Blog Entry

Next year's BCS title odds released in Vegas

Posted on: January 5, 2012 4:31 pm

Posted by Jerry Hinnen

The 2012 BCS national championship game is still four days away, which means it's entirely too early to start discussing the 2013 BCS national championship game, right?

Nonsense--particularly if you're the sort of college football fan who's paying attention to what Las Vegas is already saying about that 2013 championship. Blog Kegs n' Eggs has compiled the early national title odds released this week by the Caesars Palace sportsbook, and the favorite won't surprise anyone who's taken a look at their defensive depth chartLSU checks in at the top of the list at 3/1.

The Bayou Bengals are followed by USC, at 6/1 following the return of Matt Barkley. Alabama (7/1), Oregon (9/1), and Arkansas (12/1) round out the book's "top 5."

Here's the rest of the contenders as sorted by conference, with some commentary to follow:


Florida State: 18/1
Virginia Tech: 18/1
Clemson: 28/1
Miami: 90/1
North Carolina: 100/1
Virginia: 100/1
Georgia Tech: 100/1

BIG 12

Oklahoma: 18/1
Kansas State: 25/1
Texas: 30/1
Oklahoma State: 40/1
TCU: 50/1
Baylor: 75/1


Michigan: 18/1
Nebraska: 30/1
Wisconsin: 40/1
Michigan State: 40/1
Penn State: 100/1
Iowa: 125/1


West Virginia: 50/1
Cincinnati: 75/1
Louisville: 100/1


USC: 6/1
Oregon: 9/1
Washington: 50/1
Stanford: 60/1
Arizona State: 75/1
Utah: 100/1
Washington State: 100/1
Cal: 100/1


LSU: 3/1
Alabama: 7/1
Arkansas: 12/1
Georgia: 15/1
South Carolina: 28/1
Auburn: 30/1
Florida: 35/1
Texas A&M: 60/1
Mississippi State: 75/1
Missouri: 75/1
Vanderbilt: 100/1


Notre Dame: 22/1
Boise State: 50/1
BYU: 100/1

The field is listed at 50/1. Comments:

-- Not that it's a surprise given that it's won five (and in four days, six) straight BCS titles, but still interesting to see the level of love for the SEC: four of the top six teams, half the 14-team conference at 35/1 or better, and only three teams (Ole Miss, Kentucky and Tennessee) are consigned to the field. (Incidentally, when was the last time Vegas offered national championship odds on Vanderbilt but not Tennessee? We're going on a limb to say "never.")

-- Is Michigan really going to enter 2012 as the Big Ten favorite -- Denard Robinson will be back, but there's major losses on both lines -- or is their status here just a result of the large numbers of Wolverine fans willing to bet on their favorite team? We're guessing the latter; of all the teams listed at 20/1 or better, they're the team we'd give the longest shot.

-- Other teams that might be overvalued: Alabama, who lose major chunks of their defense and offensive line; Notre Dame, because their schedule isn't getting any easier; and even at 75/1, Arizona State, because c'mon.

-- On the other hand, who might be undervalued? West Virginia should be even more explosive in year 2 of the Dana Holgorsen era, and the defense is young; TCU, who'll have the schedule strength to break into the BCS title game if they go undefeated again; and Virginia Tech, still with Logan Thomas at the controls and a cushy ACC slate. 

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Since: Sep 3, 2006
Posted on: May 1, 2012 1:21 pm
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Since: Jan 1, 2012
Posted on: January 9, 2012 8:43 am

Next year's BCS title odds released in Vegas

Undefeated LSU stayed on course to reach the BCS title game by beating  in overtime in early November, the Tigers’ only close victory of the year.

Turns out the Crimson Tide wanted a rematch.

They’ll get it Monday night at the Superdome, where top-ranked LSU and No. 2 Alabama will meet for the national championship in a showdown that guarantees a sixth consecutive BCS title for the SEC.

The Tigers (13-0) proved to be the dominant team in college football this season, using their versatile offense and overpowering defense to roll over opponents - except for one. That would be the Tide, who hosted LSU on Nov. 5 in a No. 1 vs. No. 2 matchup of teams that have each captured a BCS title during the SEC’s five-year reign.

Containing a Tigers team that ended up averaging 38.5 points - 12th in the FBS - Alabama took a 6-3 lead in the third quarter. The Tide couldn’t hold on, however, as LSU tied it early in the fourth and won 9-6 in OT on ’s third field goal in a game in which no touchdowns were scored.

The loss appeared to put an end to Alabama’s hopes of a second national championship in three years, but the Tide (11-1) had other ideas. Bouncing back from that defeat with three lopsided victories, they edged  by a .0086 margin in the BCS standings before earning the chance for revenge in New Orleans.

While some argued the 11-1 Cowboys deserved the trip to the Superdome, this matchup seems appropriate considering Alabama was the only team not to lose to LSU by at least 13 points.

“This could be a totally different type of game,” said Tide coach Nick Saban, who led LSU to a Sugar Bowl win at the Superdome after the 2003 season for a share of the national title. “There’s so many good players on both sides of the ball for both teams.

“There’s so much opportunity for this game to play out completely different and have a completely different flavor than the first game.”

Other than Alabama, LSU outscored opponents 491-131. The Tide’s defense - ranked first in the country at 191.3 yards per game, ahead of second-place LSU at 252.1 - will again face the challenge of shutting down the Tigers’ offense.

This time, it will be for another championship. Alabama captured the 2009 BCS title, while LSU is seeking its first since the 2007 season.

“This team loves the big stage,” said Tigers coach Les Miles, the AP coach of the year.

LSU quarterbacks  and  split time and combined for nearly 2,000 passing yards and 20 TDs while capably directing a ground attack that averaged 215.2 yards - 17th in the country.

Jefferson, expected to start this game, was suspended four games for his role in a bar brawl in August. He ended up rushing for 248 yards, making him one of five Tigers with at least that many. LSU was led by (755) and  (700).

If Alabama succeeds in containing LSU’s offense for a second time, the final score of this game could be similar to the first matchup. The Tigers are the first school with two first-team All-American cornerbacks in Tyrann Mathieu and .

Mathieu’s performance made him a Heisman Trophy finalist after he emerged as perhaps the most dynamic all-around player in the country. He had two interceptions and forced six fumbles for an LSU team that led the country in turnover margin at 1.69 per game.

The sophomore was even more spectacular as a punt returner, tying for the FBS lead with 16.2 yards per return. That was due in large part to game-changing performances in the last two contests - he had three returns for 115 yards and a 92-yard touchdown in a 41-17 win over  on Nov. 25, and brought four punts back for 119 yards and a 62-yard score in a 42-10 victory over then-No. 12  in the conference title game Dec. 3.

Those efforts made his one-game suspension in October for failing a drug test - teammates Ware and  were also suspended - seem like the distant past.

“I think (only) we can stop us,” said Mathieu, who also has 1 1/2 sacks. “I think we made a lot of bad decisions, personal mistakes, but we corrected it. We never gave up on each other.

“As everything was going on, I definitely think we grew closer. We started to believe in our coaches more. We started to definitely come closer within the locker room. So I think the leaders definitely started to stand up, and hats off to our leaders.”

Claiborne brought back an interception 45 yards for a TD against the Bulldogs, one of his six picks on the season, and also returned an INT 33 yards versus Alabama. The junior led the nation in interception return yards with 173.

The two cornerbacks benefit from a powerful LSU pass rush that recorded 37 sacks, led by ends  (9.0) and  (8.0).

LSU’s size and depth on defense played a major role in wearing down opponents. The Tigers outscored opponents by a stunning 267-61 after halftime, including 35-0 against Georgia.

The Tigers limited Heisman Trophy finalist and Doak Walker Award winner  to 89 yards rushing Nov. 5, but they could have their hands full as Richardson ran for 505 yards in the last three games - 203 against  - as Alabama outscored those opponents 111-42.

The junior was sixth in the country with 1,583 rushing yards and fifth with 20 TDs on the ground. He also had three touchdown receptions and 327 yards receiving.

“We have great respect for that Alabama team,” Miles said. “I can see that it certainly was a great game against them at their place, and we certainly respect that outing and that team and we learned that they’re very capable.”

LSU may need its defense to be at its best - and perhaps get a few more big plays from Mathieu - as it tries to earn a second win against the vaunted Tide defense. Alabama is led by , who had 8 1/2 sacks and 17 tackles for loss, and fellow linebacker , who recorded a team-leading 81 tackles - 9 1/2 for loss - and three sacks.

Upshaw and Hightower were among six Alabama All-Americans, and the Tide led the country with four first-teamers.

“We would trade all our awards for a national championship,” said offensive tackle , the Outland Trophy winner and one of the first-teamers.

Along with getting production from Richardson and their ground game, the Tide may need at least a solid performance from quarterback . The junior went 16 of 28 for 199 yards in the first meeting with LSU, getting sacked twice and intercepted once.

Alabama leads 45-25-5 in a rivalry that dates to 1895. The last five matchups have been decided by nine or fewer points.

Since: Oct 20, 2011
Posted on: January 8, 2012 10:26 pm

Next year's BCS title odds released in Vegas

I don't know...them Vegas boys are pretty smart, they don' lose money too often.

Since: Mar 31, 2010
Posted on: January 8, 2012 4:42 pm

Next year's BCS title odds released in Vegas


Since: Sep 3, 2011
Posted on: January 7, 2012 6:38 pm

Next year's BCS title odds released in Vegas

hey woopig Boise will be in the Mt West next season so yes they will still be a non-BCS
they join the Big East in 2013 

Since: Aug 24, 2007
Posted on: January 7, 2012 10:06 am

Next year's BCS title odds released in Vegas

Hogs will reload and return the best team in the country next year. The Hogs break thru next season!

Since: Nov 19, 2006
Posted on: January 7, 2012 8:27 am

Next year's BCS title odds released in Vegas

The Top 6 teams come from two Conferences.  The SEC leads the way with 4 teams, #1, 3, 5, and 6 (LSU, Alabama, Arkansas, and Georgia) and the Pac 12 has 2 teams, #2 and 4 (USC and Oregon).  It is not surprising to see a logjam at 18/1, though I think Oklahoma, with landry Jones returning, may be a bargain at that price.  It is interesting to see that Michigan appears to be a big favorite to win the Big 10 next season.  That does not bode well for the Big 10 in general, but Ohio State is out of the running.  As far as Va. Tech is concerned, they always lose at least one game at home.  In 2012, they host Florida State and go to Clemson.  I cannot support them.

Since: Nov 6, 2009
Posted on: January 6, 2012 10:29 pm

Next year's BCS title odds released in Vegas

what are the Vegas odds Landon Collins jilts Bama and signs w/LSU?
his momma gonna chew him a new one!

Since: Oct 17, 2009
Posted on: January 6, 2012 7:46 pm

Next year's BCS title odds released in Vegas

DeAnthony Thomas.............Darron Thomas...............GO DUCKS !!!

Since: Nov 18, 2006
Posted on: January 6, 2012 6:53 pm

Next year's BCS title odds released in Vegas

I can't believe that FSU is tied for 6th (with alot of teams) as a bet for a NC. I just don't see it. Yes they have a lot of talent and alot of the stars are leaning towards coming back (EJ & Rhodes) or decided (Reid) to come back, but as a NC contender. Not a chance. Did Vegas watch the game between FSU and ND?

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