Posted by Tom Fornelli
OKLAHOMA STATE WILL WIN IF: In order to win this game all Oklahoma State has to do is to keep doing what it has done. Dominate the game with its offense, take care of the ball and take the ball away on defense. It may not look like it if you just look at the teams' records, but Oklahoma State is a much better team than Kansas State. What may surprise you though, is that while Kansas State's defense is considered to be much stronger than Oklahoma State's -- and I tried to debunk the "Oklahoma State defense is bad" theory -- here's something you may not have known: the Kansas State pass defense is worse than Oklahoma State's in just about every category. You have to think that Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon will be able to exploit a defense that's giving up 277.9 yards per game and allowing quarterbacks to complete 63.5% of their passes. Landry Jones just threw for 505 yards and 5 scores against it last week, and Weeden could find similar success.
KANSAS STATE WILL WIN IF: It figure out how to stop spread offenses. While the Kansas State defense got off to a strong start to the season, ever since Big 12 play started and it began facing offenses that spread it out, things have not been going well. In five conference games the Kansas State defense is allowing 33 points and 350.2 yards passing per game. The best way for Kansas State to stop the Oklahoma State offense will be to keep it off the field, which means the Wildcats will have to protect the ball and use its ground game. The good news for Kansas State is that Collin Klein and John Hubert have a chance to do just that. The Oklahoma State defense is giving up 185.5 yards per game on the ground, and Kansas State is rushing for 209.9. That will have to continue for the Wildcats to hand the Cowboys their first loss of the year.
X-FACTOR: Collin Klein. Klein needs to have his best game of the season for Kansas State to win this game. Odds are that Oklahoma State will be geared up to stop Klein and the rushing attack, so he's going to at least provide the threat of passing to open things up for his offense. Last week Klein was only able to complete 8 of his 16 passes for 58 yards, and that allowed the Oklahoma defense to key on stopping the run, and we all know how that worked out for Kansas State.