Blog Entry

What if....?

Posted on: November 22, 2011 10:32 am
 
The only sure thing in the BCS title chase entering the second-to-last weekend of the season is chaos.  Well, and that LSU will play for the title if it finishes 13-0.

But, what if....

...Alabama beats Auburn?  Barring other upsets, Alabama is likely to play for the title too, but it's not a sure thing.  Voters could get to December 4th and decide they don't want a rematch and/or do want to reward a conference champion.  Is that likely?  It wouldn't seem so, and the only team I could imagine voters going for otherwise would be current human poll No. 6 Oklahoma State.  It's going to be tough for the Cowboys to catch Alabama with Virginia Tech and Stanford ahead of them in the polls though.

...Arkansas beats LSU?  Well, assuming Alabama beats Auburn also, the SEC West falls into a three-way tiebreaker, which in this case, would be decided by BCS standings and head-to-head.  The lowest-rated team of the three in this coming Sunday's rankings would be eliminated, and then head-to-head between the other two would decide it.

So, traditional voting patterns would indicate LSU would drop to third (he who loses last, loses worst).  That would give Alabama the division crown.  You could also make a case for ordering them Arkansas, LSU, Alabama (they beat each other, of course, but Bama's win came at home, while the others won on the road).  That would give Arkansas the West title.  I can't imagine Arkansas winning and still being third, but if that happened, LSU is still the West champion.

In any event, whichever team won would play for the BCS title as a 12-1 SEC champion.  That team's opponent is more uncertain, but it could be one of its divison foes, or again, Oklahoma State.

...Georgia wins the SEC?  I don't think it's a difficult concept to accept that the top two teams in the country could be in the same conference.  But, if that is truly the case, don't you think one of them could manage to win the league?

If the Bulldogs pull it off, expect them to shoot way up the rankings.  They might end up even being the top rated SEC team in the human polls (assuming they beat Georgia Tech this week).  In 2001, two-loss, Big 12 champion Colorado finished ahead of one-loss Nebraska in the polls, but NU ended up in the BCS title game anyway because the polls were only 25% of the formula back then.
In any event, this is the best case scenario for an Oklahoma State or Virginia Tech (if the voters still love them) to get into the title game.  I doubt very seriously that we would have two non-champion SEC teams playing for the BCS title.  However, if that does happen, Georgia still would get to go the Sugar Bowl as the SEC titlist.  That situation is the one exception to the two-team-per-conference limit.

Comments

Since: Jan 1, 2009
Posted on: November 24, 2011 5:56 pm
 

What if....? BCS chaos ..likely

If Arkansas beats LSU, and Georgia beats Arkansas, I don't believe the voters will allow an Alabama-LSU rematch. How fair would it be for LSU to have to beat Alabama twice JUST TO WIN THE TITLE. LSU would win the 1st and lose the 2nd yet Alabama would get the title? Remember, the coaches poll must declare the THE WINNER OF THE TITLE GAME THE CHAMPION. However, the AP poll does not have to crown the winner of that game the champion. Hence, a split Championship is a high possibility. You gotta love the crazy things that can happen on any give Saturday. The computer rankings is footballs version of the RPI. It is who you defeat and who your opponents defeat, not necessarily who you lose too. That is why you have 8 Big 12 teams vs 5 for the SEC ranked in the Top 20 Sagarin ratings (BCS rankings-uses the ELO Chess). A 9th team from The Big 12, Texas Tech, has lost every game since the OU win, yet they are still ranked #30. All of this should make an exciting finish to "The Greatness that is College Football." For the record, I do like Arkansas to beat LSU tomorrow, Notre Dame to beat Stanford, Tulsa to beat Houston, Alabama over Auburn, and Oklahoma to beat the OSU next weekend.



Since: Sep 12, 2007
Posted on: November 24, 2011 5:04 pm
 

What if....?

That was meant for Okaces
 



Since: Sep 12, 2007
Posted on: November 24, 2011 5:01 pm
 

What if....?

What an ignorant, redneck comment.



Since: Oct 14, 2011
Posted on: November 24, 2011 2:25 pm
 

What if....?

Hog Authority, why don't we just give all SEC teams an automatic bowl bid before the season< after all they all play bin the super tough SEC, so even Ole Miss and Tennessee surely deserve a bowl game, oh forgot mighty Kentucky too!
@okaces,

It is clear why you are still a rookie.  I will go easy on you because it is the will of CBSSports.com to make the newbies cry.   I realize this may be hard to follow for most in non SEC Schools, but automatic bowl bids is not the desire of SEC schools.  It is the prestigious SEC Championship and the National Championships.  The SEC West Crown is special double bonus for Western Schools.  Highlighting the woes of the three SEC schools that are currently on the bottom is a kin to dissing the sitting president because your local state rep of the same party had some issues. How many teams can say they had to play #1 LSU, #2, Bama, #3 Arkansas, #15 Auburn in their their conference divison!!! Answer Ole Miss & Miss State. You did not declare your allegiance; but the 3 schools you wish to diss on may just take your school to the woodshed?

Ask your self why is there no playoff system?  Well the answer is not because the SEC wishes to veto it.  So that means that OTHER schools / conferences do not want.  i.e Big 10 and freaking PAC 12 because of there precious little who gives a damn Rose Bowl.  Hell the Bevo League do not even want Championship game anymore.

So in short Mr. Rookie okaces; just try to read and laern and refrain from posting ignorance. 



Since: Oct 20, 2011
Posted on: November 24, 2011 10:02 am
 

What if....?

tsavo, of course all other teams from other conferences should immediately drop their programs and the FOURTEEN SEC teams can just play each other for rankings, isee it is true that you hillbillys in Bamma can't count higher than SIX!



Since: Oct 20, 2011
Posted on: November 24, 2011 9:53 am
 

What if....?

Hog Authority, why don't we just give all SEC teams an automatic bowl bid before the season< after all they all play bin the super tough SEC, so even Ole Miss and Tennessee surely deserve a bowl game, oh forgot mighty Kentucky too!



Since: Oct 20, 2011
Posted on: November 24, 2011 9:48 am
 

What if....?

La Tech, what are you smoking man?



Since: Nov 24, 2011
Posted on: November 24, 2011 3:12 am
 

What if....?

After watching collage football for 50 years yea im old lol,you playoff peeps be wary of what you wish for the smaller schools play great offence and not so great defence,in heavywight football the name of the game is depth ask fla or tenn after playing ala,lsu back to back do you really think houston or boise ect could play 3 games in a row against the heavy`s of all the confrences (not a chance) they dont have the depth.Now if they have all offseason or a month to get ready for 1 game sometimes . Some of the people around the country i understand have rarely seen defences with depth so they think 50 to 49 is a great game but list the teams that have given up 40 or more points in a game that have won a title in last 50 years or ever.Havent reserched it so i might be wrong but dont remember 1.




Since: Nov 8, 2008
Posted on: November 23, 2011 8:28 pm
 

What if....?

And they scored how many of you?




Since: Nov 23, 2011
Posted on: November 23, 2011 5:15 pm
 

What if....?

Wow LSU is on a roll as well..beating Ole Sis and Hilltopper Kentucky along with a narrow escape with Bama (6pts??) Heck even early on in our season on a bad day we scored 14pts. on them! Talk is cheap though..Tiger realists know we own you and we are going to expose that overrated D of yours.. "best ever" please.. LSU has not gone up against an offense the likes of Arkansas. Tyler Wilson hangs in the pocket like Tom Brady and without question has the most explosive receiver's in the nation. Coach Miles said he is already looking past this game...good because we have alot to play for...RIP Garrett, this one's for you!



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