Blog Entry

Expert Fan #17: Week 3 Picks: Put Up or Shut Up

Posted on: September 24, 2010 8:27 pm
 

*Note: This is a continuation of my blog posts on www.fannation.com. I had to wait for “All Star” status on CBS Sports before I could begin posting here. To see my previous posts, go to Fan Nation and search “TheExpertFan” – no spaces.

Here we go. It’s time to start separating the men from the boys, the contenders from the pretenders, and the stars from the flops. If week two was Rebound Week, week three is Reckoning Week. This is the week when those teams with 0-2 starts (Dallas and Minnesota, that would be you) must begin to perform to their preseason expectations, or kiss their seasons good bye. An 0-3 start is a devastating hole to climb out of, but it has been done before. According to ESPN.com, 3 teams in the modern era have overcome an 0-3 start to make the playoffs. The most recent of those teams? The 1998 Buffalo Bills, coached by – you guessed it – Wade Phillips.

But will we see such a feat again in 2010? That will have to be played out, but if only 3 teams have done it, the odds aren’t looking very good.

Also reported today was that Jerry Jones has given Wade Phillips a “vote of confidence,” trying to ensure his coach’s job regardless of this week’s results against Houston. Now I’m no expert (obviously) but isn’t a “vote of confidence” owner-speak for “win now or else?” I’ve already called Phillips’ job if the Cowboys lose this week in my last post. Will Minnesota’s Brad Childress face the same pressure? Rightly or wrongly, no he won’t. Despite Brett Favre coming back, the Vikings just didn’t have the same ungodly high level of expectations to live up to. It’s hard for those kinds of expectations to be placed on a 40 year old quarterback who took the kind of abuse he did in last year’s NFC Championship game, especially when he has no weapons to throw to. Being without Sidney Rice is a much bigger problem than anyone thought.

The other two surprising 0-2 teams, San Francisco and Oakland, still have decent chances, again, because the play in extremely week divisions. So that really puts the target solely on Wade Phillips and the Fightin’ Jerrys.

On to my week 3 picks:

Best Games of the Week

1. Houston Texans vs. Dallas Cowboys

Normally a game featuring a 2-0 team and an 0-2 team isn’t a candidate for best game of the week. But when that 0-2 team was a preseason Super Bowl Favorite now fighting for survival, that tends to bring some panache to the matchup. But really, how can you go against Dallas in this one? Jerry Jones needs this to still have a chance to play the Super Bowl at home. Wade Phillips is coaching for his job. Tony Romo has criticized the running game. The fans in Dallas are foaming at the mouth. A no-brainer, right?

Houston wins, 31-27.

2. New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons

Yes, the defending champs are 2-0. Atlanta laid an egg in week 1 against Pittsburgh. But, the two wins for the Saints were less than inspiring, and Atlanta rebounded nicely last week with a big win over Arizona. I really think Matty Ice will play stellar ball, and the loss of Reggie Bush will hurt the Saints more than expected. The Saints LOVE to throw that screen pass to him, and that will be a huge hole in Drew Brees’ passing game.

Falcons win, 34-28, and serve notice to the champs that things won’t be so easy in the NFC South.

3. Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets

An early fight for a stranglehold on the AFC East, the 2-0 Dolphins, a surprise in their own right, take on the 1-1 Jets who just handed New England a devastating loss under the passing of Mark Sanchez. This is a game that features two young, unproven quarterbacks with teams that are playing stellar defense. Even though Mark Sanchez had a very strong game, I don’t see the Jets putting the game in his hands again. There is a big difference between Miami’s tough defense and New England’s aging, injury-riddled defense. Expect a lot of running in this one. I see this coming down to which team makes the fewest mistakes. The Jets are the more experienced, so they win it, 21-3.

Rest of the Best

1. New York Giants vs. Tennessee Titans – Giants, 24-13

2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers – Steelers, 21-10

3. Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns – Ravens, 28-7

4. Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers – 49ers, 27-7

5. Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions – Lions, 21-17

6. New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills – Patriots, 35-3

7. Saint Louis Rams vs. Washington Redskins – Redskins, 27-7

8. Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles – Eagles, 24-10

9. Arizona Cardinals vs. Oakland Raiders – Raiders, 21-6

10. Seattle Seahawks vs. San Diego Chargers – Chargers, 34-10

11. Denver Broncos vs. Indianapolis Colts – Colts, 28-21

12. Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers – Packers, 28-14

Who Cares Game of the Week

Carolina Panthers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

This was going to be a stinker even before Carolina benched Matt Moore in favor of Jimmy Clausen. Cincinnati has looked flat-out lost on offense their first two games, and Carolina has been anemic in that area as well. The Bengals defense played well after being destroyed by the Pats in week one, and now they get to go against a rookie QB making his first career start. That is a recipe for crap football, and this is the king of the crap hill this week.

Bengals win, 17-3.

Up Next: Week 3 Results
Comments

Since: Sep 27, 2010
Posted on: September 27, 2010 11:13 am
 

Expert Fan #17: Week 3 Picks: Put Up or Shut Up

Giants Vs. Titans: This game seemed to be dominated by the Giants offensively but three turnovers and two missed field goals gave the win to the Titans in the end. Yesterday, on third down and goal from the Two Yard line offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride decides to put the ball in Eli's hands. For the past two weeks the NYG offensive line, along with Brandon Jacobs, have been criticized. AT this point in the game, trailing 3 to nothing, the Giants had an opportunity to let the boys show what they are made of. Even if Jacobs(or bradshaw) had gotten stopped, a tie game is guaranteed. No doubt Eli made a mistake throwing the ball left handed into the endzone. However, I would have pounded the ball with Jacobs. In my eyes, this is another mistake by Kevin Gilbride.



Since: Jul 12, 2009
Posted on: September 26, 2010 8:26 pm
 

Expert Fan #17: Week 3 Picks: Put Up or Shut Up

Wow, you are an expert.  Good job. 



Since: Jul 12, 2010
Posted on: September 26, 2010 9:46 am
 

Expert Fan #17: Week 3 Picks: Put Up or Shut Up

is this guy smokin something ? he must be if he thinks the saints lose to the falcons . and miami loses 21 to 3 to the jets . look if the jets beat miami it wont be by more then 7 bottomline. dude u need to do some research before u make predictions. the miami dolphins and the new york jets neither team has a won a game againist them by more then 7 . the marg of victory for the fins the last 3 games was 5 they won the last 3 by 16



Since: Mar 10, 2008
Posted on: September 25, 2010 9:40 am
 

Expert Fan #17: Week 3 Picks: Put Up or Shut Up

*Note: This is a continuation of my blog posts on . I had to wait for “All Star” status on CBS Sports before I could begin posting here. To see my previous posts, go to Fan Nation and search “TheExpertFan” – no spaces.

Here we go. It’s time to start separating the men from the boys, the contenders from the pretenders, and the stars from the flops. If week two was Rebound Week, week three is Reckoning Week. This is the week when those teams with 0-2 starts (Dallas and Minnesota, that would be you) must begin to perform to their preseason expectations, or kiss their seasons good bye. An 0-3 start is a devastating hole to climb out of, but it has been done before. According to ESPN.com, 3 teams in the modern era have overcome an 0-3 start to make the playoffs. The most recent of those teams? The 1998 Buffalo , coached by – you guessed it – Wade Phillips.

But will we see such a feat again in 2010? That will have to be played out, but if only 3 teams have done it, the odds aren’t looking very good.

Also reported today was that Jerry Jones has given Wade Phillips a “vote of confidence,” trying to ensure his coach’s job regardless of this week’s results against Houston. Now I’m no expert (obviously) but isn’t a “vote of confidence” owner-speak for “win now or else?” I’ve already called Phillips’ job if the lose this week in my last post. Will Minnesota’s Brad Childress face the same pressure? Rightly or wrongly, no he won’t. Despite coming back, the just didn’t have the same ungodly high level of expectations to live up to. It’s hard for those kinds of expectations to be placed on a 40 year old quarterback who took the kind of abuse he did in last year’s NFC Championship game, especially when he has no weapons to throw to. Being without is a much bigger problem than anyone thought.

The other two surprising 0-2 teams, San Francisco and Oakland, still have decent chances, again, because the play in extremely week divisions. So that really puts the target solely on Wade Phillips and the Fightin’ Jerrys.

On to my week 3 picks:

Best Games of the Week

1.   Houston vs. Dallas Cowboys

Normally a game featuring a 2-0 team and an 0-2 team isn’t a candidate for best game of the week. But when that 0-2 team was a preseason Super Bowl Favorite now fighting for survival, that tends to bring some panache to the matchup. But really, how can you go against Dallas in this one? Jerry Jones needs this to still have a chance to play the Super Bowl at home. Wade Phillips is coaching for his job. has criticized the running game. The fans in Dallas are foaming at the mouth. A no-brainer, right?

Houston wins, 31-27.

2.   New Orleans vs. Atlanta

Yes, the defending champs are 2-0. Atlanta laid an egg in week 1 against Pittsburgh. But, the two wins for the Saints were less than inspiring, and Atlanta rebounded nicely last week with a big win over Arizona. I really think Matty Ice will play stellar ball, and the loss of will hurt the Saints more than expected. The Saints LOVE to throw that screen pass to him, and that will be a huge hole in ’ passing game.

Falcons win, 34-28, and serve notice to the champs that things won’t be so easy in the NFC South.

3.   Miami vs. New York

An early fight for a stranglehold on the AFC East, the 2-0 Dolphins, a surprise in their own right, take on the 1-1 Jets who just handed New England a devastating loss under the passing of . This is a game that features two young, unproven quarterbacks with teams that are playing stellar defense. Even though Mark Sanchez had a very strong game, I don’t see the Jets putting the game in his hands again. There is a big difference between Miami’s tough defense and New England’s aging, injury-riddled defense. Expect a lot of running in this one. I see this coming down to which team makes the fewest mistakes. The Jets are the more experienced, so they win it, 21-3.

Rest of the Best

1.   New York vs. Tennessee – Giants, 24-13

2.  T ampa Bay vs. Pittsburgh – Steelers, 21-10

3.   Baltimore vs. Cleveland – Ravens, 28-7

4.   Kansas City vs. San Francisco – 49ers, 27-7

5.   Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit – Lions, 21-17

6.   New England vs. Buffalo Bills – Patriots, 35-3

7.   Saint Louis vs. Washington – Redskins, 27-7

8.   Jacksonville vs. Philadelphia – Eagles, 24-10

9.   Arizona vs. Oakland – Raiders, 21-6

10.   Seattle vs. San Diego – Chargers, 34-10

11.   Denver vs. Indianapolis – Colts, 28-21

12.   Chicago vs. Green Bay – Packers, 28-14

Who Cares Game of the Week

Carolina vs. Cincinnati

This was going to be a stinker even before Carolina benched in favor of . Cincinnati has looked flat-out lost on offense their first two games, and Carolina has been anemic in that area as well. The Bengals defense played well after being destroyed by the Pats in week one, and now they get to go against a rookie QB making his first career start. That is a recipe for crap football, and this is the king of the crap hill this week.

Bengals win, 17-3.





Since: Sep 9, 2008
Posted on: September 25, 2010 12:41 am
 

Expert Fan #17: Week 3 Picks: Put Up or Shut Up

Lions beating Brett Favre and Vikings with their  second string quarterback?  Strafford is OUT?  And the Cardinals will only put up two field goals for just 6 points in their home stadium before a sold out game against visiting Oakland and their second string quarterback Bruce Gradkoski??????  What have you been smoking?  What you did pick right was the sure wins a pop warner kid could guess such as Green Bay, Steelers, Ravens, Patriots,Eagles, and Colts all winning.  Expert Fan 17 you can do better then that unless you don't follow what's going on in the NFL.


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