Under 38 Bal -7
Baltimore has had a lot of let downs after big wins which have led to some higher scores because they have had to come from behind. But if Baltimore closed thier eyes, Cleveland still couldn't put up points against them. I see another let down by Baltimore's offense but their defense won't give up enough points to go over the total. I like the under Bal 20-10 wins and covers for a bonus.
Hou +1.5 Under 38
This line has changed and flip flopped. But the bottom line is Houston's defense has carried this team all year. The offense has enjoyed the ride and the field position. Turner is a little knicked up for Atlanta so I think that the defense will be able to neutralize Atlanta on the ground and force Ryan to put the ball in the air on some 3rd and longs. Defense will get off the field. Gaurantee you that this is the first game of the day to end. Clock will be running all day. Field Goal at the end of the game for Houston to sneak away with a 20-17 win. Under and cover again.
Min +1 Under 37
Sorry Tebow, but this is the week that you don't get it done. First game as a Favorite so no cusion with the spread. Minnesota's weakness is their Secondary, so no worries there. Miller should play but might not be as efficient with the thumb most likely in a cast of some sort. Another game that the clock will just keep ticking. Even without AD Minnesota has the advantage in the passing game and will be able to get a small lead and hold off Tebow. Minnesota wins 17-13
Under 38 Bal -7