Blog Entry

What if....?

Posted on: November 22, 2011 10:32 am
 
The only sure thing in the BCS title chase entering the second-to-last weekend of the season is chaos.  Well, and that LSU will play for the title if it finishes 13-0.

But, what if....

...Alabama beats Auburn?  Barring other upsets, Alabama is likely to play for the title too, but it's not a sure thing.  Voters could get to December 4th and decide they don't want a rematch and/or do want to reward a conference champion.  Is that likely?  It wouldn't seem so, and the only team I could imagine voters going for otherwise would be current human poll No. 6 Oklahoma State.  It's going to be tough for the Cowboys to catch Alabama with Virginia Tech and Stanford ahead of them in the polls though.

...Arkansas beats LSU?  Well, assuming Alabama beats Auburn also, the SEC West falls into a three-way tiebreaker, which in this case, would be decided by BCS standings and head-to-head.  The lowest-rated team of the three in this coming Sunday's rankings would be eliminated, and then head-to-head between the other two would decide it.

So, traditional voting patterns would indicate LSU would drop to third (he who loses last, loses worst).  That would give Alabama the division crown.  You could also make a case for ordering them Arkansas, LSU, Alabama (they beat each other, of course, but Bama's win came at home, while the others won on the road).  That would give Arkansas the West title.  I can't imagine Arkansas winning and still being third, but if that happened, LSU is still the West champion.

In any event, whichever team won would play for the BCS title as a 12-1 SEC champion.  That team's opponent is more uncertain, but it could be one of its divison foes, or again, Oklahoma State.

...Georgia wins the SEC?  I don't think it's a difficult concept to accept that the top two teams in the country could be in the same conference.  But, if that is truly the case, don't you think one of them could manage to win the league?

If the Bulldogs pull it off, expect them to shoot way up the rankings.  They might end up even being the top rated SEC team in the human polls (assuming they beat Georgia Tech this week).  In 2001, two-loss, Big 12 champion Colorado finished ahead of one-loss Nebraska in the polls, but NU ended up in the BCS title game anyway because the polls were only 25% of the formula back then.
In any event, this is the best case scenario for an Oklahoma State or Virginia Tech (if the voters still love them) to get into the title game.  I doubt very seriously that we would have two non-champion SEC teams playing for the BCS title.  However, if that does happen, Georgia still would get to go the Sugar Bowl as the SEC titlist.  That situation is the one exception to the two-team-per-conference limit.

Comments

Since: Jun 2, 2010
Posted on: November 22, 2011 4:24 pm
 

What if....?

i hope the bcs is stupid enough to put the SNOOZE FEST... BORING AS HELL bowl between lsu/ala.....the bcs will just be cutting there own throats and quickening there eventual demise.



Since: Aug 18, 2010
Posted on: November 22, 2011 4:03 pm
 

What if....?

 "You cannot expect perfect BCS scenarios every year but computers are better and smarter than you!  Go Bama Roll Tide!"

How about that.  A Bama fan just said that OSU should be in the NC game instead of Alabama.  Being that the computers favor OSU over Bama, I guess as long as everyone wins out, at least one Bama fan thinks the Cowboys should be in the game instead of the Tide.  Who knew? 



TDAISON
Since: Mar 9, 2008
Posted on: November 22, 2011 3:52 pm
This comment has been removed.

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Since: Sep 19, 2006
Posted on: November 22, 2011 3:52 pm
 

What if....?

DTCHI, im not an Oklahoma St. fan, but to win @Tulsa, @Texas A&M, @Texas, @Missouri, and @Texas Tech in one season is not too shabby. They also beat Kansas St and Baylor @ home. Every team in college football is more than likely going to have a bad game at least 1 time every year, but it should be MORE about their quality wins, and not MORE about the 1 loss they had.

The 5 teams they beat on the road (Tulsa, Texas A&M, Texas, Missouri, Texas Tech) have a combined record of 30-23. These teams also only have 11 combined losses @ home this year.......5 of those home loses came at the hands of Oklahoma State. Did i mention all of these teams (except Texas Tech 5-6) are over .500 for the year? Not 1 team ranked ahead of OSU right now can say the same thing. Hell, Arkansas only has 4 away games the entire year.

You need to look at wins, not losses man. Find me any SEC team (besides LSU) that have better credentials.........




Since: Oct 21, 2007
Posted on: November 22, 2011 3:29 pm
 

What if....?

The BCS nc game should be played by the two best teams in the country.  SEC west is in a crazy state right now but after this weekend there will be more clarity.  A breakdown of top 4 total defenses: Alabama #1 at 8.4 points per game, LSU #2 at 10 ppg, Arkansas #29 at 21.1 ppg and Ok. State #66 at 27.7 ppg.  On offense Ok State #2 at 49.8 ppg, Arkansa #13 at 39.3 ppg, LSU #14 at 37.9 ppg and Bama #20 at 35.5 ppg. So the spread differential is LSU +27.9, Bama +27.1, Ok State 22.1 and Arkansas +10.3.  The valid argument is that if a team can't win it's own division, is it deserving to play in the nc game? 

This is a weird year, but I still think Ok State with a big win over OK could be right back in the hunt.  Whoever wins the LSU Arkansas game should be in.

So Palm, yep, there are a lot of what if's out there that fortunately will be dealt with on the football field this weekend.



Since: Dec 1, 2006
Posted on: November 22, 2011 3:28 pm
 

What if....?

It's nice to see someone finally understand tha ta rematch in the NCG would not be a certainty if LSU and Alabama win out, but it's still humorous how people that do this for a living don't realize that where teams are ranked prior to the final standings are no indicator of how the top two teams will end up.  Since the BCS was adjusted in 2004, we've had such a controversy twice and both times teams jumped the #2 team.  That's two for two.  The fact that Palm and other "experts" don't understand that this is actually the norm and can happen again is a head scratcher.  Shoot, maybe I'm the one that's not seeing something. 



Since: Jan 4, 2011
Posted on: November 22, 2011 3:15 pm
 

What if....?

Yeah, how dare those young men let the death of 2 people close to them effect something really important like football.



Since: Apr 22, 2008
Posted on: November 22, 2011 3:09 pm
 

What if....?

yes,
people can try to spin things all they want.
Logic says if you lose to Iowa State you don't play in the NC game.
Simple as that. 



Since: Aug 18, 2010
Posted on: November 22, 2011 3:00 pm
 

What if....?

There are sure a lot of parrots on this site, and they are almost always wrong.  Repeating an incorrect statement does not get more true just because you keep saying it.  In neither 2006 or 2007 did the BCS say anything about having to win your conference.  You can say that the BCS said...... as many times as you want, but it is not true and never was.  Voters decided they did not want a rematch in 2006 and in 2007, voters decided to jump LSU back up because we won the conference and beat the team that beat UGA.  It is funny reading about UGA fan calling UT a very middle of the road team because they beat UGA that year. 



Since: Sep 12, 2007
Posted on: November 22, 2011 2:57 pm
 

What if....?

TheyCallMePro: OK State?  Really?  Who did they just lose to?  You really want to talk about how superior they are?  If they were so superior, they would have won Saturday.  They had their chance and they blew it. 



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