Blog Entry

What if....?

Posted on: November 22, 2011 10:32 am
 
The only sure thing in the BCS title chase entering the second-to-last weekend of the season is chaos.  Well, and that LSU will play for the title if it finishes 13-0.

But, what if....

...Alabama beats Auburn?  Barring other upsets, Alabama is likely to play for the title too, but it's not a sure thing.  Voters could get to December 4th and decide they don't want a rematch and/or do want to reward a conference champion.  Is that likely?  It wouldn't seem so, and the only team I could imagine voters going for otherwise would be current human poll No. 6 Oklahoma State.  It's going to be tough for the Cowboys to catch Alabama with Virginia Tech and Stanford ahead of them in the polls though.

...Arkansas beats LSU?  Well, assuming Alabama beats Auburn also, the SEC West falls into a three-way tiebreaker, which in this case, would be decided by BCS standings and head-to-head.  The lowest-rated team of the three in this coming Sunday's rankings would be eliminated, and then head-to-head between the other two would decide it.

So, traditional voting patterns would indicate LSU would drop to third (he who loses last, loses worst).  That would give Alabama the division crown.  You could also make a case for ordering them Arkansas, LSU, Alabama (they beat each other, of course, but Bama's win came at home, while the others won on the road).  That would give Arkansas the West title.  I can't imagine Arkansas winning and still being third, but if that happened, LSU is still the West champion.

In any event, whichever team won would play for the BCS title as a 12-1 SEC champion.  That team's opponent is more uncertain, but it could be one of its divison foes, or again, Oklahoma State.

...Georgia wins the SEC?  I don't think it's a difficult concept to accept that the top two teams in the country could be in the same conference.  But, if that is truly the case, don't you think one of them could manage to win the league?

If the Bulldogs pull it off, expect them to shoot way up the rankings.  They might end up even being the top rated SEC team in the human polls (assuming they beat Georgia Tech this week).  In 2001, two-loss, Big 12 champion Colorado finished ahead of one-loss Nebraska in the polls, but NU ended up in the BCS title game anyway because the polls were only 25% of the formula back then.
In any event, this is the best case scenario for an Oklahoma State or Virginia Tech (if the voters still love them) to get into the title game.  I doubt very seriously that we would have two non-champion SEC teams playing for the BCS title.  However, if that does happen, Georgia still would get to go the Sugar Bowl as the SEC titlist.  That situation is the one exception to the two-team-per-conference limit.

Comments

Since: Sep 21, 2010
Posted on: November 23, 2011 11:33 am
 

What if....?

Hog - You're right, the last few games have been blowouts vs garbage teams in your house!  LSU is not garbage and we'll be at our house!  I know your boys won 3 out of the last four but I guarantee you the Tigers know that too and the'll use that as motivation (not that they need it)! 

Someone may have brought up Ark/Bama but you compared the Bama/MSU and Ark/MSU game!  All that is irrelavent now though.  We'll see what happens Friday afternoon in Tiger Stadium with 94,000 plus screaming Tiger fans!

One more thing:  LSU is by far not the same team as last year!  Maybe a lot of the same players but no way the same team!  Last year your boys beat a Gary Crowton offense led by poor QB play.  This time you'll be facing Stud/Kraggs offense with good QB play and RB's that go 5 deep!  Our defense is much deeper too.  Our backups could start for any other team in the nation!




Since: Nov 20, 2011
Posted on: November 23, 2011 11:24 am
 

What if....?

One spot in the mythical BS bowl championship is very simple. The winner of the SEC championship game is in. They will have proven through the season they are the best team in the best conference in football. Picking the second team gets hard. The champion of one of the other major conferences should be in to take the second slot. After the conference championship games that choice will be much clearer. So this is very simple. You have the SEC champion in one slot. The other slot will probably be very clear after the conference championship games between maybe two conference champions.

What makes this hard is all the media hype popularity polls that come out all during the season that are fun conversation but should never have anything to do with deciding a champion. Let the champions be decided on the field. If everybody thinks they are so good at picking who is number one and two why are they not in Vegas making millions since they know who will win all the games. Let the games play out and at the end of the season the champions are chosen for us on the field where it should be. Sometimes the real champion doesn't match the popularity poles but don't take the championship away from the kids who earned it on the field. 

If the SEC west is so great they should blow through Georgia and go to the mythical BS bowl. If Georgia comes into that game healthy the popularity polls may get revealed for what they are when the true champion of the conference is Georgia. Rankings that matter to decide a champion should be one time at the end of the season after all the games are played. Then they are not boxed into a corner and revealed for the true falacy they are.




Since: Oct 14, 2011
Posted on: November 23, 2011 11:18 am
 

What if....?

Awocato,

All I know is that EVERYTIME we play LSU they are favored.  3 of last 4 times we have won.  One time (2007) LSU were #1 at home like they are now.   I also know we have better team than last year. better QB believe it or not.  LSU basically has the same team. We are #3 but Hogs have been fighting disrespect all season long.  Bama game is bitter.  Hogs are emotional right now.

FEAR THE TUSK

Hogs 28 Tigers 17 



Since: Oct 14, 2011
Posted on: November 23, 2011 11:13 am
 

What if....?

Ordie,  I do not wish to compare games especailly crossing over to last year nd a team that has lame duck coach does not apply.  One of U people started talking about Ark  \ Bama game.  Hog fans will take a struggle victory over LSU too.  That shows we know how to win and come back if he have to.  Last games have been blowouts as we have 7 starters back.  Knile Davis might play.

Fear the Tusk 



Since: Nov 7, 2008
Posted on: November 23, 2011 11:00 am
 

What if....?

A playoff will not solve it.  There will still be complaints then about the voters putting teams in certain matchups.  Just like we keep seeing this weather thing pop up, and teams from the South going north, or teams from the going south.  Since the conferences used to be regional the weather should have had no effect on the teams that played in that conference so I am not sure why that keeps coming up.  Back to the playoff thing, if we looked at the polls today and went in the traditional playoff format, you will still get a rematch or two in the first round, and it is much more likely in that scenario that you get the forbidden non-conference champ versus a conference champ.  To be honest, most of us are just sour that our team or conference will not be represented so we grasp at straws for the current system no matter what it is.  Back when the voters decided we complained, now the voters and computers decide and we complain, next will be your playoff and we will complain.  Now we have this talk about #1 versus #6 because voters dont want to see a rematch!!  



Since: Aug 24, 2009
Posted on: November 23, 2011 10:58 am
 

What if....?

All I can say with certainty is that we cannont consider a 16 game playoff system until the SEC has 16 teams - Heaven knows the rest of the country can't/won't fill the slots! Untill then we should SECede from the union or look at a 8 team playoff.


Roll Tide and Long Live SEC  Rule!



Since: Apr 9, 2008
Posted on: November 23, 2011 10:36 am
 

What if....?

This joke is more exposed through trying to go through all the different possibilities. Get a playoff. We all know the BCS is a rigged system and we could still play all the bowls with a 16-team playoff--they won't change it because they want CONTROL. Joke.



Since: Sep 21, 2010
Posted on: November 23, 2011 10:29 am
 

What if....?

HogAuthority - If you want to compare games:  Your boys struggled against aTm in Dallas, LSU beat them down in the bowl game last year.  You boys struggled against Ole Miss, LSU beat them down last weekend.  Your boys got beat by Bama, LSU beat Bama at their house.  You guys are 3-1 away from home and in the 3 wins your boys struggled to beat garbage teams.  I think the game will be great like the last few years.  I'm an LSU homer so I think they will win and I'm looking forward to the game!



Since: Mar 15, 2008
Posted on: November 23, 2011 10:19 am
 

What if....?

i am a sane person so I fully accept that the SEC is heads and shoulders better ..HOWEVER, i also agree that teams from the same conference playing each other in a bowl game would be boring.



Since: Mar 15, 2008
Posted on: November 23, 2011 10:17 am
 

What if....?

Just curious.  Is Notre Dame not eligible for the BCS because they have no division to win
no Notre Dame is eligible....they just arent very good and you have to be in the Big East or ACC if you want to make the BCS and not be good.   


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