Blog Entry

Pac-12 a one-bid league? It's possible

Posted on: March 4, 2012 8:49 pm
With Cal, Arizona and Washington all losing this weekend, the Pac-12 is in at-large trouble. (US Presswire)

By Jeff Borzello

The mediocrity of the Pac-12 has been a running joke in the college basketball world this season, but this weekend took it to a new level.

Washington lost to UCLA, but still won the outright regular-season championship after California lost to Stanford on Sunday evening. Arizona, which had seen its at-large hopes get better and better recently, lost to Arizona State. The only team that helped its Selection Sunday chances was Oregon, which put a whooping on Utah.

The chances that the Pac-12 was only going to get one bid to the NCAA tournament seemed pretty low prior to the weekend, but now it’s not a far-fetched idea. To be honest, no one should feel remotely comfortable about its at-large chances heading into the conference tournament.

Let’s look at the resumes, in the correct pecking order.

California: The Golden Bears clearly have the best at-large resume of the quartet, and also went 3-0 against Oregon and Washington. The computer profile is pretty solid, and they are 6-5 against the top 100. On the other side, they have three sub-100 losses and didn’t finish with a share of the league title. The non-conference profile is also mediocre, as the best win outside of the Pac-12 was over Weber State. They probably felt safe for much of the season, but there’s still work to be done.

Washington: The Huskies don’t have a great profile, but they nonetheless won the outright regular-season championship, which will be a great bargaining chip on Selection Sunday. They are only 1-6 against the top 50 and 3-8 against the top 100. The only bad loss was Saturday’s defeat at the hands of UCLA. Overall, the Huskies did not beat a single NCAA tournament team, as the best non-league wins are over UC-Santa Barbara and Georgia State. Those are their only two non-conference wins over teams ranked in the top 200 of the RPI.

Oregon: The Ducks have slowly but surely played themselves into at-large contention over the past month, winning 11 of their last 14 games. Moreover, they thumped Washington by 25 points in early February. The RPI has moved into the top 50, as well. Now, for the bad. 19 of their 22 wins are over teams ranked outside the top 100, and they are 0-5 vs. the top 50. There’s one sub-100 loss, a home defeat to Oregon State. The non-conference profile is barren, with the best wins coming over Nebraska and UTEP. The thing that complicates their profile is Devoe Joseph, who missed the first six games of the season.

Arizona: The Wildcats are essentially finished when it comes to an at-large bid, after their terrible loss at Arizona State. It dropped them to fourth in the Pac-12, and is a sub-250 loss. The computer profile is mediocre, and 17 of their 21 wins came from outside the top 100. There is a road win at California on the ledger, but that won’t carry them to a bid. Arizona now needs to win the Pac-12 tournament if it wants a bid.

Can the Pac-12 really only get one bid? If California wins the tournament, it’s possible.


Since: Nov 23, 2009
Posted on: March 6, 2012 10:29 am

Pac-12 a one-bid league? It's possible

Borzello.  Have you thought maybe the "pac as a runnig joke" is so, because your sphere of influence keep beating that drumb....even though it is not the case.  You say it enough, it has to be true, right?

Since: Nov 23, 2009
Posted on: March 6, 2012 10:26 am

Pac-12 a one-bid league? It's possible

Borzello is an East Coast hack.  Just look at his tweets...all updates on East Coast teams and never anything West of the Big 12.  The Pac has 4 teams good enough to make it to the round of 16.  Every year, the biased media under-values the Pac, as it relates to how many teams make the tourney.  This year will be no different.  Anyone who has Drexel and others mid-majors in before the Pac teams just have an agenda.  Usually articles like these are meant to stir the pot, but I truly believe Borzello believes the Pac is worse than many mid-major conferences.  OSU beat Texas...does that mean OSU is more deserving of a possible bid?  No, of course not. Because the top half of the pac did not have great wins this year(mostly due to the fact the bottom half's rpi was horrible), does not mean these teams are not good.  12 wind in the Pac 12 is an achievement...I don't care what East coast homers say.  Unfortunately, some of these biased will be on the committee as well.

Since: Dec 6, 2006
Posted on: March 6, 2012 12:21 am

Pac-12 a one-bid league? It's possible

This was a pathetic article... no one can deny that the Pac-12 is down, but to say that we might only get one team and it is Oregon is crazy.

This is a year with a bunch of middle of the road teams with probably 8 solid teams atop of the nation. I think this might be the year of the mid major the first two rounds in fact. With that said try picking 68 teams and not having three teams in the Pac-12 not in it. Once the first 38 teams are selected it will be a crap shoot after that and there will end up being 3 teams from the Pac-12 with none of them playing in the play in game.

I wouldn't want to play a Husky team as the #11 seed... just look at what they did two years ago as an eleven seed!!!

Since: Mar 5, 2012
Posted on: March 5, 2012 11:03 pm

Pac-12 a one-bid league? It's possible

each conference champs are in........doesn't matter which conference....just the way it is......many teams in the 3-4 bracket don't want to face the huskies.........

Since: Mar 5, 2012
Posted on: March 5, 2012 10:56 pm

Pac-12 a one-bid league? It's possible

how did the huskies do against marquette and duke? memory works

Since: Nov 13, 2007
Posted on: March 5, 2012 9:50 pm

Reminder about last year...

...if I recall, there was the same sort of chatter about possibly being a one bid conference...miraculously, the Pac put 4 teams in the tourney with 3/4 advancing and Arizona making a decent run.

Since: Nov 22, 2010
Posted on: March 5, 2012 9:42 pm

Pac-12 a one-bid league? It's possible

After reading the article and then a lot of the comments I had to look for myself.  Geez, just the Pac-12 record vs. the Mtn. West leads me to believe that AT BEST the winner of the Pac-12 Tourny should be paired against UNC Asheville in a play-in game.  How can anyone see it otherwise?

Since: Aug 19, 2006
Posted on: March 5, 2012 8:04 pm

Pac-12 a one-bid league? It's possible

seemed to me last season (both) UCLA and USC put a scare in a perrinial power: Kansas Jayhawks and that was in:"their house" Anyone remember last time: Kentucky or Kansas travelled to the mediocor Pac 12???
Um, this season. KU played both USC and UCLA away from Allen Fieldhouse, UCLA in the Maui Invitational and USC at USC. Won both games handily.

Since: Apr 23, 2007
Posted on: March 5, 2012 7:52 pm

Pac-12 a one-bid league? It's possible

Don't fret, Washington fans. If you don't make the NCAAs, you've got an automatic bid to the NIT in your pocket. This clause was created several years ago to appease bottom-dwelling conferences whose regular season champions weren't going to postseason anywhere. Who knew that a Pac-12 team would ever need that clause? Larry Scott must really be proud. Everybody calls him a visionary. It must be true. He brought those traditional powers Utah and Colorado into the conference. And who can forget the unforgettable Oregon-UCLA football championship game? Also, who's on probation and who's not? It's hard to keep up with all the great things happening in the Pac.

Since: Mar 23, 2007
Posted on: March 5, 2012 6:44 pm

Pac-12 a one-bid league? It's possible

Some of you pro-PAC 12 people aren't even trying to make sense.  Arizona's RPI is 76, Stanford's is 95, and UCLA's is 117.  None of the three has any chance at getting an at-large bid.

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