Blog Entry

Phil Steele: LSU will open 2012 season No. 1

Posted on: January 30, 2012 2:42 pm

Posted by Jerry Hinnen

For all their explosive Mathieuan brilliance, LSU failed to finish the 2011 season ranked No. 1. But Phil Steele does have a small bit of good news for the Tigers: the numbers guru says that's where LSU will start the 2012 season.

For the fourth straight offseason, the preview magazine maven has projected the preseason AP top 10 based on returning starters, bowl performance, and other factors. Despite their BCS championship game pratfall, Steele expects the Tigers to open 2012 as the AP No. 1, one slot ahead of much-hyped USC.

Steele's assessment:

Last year LSU was picked 2nd in the SEC West behind Alabama and would go on to have arguably the best regular season in school history going 13-0 winning the SEC Championship and would beat EIGHT Top 25 teams! While the National Title loss to Alabama still stings, many of the Tigers’ star players return for 2012 including Heisman candidate DB Tyrann Mathieu along with their top 3 rec’s and their top 4 rushers. Throw in QB Zach Mettenberger who Miles said last year was his best pure passing QB and a home game vs Alabama and the Tigers will be the favorites to win the National Title! 

Alabama, Oregon and Oklahoma round out the projected top five, with Nos. 6-10 going to Georgia, Michigan, Florida State, Arkansas and West Virginia, respectively.

Based on Steele's track record, Les Miles should go ahead and start preparing his team to wear that familiar top-ranked bullseye, at least for its opening week matchup against North Texas. All three teams pegged by Steele to earn the AP's preseason No. 1 nod have gone to do so, including Oklahoma last year. Steele has also correctly predicted 9 of 10 teams all three years of the exercise and 13 of 15 total teams in the top five. 

Which means it's not just Miles that can go ahead and start worrying about managing expectations--assuming Steele is correct (or even close to it), the Bulldogs, Wolverines and Mountaineers will all be graced with a substantially higher preseason ranking than any of those programs has faced in years. And though that's not always a recipe for disaster (look at what Oklahoma State accomplished this past season), an appearance in Steele's projected top 10 proved to be a terrible omen for other supposed up-and-comers like 2009 Ole Miss, 2010 Iowa and 2011 Texas A&M.

So we're guessing Mark Richt, Brady Hoke and Dana Holgorsen -- not to mention Jimbo Fisher and his perennially overrated Seminoles -- are all hoping that this once, Steele isn't quite as accurate as he's promised to be.

Steele also recently released a comprehensive look at the entire FBS's projected returning starters for 2012; you can read the Eye on CFB's breakdown of those numbers here.

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Since: Jan 2, 2012
Posted on: January 30, 2012 6:39 pm

Phil Steele: LSU will open 2012 season No. 1

USC and Oklahoma... really?  LSU and Alabama would have mopped the field with both of those teams this year.  And... LSU and Alabama (and probably Arkansas and Georgia too) will mop the field with USC and Oklahoma next year too.  Check the record book... EVERY year for 6 or 7 in a row an SEC beat someone else... I don't like the BCS Formula, but it is what it is for now.  Regardless, an SEC team WILL be in the BCS Championship game next year, based on performance and the BCS Formula, AND an SEC team will win the BCS Championship game over some out- matched also ran.    

Since: May 3, 2007
Posted on: January 30, 2012 6:35 pm

Phil Steele: LSU will open 2012 season No. 1

andyham7....Just ignore Phil Steele. He is on here trying to blow smoke up everybody's arse. He is too dumb to understand that LSU ran into a GREAT defense in the BCS game. That is why LSU looked so bad, no other reason. You know that and I know that, but Phil Steele is still saying DUHHHHHHHHHHHH.  That is because he doesn't have one clue how good Alabama and LSU were in 2011. He has been watching too much Big 12 flag football. He didn't mention that the heralded Oklahoma State quarterback fell flat on his face in the Senior Bowl. He looked like he had his head in the clouds the entire game. I was there and saw it live. I was sitting 12 rows up behind the South bench and everybody sitting around me was talking about how bad he looked and asking "is this the guy that everybody has been talking about that is so great." Everybody that has knowlege of College Football needs to admit that LSU and Alabama were the two best teams in the nation and move on. Phil Steele is now ready to crown Southern Cal the 2012 winner. NCAA helped them out by giving them a slap on the wrist for their scholarship sanction. Then Barkley, with some rah rahs from Kiffin, makes a big splash by returning in 2012 because he and Kiffin are so frustrated by the fact that the SEC is winning the championship every year. NCAA turned their head when Pretty Boy Carroll developed amnesia at the end of his USC coaching stint and cleared out fast. If Alabama or LSU doesn't win the BCS next year, I will admit that they got beat. I will not talk about the team that beats one of them, (if one of them does make the BCS championship game), as not being the best team. We will probably continue to hear from Phil. LSU embarassed most teams they played...Arkansas, Auburn and Georgia to name three. They also beat Oregon and Alabama. So for Phil to indicate LSU didn't have a great team in 2011 and insinuate that Les Miles is not a excellent coach reflects phil's ignorance. Mr. Dodd of CBS, still hasn't accepted the fact that Alabama was the BCS champion either. Some people can't see the forest for trees. He even created a fantasy playoff in an attempt to crown his imaginary champion. Way to go Dennis, keep it up, you are batting .1000.

Since: Aug 18, 2010
Posted on: January 30, 2012 6:28 pm

Phil Steele: LSU will open 2012 season No. 1

If he was, he might have looked up LuckyState’s sorry history and found out that the Championship game is not being played in New Orleans. Hell, they haven’t played in a major bowl outside of there sorry State since the 1982 Orange bowl, where they got beat by Nebraska. If my memory serves me correctly , they haven’t won at a Major bowl (out side ofLouisiana) since 1965 season when they beat Arkansasin at the Cotton bowl. And I fen' LOVE IT!!!

So sorry for all that hate that you just cannot shake.  Yes, the LSU world is distraught that we only finished #2 this year.  That means that unless you are a Bama fan, we finished better than your team.  You may not know this being the idiot that you are, but the SEC champ is tied to the Sugar Bowl, and that is played in New Orleans.  So, unless we finish second in the SEC and get a BCS invite elsewhere, we are playing our major bowl in New Orleans.  Not sorry if that bothers you.  You mention the Cotton Bowl in 1965, but forget about 2011 when we won there against A&M.  As you don't seem that bright anyway, I will not ask you to define what a major bowl is.  Have a great day!

Since: Dec 24, 2011
Posted on: January 30, 2012 6:25 pm

Phil Steele: LSU will open 2012 season No. 1

Of coarse, we are off and running once again. The SEC bias is already in full swing here in January.  Why don't we just pass up the season and place two SEC teams in the BS Championship game right now. Maybe one day we will see the best team in the nation actually decided on the field.

Since: Dec 30, 2010
Posted on: January 30, 2012 6:21 pm

Phil Steele: LSU will open 2012 season No. 1

Sorry to bring you to reality pal, but the SEC's reign is over, USC and Oklahoma are going to be top dogs this year.

Since: Oct 21, 2006
Posted on: January 30, 2012 6:05 pm

Phil Steele: LSU will open 2012 season No. 1

Based on Michigans performance they are in the top 10?  ARE YOU FREAKING KIDDING ME!  Did anyone else watch that cow flop performance they demonstrated in the Sugar Bowl?  They had no business being there.  And Virginia Tech should feel like crap having outplayed Michigan all game long only to constantly kill yourself 1 mistake after another.  It took them long enough to lose the game but they sure accomplished it because Michigan surely didnt win it.

Michigan played 4 road games last year (2011) and lost half of them (Iowa and Michigan State.)  This upcoming season all those home wins (Nebraska, Notre Dame, Ohio State) are road games that Michigan can easily lose and will probably lose.  Not to mention Michigan State goes to Ann Arbor and for 4 straight years Michigan State has shown that it doesnt matter what QB they have calling the shots the Spartans shut that player down and there is nothing else.  Yes MSU loses some offensive talent, but the defense which was top 5 last year loses 3 players.  Denard has shown that hes not that good and we he can't run Michigan is bad.

    So based on all this information Michigan will be lucky to make it to a bowl game next year and it will certainly bring the scUM fans back to reality that Hokes first season was a total crock and hes really not that good of a coach.  Wonder if Michigan will run him out of town if they fail to make a bowl game after a BCS game in his first season.  lol.  hey it could happen.

Since: Jan 2, 2012
Posted on: January 30, 2012 5:38 pm

Phil Steele: LSU will open 2012 season No. 1

Most years the pre-season polls have a non-Sec school at the top.  Every year, the final polls have an SEC school at the top.  I don't care about pre-season, and this year is no exception.  At the end of the year, we will see LSU or some SEC school with the crown again.  6 or 7 years in a row???  It will be no different this year.

Since: Dec 27, 2011
Posted on: January 30, 2012 5:34 pm

Phil Steele: LSU will open 2012 season No. 1

lsu will again be very strong.  They might even be better next year than they were this past season... they'll have a coupla` QBs who can actually sling it around the yard.  Lee was ok as a passing QB, but often indecisive, and a statue in the pocket.

Their defense will be awesome as usual, and STs are gonna be top notch again.

My humble too early Top5,  I see it as:  lsu, zeroU, uscW, bama, uga

[As far as my Hogs go, with the loss of 'CAW'(Childs,Adams,Wright), and key losses on defense, I only see 8 wins next year for the Razorbacks.
We don't have a roster of paid all-stars like other schools do to be able to just say - NEXT.]

And like zillions of others have said, until a playoff system is put in place, we will never have a true champion of college football anyway.

  GO HOGS!        
;     &nbs

Since: Aug 25, 2006
Posted on: January 30, 2012 5:10 pm

Phil Steele: LSU will open 2012 season No. 1

Polls should not come out until week 5.  Nobody knows what will happen with incoming players and player development during the offseason.  We do know Les Miles is not sure what play to call and LSU has a very easy schedule next season though.  If they want to put polls out before the season I feel it is only right to have the previous years #1 start at the top.

Since: Mar 15, 2008
Posted on: January 30, 2012 5:01 pm

Phil Steele: LSU will open 2012 season No. 1

In all honesty, who really cares who's the projected #1 in JANUARY???
because the BCS bowl system is SO idiotic that it actually matters...if the preseason #1 or #2 go undefeated it doesnt matter what any other teams do.

In addition, the pecking order for taking over the top spots it largelly determined by this silly rankings. 

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