Posted by Tom Fornelli
KANSAS STATE WILL WIN IF: It can continue to dominate games with its rushing attack. The Wildcats have shown an ability to put a lot of points on the board the last few weeks against Texas Tech and Kansas with their rushing game, and currently Kansas State's rushing attack is 19th in the country. Collin Klein, Kansas State's starting quarterback, may also be the team's best running back as well. He leads the Wildcats with 670 yards rushing this season and has also rushed for 14 touchdowns. Though the best way for Klein and the Wildcats to sustain the rushing attack this weekend may be if Klein presents more of a threat through the air. Oklahoma's front seven is stronger and more athletic than any defense Kansas State has seen this season, and it's only allowing 3.14 yards per carry this season. So if Kansas State's offense is one dimensional, it probably won't find consistent success on Saturday.
OKLAHOMA WILL WIN IF: As I alluded to above, it needs to keep the Kansas State offense one-dimensional. Collin Klein has proven multiple times this season that he can beat teams with his legs, but he's yet to prove he can do it with his arm. So even though the Oklahoma defense is coming off a performance in which it saw its secondary get torched by Texas Tech and Seth Doege, Klein isn't quite the passer that Doege is. On the season Klein has thrown for 934 yards and 8 touchdowns, but is only completing 59% of his passes. On offense the Sooners can't afford another slow start. They were able to overcome it against Kansas because, well, it's Kansas. Against Texas Tech it just didn't happen. The problem here is that Kansas State's defense has been much better than that of Texas Tech this season and is the best one the Sooners will have seen since the Florida State game.
X-FACTOR: Landry Jones. It may seem strange to call a quarterback who was being hyped for the Heisman before the season started an X-Factor, but the truth is that Jones just hasn't been the quarterback we've expected for the last month. He struggled in Oklahoma's win over Florida State, but ever since his 5 touchdown performance against Ball State, he hasn't been stellar. In the last three games Jones has thrown for 1,142 yards and 11 touchdowns, but he's completing only 59% of his passes. Plus, a lot of those yards and touchdowns came in Oklahoma's comeback attempt against Texas Tech. This Sooners offense needs Jones to be the efficient passer we were all used to the last couple of seasons. If he can do that against Kansas State, then Oklahoma should win the game.