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Blog Entry

Feb. 1 bracket

Posted on: February 1, 2012 1:18 pm
 
It's February, the home stretch of the season, and today's bracket features a lot of teams going in the wrong direction.

West Virginia lost three times since the last bracket was posted, and fell six spots this week.  The Mountaineers lost at St. John's and at home to suddenly resurgent Pittsburgh, sandwiched around that controversial loss at Syracuse.

Seton Hall is also fading fast.  The Hall got off to a great start this season, but now has lost five in a row.  To make matters worse, the opponents that mark their best wins - UConn, West Virginia and Dayton - are also struggling.

The Huskies have lost three i row and five of their last seven.  The addition of Ryan Boatright should help, once he works his way into form.

It's not all bad news for the Big East, along with Pitt, Notre Dame is coming on and has crawled onto the bracket in the PIGs.  The Irish have very little margin for error though.  Despite a nice collection of wins (Syracuse at home, and at Louisville, UConn and Seton Hall), they are only 7-8 vs the top 200 teams in the RPI, and that's a very negative indicator for tournament selection.

Northwestern is stll hanging on by a thread after a loss to Purdue at home this week (a much needed win for the Boilers, by the way).  The best thing working for the Cats is that Purdue is the lowest rated team to beat them this year, and they have a couple good wins, although one of them -- Seton Hall -- looks worse every day.

Honestly, the fact that Notre Dame and Northwestern, along with Colorado State and Oklahoma, which round out the First Four, are in a bracket is reason enough to go back to the 64-team field.

Florida made the biggest move up this week by filling in a couple of holes in their tournament profile.  Their sweep of the Mississippi schools, including a win at Ole Miss, gave them two more top 50 RPI wins (three total now) and their first win of any consequence away from home.

Dropping off the bracket this week were BYU, Texas, Marshall, UCF and NC State.  Coming on were Notre Dame, Colorado State, Oklahoma, New Mexico and Saint Louis.  All ten belong in the NIT.

Dayton almost fell off too after losing twice this week, including a real head-scratcher at home to RPI No. 263 Rhode Island.

Michigan State lost more than a game to Illinois last night.  The Spartans' heart and soul, Draymond Green, limped off the floor late with an apparent knee injury.  If that is serious and causes him to miss significant time, that will be a big blow to Michigan State's chances of a deep run in the NCAA Tournament.

The highest rated team in the RPI not in my bracket is No. 47 Arkansas.  The Hogs are the ultimate Home Court Hero, with a 16-1 home record.  The Hogs are 16-0 in Fayetteville, and lost to Houston in Little Rock, which the NCAA considers a home game.  They are the only team in college basketball with at least a .500 record that has yet to win off its home floor.

The next bracket will be posted on Tuesday as we move to a twice-a-week schedule.
Comments

Since: Jan 8, 2012
Posted on: February 22, 2012 2:49 pm
 

Feb. 1 bracket

I luv your articles and you know I just HAD to come give you some crap!..........How do u think that Northwestern pick looks now? lol



Since: Nov 19, 2007
Posted on: February 3, 2012 10:16 pm
 

Feb. 1 bracket

With all do respect, I do not see why you dropped UCF, NC St., and BYU for Notre Dame, Colorado St., and Oklahoma. I agree, all probably belong in the NIT because this is the thinnest bubble in history, but I think these teams should be swapped back despite what happened in games last week.




Since: Jan 23, 2010
Posted on: February 3, 2012 7:10 pm
 

Feb. 1 bracket

I agree that UNM is a bubble team at best right now.  However, the NCAA tournament currently has spots for 68 teams, so if they are one of the best 68 teams, then they belong in the NCAA tournament, not the NIT.  I would have agreed with your statement if you had said that those ten teams should be in the NIT because the NCAA should only have 58 teams.



Since: Feb 13, 2008
Posted on: February 3, 2012 10:04 am
 

Feb. 1 bracket

miss st not bama



Since: Dec 15, 2008
Posted on: February 3, 2012 1:39 am
 

Feb. 1 bracket

It's laughable that you would drop BYU out over any of those teams. Yeah they lost to Layola at home which was dispicable, but their only other bad loss was before they had any identity, to Utah State. That loss was a close one in the spectrum too, the place that has the best Home record in college basketball since 2005. No it's not the BYU from last year, but even before the win over Gonzaga you'd be a fool to not have them in your bracket. Good luck with your biased views on Basketball, maybe someday Jerry, you will learn to be objective.



Since: Feb 13, 2008
Posted on: February 2, 2012 11:41 pm
 

Feb. 1 bracket

So your telling me notre dame, colorado state, ou, new mexico and St louis deserve to be in the tourney more than the hogs?? I realize it's been all home wins, but those were big wins over michigan, bama, and vandy.



Since: Nov 28, 2008
Posted on: February 2, 2012 11:29 pm
 

Feb. 1 bracket

WHERE do you see this Northwestern thing??? 12-8 would NOT get you in right now. Nor does their schedule down the road do any favors for then. Lucky is what they would be if they make the NIT.
I'm not looking at their schedule down the road.  They have a couple good wins and nothing close to a bad loss.  It's an NIT-quality profile, no question about it.  None of the PIG teams belong in the tournament.  Gotta fill the field with someone.  Whoever you think should take Northwestern's place is unworthy also.




Since: Nov 28, 2008
Posted on: February 2, 2012 11:26 pm
 

Feb. 1 bracket

Did you really just add a Colorado State team that has lost 3 of its last 4 ( by 20 points or more ) in conference?

No, I added a Colorado St team that lost two of three by 19 points or more.  The UNLV game came after the bracket was out.

I'm also pretty sure I said they belong in the NIT.




Since: Feb 28, 2011
Posted on: February 2, 2012 2:43 pm
 

Feb. 1 bracket

Jerry,

Did you really just add a Colorado State team that has lost 3 of its last 4 ( by 20 points or more ) in conference?



Since: Dec 29, 2009
Posted on: February 2, 2012 12:12 pm
 

Feb. 1 bracket

The thing with Virginia is they just slog it out with you and cut down the number of posessions in the game. Playing Virginia is like playing in Molasses (like playing Wisconsin). No good team wants to draw them because of that, because they're going to make you work to the last shot. If I was a underdog team, however I'd be happy about drawing Virginia because you're probably going to be in the game with them.


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