Blog Entry

What if....?

Posted on: November 22, 2011 10:32 am
 
The only sure thing in the BCS title chase entering the second-to-last weekend of the season is chaos.  Well, and that LSU will play for the title if it finishes 13-0.

But, what if....

...Alabama beats Auburn?  Barring other upsets, Alabama is likely to play for the title too, but it's not a sure thing.  Voters could get to December 4th and decide they don't want a rematch and/or do want to reward a conference champion.  Is that likely?  It wouldn't seem so, and the only team I could imagine voters going for otherwise would be current human poll No. 6 Oklahoma State.  It's going to be tough for the Cowboys to catch Alabama with Virginia Tech and Stanford ahead of them in the polls though.

...Arkansas beats LSU?  Well, assuming Alabama beats Auburn also, the SEC West falls into a three-way tiebreaker, which in this case, would be decided by BCS standings and head-to-head.  The lowest-rated team of the three in this coming Sunday's rankings would be eliminated, and then head-to-head between the other two would decide it.

So, traditional voting patterns would indicate LSU would drop to third (he who loses last, loses worst).  That would give Alabama the division crown.  You could also make a case for ordering them Arkansas, LSU, Alabama (they beat each other, of course, but Bama's win came at home, while the others won on the road).  That would give Arkansas the West title.  I can't imagine Arkansas winning and still being third, but if that happened, LSU is still the West champion.

In any event, whichever team won would play for the BCS title as a 12-1 SEC champion.  That team's opponent is more uncertain, but it could be one of its divison foes, or again, Oklahoma State.

...Georgia wins the SEC?  I don't think it's a difficult concept to accept that the top two teams in the country could be in the same conference.  But, if that is truly the case, don't you think one of them could manage to win the league?

If the Bulldogs pull it off, expect them to shoot way up the rankings.  They might end up even being the top rated SEC team in the human polls (assuming they beat Georgia Tech this week).  In 2001, two-loss, Big 12 champion Colorado finished ahead of one-loss Nebraska in the polls, but NU ended up in the BCS title game anyway because the polls were only 25% of the formula back then.
In any event, this is the best case scenario for an Oklahoma State or Virginia Tech (if the voters still love them) to get into the title game.  I doubt very seriously that we would have two non-champion SEC teams playing for the BCS title.  However, if that does happen, Georgia still would get to go the Sugar Bowl as the SEC titlist.  That situation is the one exception to the two-team-per-conference limit.

Comments

Since: Aug 5, 2008
Posted on: November 22, 2011 11:55 am
 

What if....?

I hope and pray something else shakes up the BCS.  Though I love the SEC, LSU and Bama, I strongly believe that the NCG would be a little boring if we were to see a LSU v. Bama Part Deux.  I'm hoping either Arky beats LSU or something.  I still would like to see OK State or even Houston slide in there.  Wishful thinking, right?



Since: Feb 16, 2008
Posted on: November 22, 2011 11:52 am
 

What if....?

I understand the appeal to the SEC they have been dominant. But, who (outside of the SEC) wants to see a national title game with 2 SEC teams. that made a lot of mistakes when they played. Alabama lost and should have dropped more in the polls due to there play (4 missed field goals and no touchdowns) But, they are there. Now my BIG question, WHY SHOULD YOU PLAY FOR A NATIONAL TITLE IF YOU CANT WIN YOUR CONFERENCE. only one of LSU or Alabama or ARkansas can win the west therefore have a shot at the conference championship. The other 2 need to drop and look at other conference winners. Its just life




Since: Mar 6, 2010
Posted on: November 22, 2011 11:46 am
 

What if....?

I agree with LSUSMC on this one. Alabama had their shot, at home, and lost. Unless LSU somehow loses to Arkansas (not gonna happen), a Georgia win in the SEC title game is the only thing that could potentially change things up. But even then, Georgia has more losses already than LSU, so they get the Sugar Bowl in that case. LSU still (in my opinion) deserves to go to the title game based on body of work. Alabama essentially played two games this season; Penn State and LSU (after LSU blasts Arkansas everyone will see the Hogs for what they are, a fraud). LSU played Oregon in a semi-home game in Dallas, and won in Tuscaloosa. Their wins are better than Alabama's. This is the bad side of not having a playoff. What is the purpose of even having divisions or conferences if ultimately a team can come in through the back door like Alabama fans want? Just dissolve all conferences, and let teams play everyone around the country. Then Alabama would have an argument. Until then, enjoy the Sugar Bowl. It looks like you'll luck out and draw Houston, so you can do the whole SEC chant again.



Since: Dec 1, 2009
Posted on: November 22, 2011 11:45 am
 

What if....?

I am hoping for a LSU-bama rematch!  I would love to get bama in the superdome and make that bama fan cry again.  Will saban's head explode when he loses to the Hat twice in one year?  I guess if he had Shula's players, he might have a better chance!




Since: Aug 18, 2010
Posted on: November 22, 2011 11:43 am
 

What if....?

I said before the LSU-Bama game that no matter what happened, I was not in favor of a rematch.  Why would LSU be afraid of Bama.  We beat you at your place.  I do not see how that warrants a rematch.  Is it fair that LSU has to beat Bama twice and UGA once in order for us to win the NC while all Bama has to do is beat LSU once?  LSU still has to beat Arkansas or none of this matters, but if we do, there is no way Bama deserves another chance.  You simply have not earned it.  Bama's case is that everyone else sucks.  Not much of a case. 



Since: Sep 2, 2009
Posted on: November 22, 2011 11:42 am
 

What if....?

Your What if is kind of funny. How about what is really going to happen. LSU and Alabama win out. If that happens Then that will be the 2 teams in the National Championship Game. I know the rest of the country does not want that, but that what is going to happen because of all the team who possible had a shot at jumping Bama lost.


TDAISON
Since: Mar 9, 2008
Posted on: November 22, 2011 11:24 am
This comment has been removed.

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Since: Aug 18, 2010
Posted on: November 22, 2011 11:18 am
 

What if....?

Wow, I read Palm and actually learned something.  I did not know that there was an exception to the two teams per conference limit rule.  I really hope it does not come into play this season.  Even though the poll on the front page of the college football section indicates that the majority of the country/voters think the BCS has it right with three SEC teams at the top of the polls, I just do not think that the majority of the country wants to see LSU and Bama again.  I compare it to the NFL in that there is no way two teams from the NFC can play in the Super Bowl, even though the best two teams in all of football are from the NFC.  I do know that college football operates under different rules than does the NFL, but it is the same concept.  Go Ok State!


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