Blog Entry

An uncomfortable truth: TCU is better than Auburn

Posted on: November 9, 2010 12:01 am
Edited on: November 9, 2010 12:13 am
Posted by Adam Jacobi

The latest BCS rankings are out, and there's not much to be surprised about; Auburn is No. 1, Oregon is No. 2, and TCU is No. 3. In the human polls, Oregon's easily the top-ranked team. and anyone who actually watches the games can see why: the Ducks play football at an undeniably higher level than anybody else in college football. It's that simple.

Ah, but this column is not to argue that Oregon deserves the top spot in the BCS rankings over Auburn; not only is that argument obvious, it's immaterial, because it wouldn't alter the BCS Championship Game in any way. No, the real issue here is that as of right now, Auburn doesn't belong in the national title game; TCU does.

Here's the deal. First off, there is no single-game performance Auburn has under its belt this season that is as impressive as TCU's 47-7 dismantling of Utah at Rice-Eccles Stadium. Yes, Auburn beat LSU by a whole touchdown after rushing for 440 yards. Auburn also played every single non-conference game at home, against Chattanooga, UL-Monroe, Arkansas State, and Clemson (who, not surprisingly, took Auburn to overtime and likely would have won at Clemson). Auburn's best road win? 17-14 over Mississippi State. The fact that Auburn has gotten away with such scaredy-cat scheduling is a testament to the water carried by SEC apologists more than any serious examination of the Tigers' schedule. Auburn's strength of schedule is 40th in the Sagarin ratings. Granted, TCU's is 62nd, but that's not exactly the chasm of competition that any college football fan south of the Mason-Dixon would have you believe.

Second, and more to the point of deserving the No. 2 ranking: TCU would beat Auburn, and maybe by double-digits. Sure, TCU has never seen an offense like Auburn's or a quarterback like Cam Newton. By the same token, the Auburn offense has never seen a defense like TCU's, which is head-and-shoulders above everybody else's -- even LSU's.

In fact, between the two teams' offensive and defensive units, there's only one spot of mediocrity, and that's Auburn's defense. The Tigers gave up 43 points to Arkansas at Auburn -- and most of those points were to the Razorbacks' backup quarterback. The Auburn starters gave up two first-half touchdowns to Chattanooga, 16 first-half points to Arkansas State, 34 points to Kentucky, and 31 to Ole Miss. What's more likely: TCU puts up 30 on the Auburn defense, or Auburn scores 30 on TCU's? There's no way Auburn's the right answer there.

Look again at the Sagarin ratings linked above. TCU is ranked second. Auburn is fourth. In terms of the predictor (which uses point differential, which is strictly verboten in the BCS), TCU is still second. Auburn? 11th. On a neutral field -- like, say, a bowl game -- TCU would be favored in this matchup. Why? Because right now, TCU is better than Auburn.

Of course, this is all academic; as Dennis Dodd has correctly pointed out, if Auburn wins at Alabama two weeks from now then dispatches its SEC East opponent for the conference crown, the Tigers will likely have proven that they deserve the BCS Championship Game berth. Those are both big ifs; Auburn hasn't proven itself as a serious title contender away from Jordan-Hare yet. The Tigers win both of those, and they've earned a top spot. Until then, though, the TCU Horned Frogs deserve the title shot -- not Auburn -- and it would thus be erroneous to act disappointed if the Tigers stumble and "let" TCU into the BCS Championship spot they've earned so far.

Also, it's obviously worth mentioning that the fact that this debate even needs to take place at all is ludicrous; there should be a four-team playoff. A plus-one, if you will. TCU and Auburn deserve to settle this score on the field, and Auburn fans deserve to watch the real title contender through 10 weeks prove its mettle.


Since: Nov 10, 2010
Posted on: November 14, 2010 9:06 am

An uncomfortable truth: TCU is better than Auburn

TCU is a joke! 35 to SDSU?

Since: Nov 6, 2010
Posted on: November 12, 2010 11:52 pm

Auburn sucks

All I can say is they Barely beat Kentucky....and Lsu wasn't exactly a blow out game either.But winning is winning I guess.But I'm ready for Bama to beat Auburn just like we did last year.Auburn may be winning games but they are still sticking out in the top 5 like what are they doing there?They are like 5 points ahead of TCU.If anything Auburn will keep dropping down in the rankings.I mean come on does anybody even know where Auburn is in Alabama??Auburn is definitely NOT going to win the National Championship this year.I can already tell you that.If anything it'll be Oregon or TCU.I do love that purple tho lol.But until then Roll Tide Roll!!!!!!

Since: Nov 10, 2010
Posted on: November 10, 2010 12:36 am

An uncomfortable truth: TCU is better than Auburn

" a defense like TCU's, which is head-and-shoulders above everybody else's -- even LSU's.".....I sure hope they're not paying you for this genius.

Since: Oct 20, 2010
Posted on: November 9, 2010 8:58 am

An uncomfortable truth: TCU is better than Auburn

Well all this and $2.00 will buy you a starbucks when AU wins out...

Since: Nov 6, 2010
Posted on: November 9, 2010 2:36 am

Auburn sucks

Auburn hasn't been in top 10 since like awhile lol.and for them to be number 1 for a week only to get dropped to number 2 cuz of the point system that was even worse.yes they haven't lost a game this year but all I can say is the game they played against Kentucky.....kentucky being unranked and almost beat them and took them into overtime....I don't want them to win the national championship.If anything I'd rather see LSU come out and win it instead.So until then I want Bama to beat Auburn.That is always a great Roll Tide Roll!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Since: Oct 27, 2010
Posted on: November 9, 2010 2:29 am

An uncomfortable truth: TCU is better than Auburn

They need to just let the games play out. If Auburn win's out, they deserve the shot at the title. Simple as that. They really need to just add a 4 team playoff to sort all this out. I can see the reluctance to add an 8 team playoff due to the entra number of games needed, but a 4 game playoff wouldn't be too detrimental and it would take care of all this debate in who deserves to play in the title game.

Since: Aug 25, 2009
Posted on: November 9, 2010 1:58 am

An uncomfortable truth: TCU is better than Auburn

I would like to stick my two cents in here too. Mr. Jacobi seems to be saying that TCU deserves to be in the BCS championship game ahead of Auburn. OK...I guess. But this starts a slippery slope. Taken to its logical conclusion, this argument also works for a Boise State BCS Championship berth. Remember that last year, basically the same Boise State team beat this TCU team in their bowl game. It was close and Boise had to use some trickery as I recall, but they did win the game. And Boise has also beaten a team that very likely will win their conference - Virginia Tech. So if TCU deserves a shot at the BCS championship game, then why doesn't Boise? 

Make note, I am not making an argument for either TCU or Boise deserve to be in the BCS championship game ahead of Auburn or anyone else. I am merely pointing out that Mr. Jacobi's logic could be used to make that argument. Ultimately, all this really does is prove once again how ridiculously greedy and selfish he Division I football power conferences really are. This whole debate is a waste of time and should have been put out of its misery a long long time ago. Every other division of college football has a playoff and a genuine championship earned on the field. it's time and past time for the Division I conferences to do the same. Is Boise or TCU or some school not yet mentioned really good enough to beat an Auburn or an Oregon or an Alabama or a USC in a championship game? I don't know. But it's time to find out. There are a plethora of playoff scenarios that have been suggested. Personally I would suggest that Division I simply adopt the same formula used by Division II - that one seems to work quite well. 

The bowls are exciting and certainly profitable. But the system could easily be adapted for use in a true playoff system and I would bet that the money might even surpass the current bowl payouts. The excitement certainly would! Especially since it would work similarly to the NCAA basketball tournament or the NFL playoffs. So the games would really mean something and the final winner really would be the national champion. No more controversy. No more ridiculous polls, which are worth about as much as the bloviating reporters who create them. And no more of these asinine articles supposing that Minor Conference Team A is better or worse than Major Conference Team B. it is all supposition with absolutely no real basis in fact. Once two teams get on the field, that is the place where superiority is determined - not in some gossip rag, whether it has the CBS name imprinted or not. 

So in conclusion, this article could be written about any of the top minor-conference teams over the past few years. I don't know if TCU is as good as Auburn. I don't know if BOise is as good as Oregon. I would like to find out. It is quite true that essentially this year's Boise team beat both Oregon and TCU last season, though the Oregon team was not the same group. But ultimately we'll never know because the BCS is rigged to protect the power conferences. And the voters, most of whom are reporters with little or no real understanding or expertise in the game, will always pick winners on reputation. It's time for the fans to demand a playoff and for the students - for whom this spectacle is supposedly staged - to put some pressure on their greedy school administrators. This ridiculous BCS controversy has gone on far too long. Let's let the athletes settle this where it belongs - on the field.

Since: Nov 8, 2010
Posted on: November 9, 2010 1:49 am

An uncomfortable truth: TCU is better than Auburn

Your whole argument appears to be based on TCU's blowout win over an overrated Utah team.  How many teams with winning records has TCU defeated?  Three -- Utah, Baylor and 6-4 Air Force.  Auburn has defeated six teams with winning records and four teams in the BCS top 25.  According to the NCAA, Auburn has the second toughest schedule, while TCU ranks 61st and Utah -- that real measure of quality -- is 94th.

Auburn's no flaky Big 10 team, but they've done more than TCU to this point and ahead for them is Georgia, Alabama and the SEC Eastern Division champion. TCU has 1-8 New Mexico and SDSU, which has beaten one team with a winning record.  But don't blame TCU. It's not their fault no real conference wants them.  It's those evil Texas politicians that picked Baylor instead of them for the Big 12.

Since: Sep 27, 2009
Posted on: November 9, 2010 1:07 am

Have you looked at Utah's schedule?

Look at the Ute's schedule. Look closely. Their biggest win of the year was over a then overrated Pitt team, and they barely got by. Utah is a good team, but there is no way that they are or were a top ten team.

TCU? Great team. I'm an Auburn fan and even I like TCU. But two TD's better than AU? No. AU has played and beaten at least four top 25 teams. TCU? TCU has played Utah.

I know you write crap like this to generate page hits. I'm sorry I gave you one.

Does AU play for the BCS title? Only if they keep winning. If they do, your post is moot. And if they don't. your post is suitable for fertilizer. But compost it first. Raw manure burns plants,

Since: Nov 9, 2010
Posted on: November 9, 2010 1:01 am

Tcu would beat Auburn by 2 TDs or more?!?

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