Blog Entry

What if....?

Posted on: November 22, 2011 10:32 am
 
The only sure thing in the BCS title chase entering the second-to-last weekend of the season is chaos.  Well, and that LSU will play for the title if it finishes 13-0.

But, what if....

...Alabama beats Auburn?  Barring other upsets, Alabama is likely to play for the title too, but it's not a sure thing.  Voters could get to December 4th and decide they don't want a rematch and/or do want to reward a conference champion.  Is that likely?  It wouldn't seem so, and the only team I could imagine voters going for otherwise would be current human poll No. 6 Oklahoma State.  It's going to be tough for the Cowboys to catch Alabama with Virginia Tech and Stanford ahead of them in the polls though.

...Arkansas beats LSU?  Well, assuming Alabama beats Auburn also, the SEC West falls into a three-way tiebreaker, which in this case, would be decided by BCS standings and head-to-head.  The lowest-rated team of the three in this coming Sunday's rankings would be eliminated, and then head-to-head between the other two would decide it.

So, traditional voting patterns would indicate LSU would drop to third (he who loses last, loses worst).  That would give Alabama the division crown.  You could also make a case for ordering them Arkansas, LSU, Alabama (they beat each other, of course, but Bama's win came at home, while the others won on the road).  That would give Arkansas the West title.  I can't imagine Arkansas winning and still being third, but if that happened, LSU is still the West champion.

In any event, whichever team won would play for the BCS title as a 12-1 SEC champion.  That team's opponent is more uncertain, but it could be one of its divison foes, or again, Oklahoma State.

...Georgia wins the SEC?  I don't think it's a difficult concept to accept that the top two teams in the country could be in the same conference.  But, if that is truly the case, don't you think one of them could manage to win the league?

If the Bulldogs pull it off, expect them to shoot way up the rankings.  They might end up even being the top rated SEC team in the human polls (assuming they beat Georgia Tech this week).  In 2001, two-loss, Big 12 champion Colorado finished ahead of one-loss Nebraska in the polls, but NU ended up in the BCS title game anyway because the polls were only 25% of the formula back then.
In any event, this is the best case scenario for an Oklahoma State or Virginia Tech (if the voters still love them) to get into the title game.  I doubt very seriously that we would have two non-champion SEC teams playing for the BCS title.  However, if that does happen, Georgia still would get to go the Sugar Bowl as the SEC titlist.  That situation is the one exception to the two-team-per-conference limit.

Comments

Since: Oct 6, 2011
Posted on: November 22, 2011 11:22 pm
 

What if....?

Just curious.  Is Notre Dame not eligible for the BCS because they have no division to win.  I think anyone that says Alabama is not eligible would have to agree with this statement regardless of the year going forward.  Notre Dame could win 12 games with a 342-0 total score...sorry, ND based on some phantom document that says you have to win your division/conference....you would not be eligible.  Be careful what you wish for folks.  Outside of AL....no one, and I mean no one has a chance against LSU at the moment.



Since: Nov 2, 2011
Posted on: November 22, 2011 11:13 pm
 

NO CHAOS

Whichever one-loss team that gets left out had their chance, on the field, to put themselves into the NCG... No chaos...




Since: Nov 22, 2011
Posted on: November 22, 2011 11:02 pm
 

What if....?

Getting tired of hearing folks (and pundits) talk about Bama not deserving to go the the BCS Championship game because they didn't win their division. This happens in the NFL all of the time. Ever hear of a "wild card"? When an NFL team wins the Super Bowl, it may have indeed lost to the same team during the regular season but you don't hear people complaining about it!! Or the fact that it's a rematch...Geez....quit whining...bottom line, top 2 teams should go!! Oregon, OSU, Stanford, Boise, OK didn't take care of business when it mattered.



Since: Oct 20, 2011
Posted on: November 22, 2011 10:40 pm
 

What if....?

thats why you are a rookie.



Since: Jan 24, 2007
Posted on: November 22, 2011 10:38 pm
 

What if....?

If Arkansas beats LSU they should be in!!! It shouldn't matter about traditional voting that is just a load of crap and a problem with the system. Arkansas is the only of these 3 that plays the other two SEC teams on the road. 

If LSU beats Arkansas they should be in no matter what. A loss in the SEC Title game shouldn't effect them either. The reason is because they beat Bama in Bama.

As for Bama should have to win out(beat Auburn and if possible the SEC title game) to be in the National Title game because they played both Arkansas and LSU at home. They must hold their number 2 ranking  

As for OK St. the case is tougher! Losing to a unranked team makes things harder. They need to have a Bama loss in either game to get them in and a Arkansas loss.



Since: Oct 20, 2011
Posted on: November 22, 2011 10:35 pm
 

What if my Aunt had balls....She'd be my Uncle.

To: Bowl300golface, who stated "I think LSU is really the best team, but their offense is suspect."


How can their offense be suspect when they have scored 40, 49, 19, 47, 35, 41, 38, 45, 9, 42, and 52 points playing what is arguably the toughest schedule in the nation this year. The LSU offense seems to be just fine to me.



Since: Nov 15, 2007
Posted on: November 22, 2011 10:27 pm
 

What if....?

Stanford is not a one loss Pac 10 champion.  Oregon is a two loss Pac 10 champion.  Unless Oregon loses to Oregon State they will represent the north in the Pac 10 championship game and Stanford will be left out.




Since: Dec 3, 2006
Posted on: November 22, 2011 10:16 pm
 

What if....?

They both play their remaining conference games Fri (LSU/ARK) and Sat (AU/BAMA)....



Since: Jan 12, 2010
Posted on: November 22, 2011 9:15 pm
 

What if....?

They don't play this weekend.  They play next weekend.
 



Since: Aug 28, 2006
Posted on: November 22, 2011 9:14 pm
 

What if Florida and Tennessee didn't suck?

Answer: Then the SEC wouldn't look so shiny.  The fact is that Florida and Tennessee are horrible in 2011, and the rest of the conference is the benefactor. 

It's the axiom of the SEC: if Florida and Tennessee were competitive in 2011, then the rest of the conference would have more losses.
 
The SEC is top heavy.  It's as clear as the nose on your face.


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