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Blog Entry

Big Ten play is starting. But how will it end?

Posted on: December 27, 2011 1:20 pm
Edited on: December 27, 2011 1:36 pm
 


By Gary Parrish

So I was on the Tim Brando Show early Tuesday chatting with guest host Jon Rothstein, and he asked what Big Ten team could slip now that conference play is beginning. My answer: Pretty much any of them except Ohio State.

And I really do think that's true.

That's how deep and competitive the Big Ten is this season.

The league is rated No. 1 at CollegeRPI.com and -- as Ohio State beat writer Bob Baptist points out -- its lead over the second-rated conference (ACC) is greater than the margin separating the conferences rated second (ACC) through sixth (MWC). Translation: It's not even close. Furthermore, the Big Ten has 67 percent of its members (or eight teams) ranked in the top 60 at CollegeRPI.com and 75 percent of its members (or nine teams) ranked in the top 60 at KenPom.com. No other league has more than 58 percent of its members in the top 60 at CollegeRPI.com or 63 percent of its members in the the top 60 at KenPom.com. Those facts suggest the Big Ten is the nation's most competitive league from top to bottom.

Which brings me back to that conversation with Rothstein.

While I believe Ohio State is a level above the rest and going to be the regular-season champion as long as Jared Sullinger remains healthy, I really do think second-place through about seventh-place is completely up for grabs. I won't be surprised if Indiana finishes second just behind Ohio State or seventh behind Ohio State, Wisconsin, Michigan, Michigan State, Illinois and Purdue. Likewise, I won't be surprised if Michigan finishes second just behind Ohio State or seventh behind Ohio State, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Indiana, Illinois and, say, Northwestern.

My guess is Ohio State finishes something like 15-3 in the league, somebody else will finish 14-4 or 13-5, somebody else will finish 12-6, and then we'll get a group of teams -- probably five but perhaps as many as six -- in that 10-8/9-9/8-10 range. Again, I have no idea how the schools will finish, but I do know this: Big Ten play starts tonight with Wisconsin-Nebraska and Minnesota-Illinois, and I can't wait to watch it unfold. The competitiveness thanks to stronger-than-expected starts from a few members, most notably Indiana, should make for a fun two-plus months in the land of so-called Legends and Leaders.

Photo: US PRESSWIRE

Category: NCAAB
Comments

Since: Dec 3, 2006
Posted on: December 28, 2011 10:52 am
 

Big Ten play is starting. But how will it end?

I don't know which blog you're commenting on, but your quotes aren't in the Parrish article that loaded on my screen. Nice research, but not relevant to this article which was merely stating that the Big Ten's depth in men's basketball this year is outstanding. 



Since: Dec 4, 2010
Posted on: December 28, 2011 10:39 am
 

Big Ten play is starting. But how will it end?

There are THREE phases to the NCAA basketball season that lead up to the Tourney  1. Pre-season- Nov/Dec: Tourneys, cupcakes, one or two big time matchups 2. the regular season: 'pool play' for  Conference tourneys 3. Conference tourneys:  final case statements for the Big Dance and making more $$$ for the conferences.   My point is that value of the regular season has been diminished.  Getting hot at conference tourney time (ie UConn) is more important. 



Since: Aug 16, 2006
Posted on: December 28, 2011 1:48 am
 

Big Ten play is starting. But how will it end?

FOr instance the Big East has the best conference from top to bottom because they get more teams into the tournament.
You mean the Big Least?  Most overrated conference in college basketball.  If it wasn't for UConn, they'd be an afterthought.
In the last 20 years the big ten has had almost as many teams playing in the national championship game as the ACC.
Where did you get your figures?  The ACC has been to 11 Championship games and won 8 of them.  The Big 10 has been to 7 Championship games and won 1.  Hell, even the Big Least has been to 5 and won 4.  Oh, and the ACC has put 19 teams in the Final Four, the Big 10 only 14.
Figures lie and liars figure.  You can take the basic numbers to make them tell whatever story you want, but when you take all the numbers into consideration then you get a different and more accurate story.
My figures don't lie.  Your figures are wrong.





Since: Oct 21, 2006
Posted on: December 28, 2011 12:06 am
 

Big Ten play is starting. But how will it end?

In the last 20 years the big ten has had almost as many teams playing in the national championship game as the ACC.  9 to 7.  But if you break down the number of teams in the final four over the last 20 years the big ten has more by far. 

Figures lie and liars figure.  You can take the basic numbers to make them tell whatever story you want, but when you take all the numbers into consideration then you get a different and more accurate story.

FOr instance the Big East has the best conference from top to bottom because they get more teams into the tournament.  The truth is those teams while they might make it do not generally go very far at all.  Even their top seed teams typically are the first to fall.  They have soo many bad teams in their conference they rack up easy wins that amount to nothing come tourney time.   Funny how in basketball an easy schedule doesnt matter but in college football it does (Boise State getting left out.)



Since: Aug 17, 2006
Posted on: December 27, 2011 9:18 pm
 

Big Ten play is starting. But how will it end?

Whi cares basketball isnt really a sport.



Since: Aug 16, 2006
Posted on: December 27, 2011 9:09 pm
 

Big Ten play is starting. But how will it end?

Big Ten is the best in the country on a regular basis, and now OSU will return the football program to prominance
They're so good that they've won 1 NCAA basketball title in the last 20 years.  Compared to 4 for the Big Least, 8 for the ACC, and 5 for the SEC.



Since: Sep 15, 2008
Posted on: December 27, 2011 7:29 pm
 

Big Ten play is starting. But how will it end?

pendejo33 livin' up to his name.



Since: Aug 26, 2011
Posted on: December 27, 2011 7:04 pm
 

Big Ten play is starting. But how will it end?

Big Ten is the best in the country on a regular basis, and now OSU will return the football program to prominance



Since: Nov 18, 2006
Posted on: December 27, 2011 6:18 pm
 

Big Ten play is starting. But how will it end?

It doesn't matter how they finish in the Big 10.  What matters is how they will finish in the NCAA tournament.



Since: Aug 25, 2006
Posted on: December 27, 2011 6:05 pm
 

Big Ten play is starting. But how will it end?

Indiana has done great to this point but the only good team they have played is Kentucky. Notre Dame and NC State are mediocre and Butler is terrible this year. The rest have been cupcakes.

It's about to get real in East Lansing Wednesday night followed by Ohio State and Michigan.


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