Blog Entry

Tuesday Top 10: Biggest Surprises of first month

Posted on: October 4, 2011 11:32 am
Edited on: October 5, 2011 9:48 am
A month into the 2011 season and it's time to look back on the biggest surprises thus far. And by surprises I mean pleasant surprises, not disappointments. That's a list for another day.

1. Clemson: 
The Tigers who have been perpetual underachievers prone to teasing more than producing may just have turned the proverbial corner under Dabo Swinney this year. Swinney hired former HS coach Chad Morris to run his offense and Clemson is really getting results, going from 86th in scoring up to 33rd. After looking shaky early, the Tigers, led by QB Tajh Boyd and WR Sammy Watkins, have responded by knocking off three ranked teams in a row, highlighted by last weekend's win at Lane Stadium. That W was also quite a departure for a team that had lost four of its previous five road games.

1. Nordly Capi, DE, Colorado State: 
Talk about a shocker. Capi was thrown into action four snaps into the 2011 season after standout DE Broderick Sargent was lost of the year with an ACL injury. Capi, a 6-3, 249-pound sophomore from Florida, who had no sacks in four games last year, goes on to terrorize the New Mexico offense that day, forcing four fumbles, setting an NCAA single-game record. And, the kid hasn't really slowed down much since, going on a five-game sack streak, CSU's longest since Clark Haggins had one of the same length in the late 90s. Capi, who is said to have a really outgoing and fearless personality (he wants to be a fire fighter after his football career is over), leads the nation in both sacks (eight) and forced fumbles (five).

3. Michigan Defense: The Wolverines D would be even higher on this list if they've played a few more decent teams (although WMU, ND and SD State do have capable offenses), but the fact that this unit has gone from 108th in scoring defense to 4th is still remarkable and a big tip of the hat to new DC Greg Mattison who has replaced Greg Robinson. Finally, this D is more than just stud DT Mike Martin as DE Craig Roh has gotten healthy and given them some presence and Kenny Demens, Thomas Gordon and Jordan Kovachs really have taken to the new system, which is a big reason why a unit that was 114th in pass defense has jumped 100 spots despite seeing some good passing attacks.

4. Robert Griffin III, Baylor QB:
RG3 has played out of his mind in the first month. The guy who arrived at Baylor with the rep as one of the fastest men to ever play QB in college football, has blossomed into a true passing threat. Griffin leads the nation in passing efficiency by a wide margin, has a sterling 18-1 TD-INT ratio and almost unfathomable 18-20 TD-INC ratio. For comparison, the No. 2 guy in passing efficiency Russell Wilson is 13-28 in TD-INC.

5. K-State: Bill Snyder is doing it again at Kansas State. The Cats went to Miami and took down a Miami team that was coming off a big win over Ohio State and then they took down a ranked Baylor team. Led by speedy Miami transfer Arthur Brown, K-State has gone from 78th in scoring defense up to 17th and this team has a decent shot of opening the year 7-0, matching last season's win total before OU comes to town in late October.

6. Russell Wilson, Wisconsin, QB:
We knew the former NC State QB was good. His 3-1 TD/INT ratio in three seasons in the ACC was very strong, but it's been how quickly he has taken to this new system and his teammates and how accurate he has been that is so impressive. You'd think the timing with the new receivers wouldn't be as crisp as it has been. Remember this is a guy who had never completed above 59 percent of his passes. This year he's at 75 percent and is averaging a gaudy 12.5 yards per pass attempt, tops in the country and on pace to shatter Ty Detmer's NCAA record of 11.1 ypa. Just a part of the reason why RussellManiaXVI is running wild in Madison.

7. Ga. Tech offense:
Guess opponents haven't quite figured out Paul Johnson's offense after all. The 5-0 Jackets, 71st in scoring and 119th in passing last season, have been very sharp in 2011 behind QB Tevin Washington who has been burning defenses with the pass, sporting a 10-1 TD-INT ratio and a passing efficiency number of 260.7 (he'd be #1 in the nation if he had enough pass attempts). Tech is #2 in the country in scoring and up to No. 79 in passing offense.

8. Auburn:
The Tigers may have been in the preseason top 25, but they had many critics looking at all of the talent the defending national champs had to replace and were scratching their heads. Gene Chizik's team has looked pretty shaky at times, but this bunch is still finding ways to win close games. Their 16-13 win at No. 10 South Carolina last weekend earned them a place on this list as the young Auburn D kept Marcus Lattimore from running wild and limited Steve Spurrier's team to 2-10 on third downs.

9. The Big 12:
For all of the chaos with this conference off the field, the product on the field has been better than expected. Both Oklahoma schools look like potential BCS title game candidates. Texas is undefeated and showing some spark on both sides of the ball, while getting some plays from its young QBs. Baylor knocked off TCU early and has been turning heads. Texas Tech and K-State are both still undefeated. Even though A&M's second half troubles cost them a win over future SEC brethren Arkansas, the Big 12 is still 27-3 in games outside of the conference play and has six teams in the PA top 25, the same as the SEC has.

10. Vanderbilt:
James Franklin is generating a lot of buzz on the recruiting trail and that vibe is carrying over to the field, where the Commodores, a team that won four games the previous three seasons, is 3-1. Vandy's D has been very sharp forcing turnovers at an eye-catching rate (the school is No. 5 in turnover margin). Vandy absolutely dominated Ole Miss, 30-7 in mid-September in a way that jogged people's minds trying to recall the last time Vandy football demolished another SEC opponent the way they did the Rebs that day.


Since: Nov 24, 2009
Posted on: October 4, 2011 4:44 pm

Tuesday Top 10: Biggest Surprises of first month

At 531 yards and 7.1/ypp, call me still just a week bit skeptical.

They had less than 110 yard in 2nd half...Actually making 2nd half adjustments in AA....My biggest suprise is TUOS isnt in death penalty already.

Since: Nov 24, 2009
Posted on: October 4, 2011 4:42 pm

Tuesday Top 10: Biggest Surprises of first month

The left out Jake Ryan in discussion for UofM defense...He has been a player for a true frosh.

Since: Oct 15, 2008
Posted on: October 4, 2011 4:03 pm

Tuesday Top 10: Biggest Surprises of first month

There were a few publications that had K-State at four wins or less. Bill Snyder is one of the best gameday coaches around. This isn't a BCS title contender, but the Wildcats will win their fair share of games this year.

Since: Nov 3, 2007
Posted on: October 4, 2011 3:28 pm

Tuesday Top 10: Biggest Surprises of first month

The biggest suprise for me at this point is Ole Miss has the same record as Mississippi State. I figured State to be 4-1 at the least and 5-0 at best with a good showing against LSU. They are 2-3 and the offense has stalled. I'm just happy my Rebels are 2-3. Watch out Kentucky. We've got your number.

Since: Jul 9, 2010
Posted on: October 4, 2011 2:54 pm

Tuesday Top 10: Biggest Surprises of first month

Clemson deserves a lot of praise for their win at VT last Sat. night.  The Tigers were poised and ready for the game from the beginning to the end.  VT has a good football team, and I think they will get better as the season progresses, but VT's great fan base appeared to be the only factor present for the HOKIES on this night. 

Since: May 14, 2008
Posted on: October 4, 2011 2:31 pm

Tuesday Top 10: Biggest Surprises of first month

I agree.  KState has a good start but they beat a bad Miami team and then beat a way overranked Baylor team.  Baylor got too much credit for beating an average TCU team at home in week 1.  I had a feeling at that time that was not a huge victory because TCU is not like last year's team.  Last week was proof by TCU losing at home to SMU.  SMU is an okay team but let's not forget that they lost to Texas A&M by a score of 46-14!!

Since: Oct 16, 2008
Posted on: October 4, 2011 2:19 pm

Tuesday Top 10: Biggest Surprises of first month

Biggest surprise of the month is that Bruce, in all his excitment about that jim-dandy new Michigan defense, forgot how helpless Tommy Rees (for God's sake) made them look.  At 531 yards and 7.1/ypp, call me still just a week bit skeptical.

Since: Jul 1, 2010
Posted on: October 4, 2011 2:15 pm

Tuesday Top 10: Biggest Surprises of first month

As an ACC guy it feels like 2006 again watching Wake Forest winning close games after close game.

Since: Feb 14, 2008
Posted on: October 4, 2011 1:40 pm

Tuesday Top 10: Biggest Surprises of first month

It might still be a little too early, but Bill Snyder is doing it again!

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