.  They did not beat the same team with the same "lineup".  Every year, every team is different.  Even if they had the exact same lineup, which neither team does, that would still mean little as these kids mature at very different levels. 


RingoAlva
Since: Oct 18, 2010
Posted on: October 18, 2010 12:08 pm
This comment has been removed.

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Since: Aug 18, 2010
Posted on: October 18, 2010 10:07 am
 

Can Oregon make the BCS Championship Game?

I don't see this as relatively safe by any means.  We are talking about 18-22 year old kids and they have a hard time getting up for each game; that is why we see so many upsets in this sport.  There are several potential upsets on this schedule if Oregon does not come out with their A game each week.  USC and Arizona are both pretty good teams, and Oregon State is a huge rival.  Remember when CBS said that Bama had a clear path when they beat UF.  Turns out beating UF did not mean much as everyone is doing it.  The beauty of college football is that everything has to play out before any absolutes can be put out there.  Can Oregon make it to the BCS CG?  Of course they can.   The bigger question is, will they?


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