Blog Entry

MLB Trade Fits: Deadline Deals That Make Sense

Posted on: June 16, 2008 9:19 pm
 
Everyone loves to be an armchair GM. and this blog is for any ideas for possible trade deadline deals. Immediately I thought of three. If anyone has any of their own, feel free to share.

***Note: These trades are ideas of my own and have no truth to them happening


Trade Idea #1

St. Louis Cardinals Get:

San Francisco Giants Get:
Why This Trade Works For Both Teams:

As evidence by his demotion at the end of May, the Cardinals are currently down on Chris Duncan and it seems logical that they would try to shop him for a need rather than decrease his value at AAA. Duncan is naturally built to play first base and has quite a bit of pop in his bat. However, because the Cardinals already have Albert Pujols at first, Duncan has been forced to play out of position. His lack of range in the outfield has hurt the Cardinals at times and his only real value to the team comes with his bat--something the Cardinals haven't been impressed with this season.

Meanwhile, the Cardinals main need at this point in the season is a second basemen and relief pitching. A trade with San Francisco, for Ray Durham and Jack Taschner would answer both of those problems. Since signing with the Cardinals two seasons ago, Adam Kennedy has been terrible with his bat and while his defense remains average, he offers nothing to the team. Ray Durham, on the other hand, is having a great season with San Francisco hitting nearly .300 and is in the final year of his two year extension he received back in 2006. Since Durham is a free agent at the end of the season, the Giants would also have to throw in a bullpen reliever (like Taschner) to make this deal fair. The Cardinals need a strong reliever that can help them out as their bullpen is ranked 14th in the National League right now. Of course, if this deal were to happen, it would have to wait until Albert Pujols came off the DL (as Duncan has currently been called up to replace him). Still, I think it makes sense for both teams involved.


Trade Idea # 2

Cleveland Indians Get:
Pittsburgh Pirates Get:

Why This Deal Work For Both Teams:

As bad as the Indians have been playing, they are only five and a half games back in the American League Central. While the Indians pitching staff has been one of the best in the league, the teams offense is ranked 10th (out of 14) in the American League. With both of the teams superstars--Travis Hafner and Victor Martinez--struggling to hit the ball, the Indians could use a big bat in the middle of their lineup. And who better than Jason Bay? Bay is having an excellent season so far batting .283 and leading the Pirates in home runs with 14 and walks with 45. Bay is a franchise player on many teams in the league, but with the Pirates looking to rebuild, he becomes expendable. In addition, the Pirates new GM, Neal Huntington, used to serve as Mark Shapiro's assistant GM in Cleveland and has great relations with the ballclub.

In ANY deal that the Indians made, I figured they'd have to center a package around top prospect Adam Miller. As for the other prospects remaining in this trade, I figured that even though Beau Mills is more talented than Wes Hodges, the Indians would prefer to keep Hodges as he is the most major league ready player and can take over at 3rd base when Casey Blake leaves in the offseason. Hodges hits for a much higher average than Mills, but Mills has solid power and is ranked 3rd (just ahead of Hodges) on Baseball America's top 10 prospects for the Indians. As for Josh Rodriguez, he wasn't on the top 10, but he seems like a perfect fit for the Pirates, who have zero middle infield prospects (because they traded Lillibridge to Atlanta in the LaRoche deal), but he hit 20 homers, had 80+ RBI, and stole over 20 bases in A+ ball last season. With Jhonny Peralta locked up through 2011, the Indians can afford to let Rodriguez go in any deal.


Trade Idea #3

Minnesota Twins Get:
Seattle Mariners Get:
  • LHP Tyler Robertson
  • OF Chris Parmelee

Why This Trade Works For Both Teams:

If the Twins want to make a push for the postseason, they are going to need to get more power into their lineup. With 43 home runs so far this season, the Twins are in last place in the American League in homers. Both Mike Lamb and Adam Everett are struggling to hit the ball this season, so the left side of the infield seems to be the logical place to improve at. Meanwhile, with the Mariners hosting baseballs worst record at 24-45, now would be the most opportune time for them to rebuild. Richie Sexson, Raul Ibanez, and Jose Vidro are all coming off the books after this season, while Miguel Batista, Erik Bedard, Jarrod Washburn, and Adrian Beltre will enter free agency the following season. The Mariners would benefit by trading some of these players away before their contracts expire. In this case, it's Adrian Beltre.

Beltre is just batting .229 this season, but I wouldn't be surprised if that climbed up to .270 by the end of the season. He already has 14 homers on the season and would be an instant upgrade on both offense and defense for the Twins. Also, the fact that he's a right handed hitter helps as well. The Twins, who are 15 million dollars under what they paid a year ago would be able to take on Beltre's contract without problem. The team already has their key players, Joe Nathan, Justin Morneau, and Joe Mauer locked up long term and the team doesn't need to add much pitching as they have plenty of depth in the minors. In return for Beltre, I had the Mariners getting LHP Tyler Robertson from the Twins. Robertson seems to be an forgotten prospect since the Twins traded with the Mets, but the kid has great stuff. So far this year at A+ ball, Robertson is 4-2 with a 2.76 era and 58 strikeouts in 65 innings while last season at low-A ball, he was 9-5 with a 2.29 era with 129 strikeouts in 102 IP. Also, I have OF Chris Parmelee heading back as well. Parmelee has great power for the Twins, he just lacks average and with Delmon Young and Carlos Gomez already locked in the outfield for years to come, he is expendable. Parmelee isn't viewed as a top prospect, but he could be an average regular once he hits the pros.
Comments

Since: Dec 30, 2006
Posted on: June 18, 2008 6:05 am
 

MLB Trade Fits: Deadline Deals That Make Sense

I think they will. The Rockies have said they are open to trading one of Garrett Atkins or Matt Holliday, and with Ian Stewart ready for the bigs, and the Rockies having a nasty season, Atkins seems the most reasonable.



Since: Feb 7, 2008
Posted on: June 17, 2008 11:07 pm
 

MLB Trade Fits: Deadline Deals That Make Sense

I don't think the Rockies would trade Garrett Atkins



Since: Dec 30, 2006
Posted on: June 17, 2008 5:13 pm
 

MLB Trade Fits: Deadline Deals That Make Sense

Angels get:

  • Cristian Guzman/SS
  • Saul Rivera/RP

Nationals get:

  • Sean Rodriguez/SS
  • Reggie Willits/OF
  • Darren O'Day/RP

The Angels shortstop position is a weak one. Maicer Izturis has been average, and Erick Aybar has been injured. Guzman is a rental, but has been healthy all year and is batting over .300. The Angels bullpen is in the bottom 10 in the league, and adding a middle reliever in Saul Rivera would be an upgrade for the bullpen.

The Nationals would get a young replacement at the shortstop spot in Rodriguez, a young outfielder and a young reliever in O'Day to replace the void of Rivera.




Since: Dec 30, 2006
Posted on: June 17, 2008 11:21 am
 

MLB Trade Fits: Deadline Deals That Make Sense

Twins get:

  • Garrett Atkins/3B

Rockies get:

  • Anthony Swarzak/P
  • Kevin Slowey/P
  • Joe Benson/LF
  • Boof Bonser/P

The Twins needs a third baseman to take over for Mike Lamb. They are in contention for the AL Central as of right now, and adding a bat that can hit .300 and hit 25-25 home runs would be huge. The Rockies are looking to trade away some of their pieces and rebuild. Swarzak and benson are good prospects to start with, and if Francisco Liriano comes back, either Kevin Slowey or Glen Perkins is out of the rotation. Which ever one that is, I could them in the trade. Boof Bonser has had a horrible year, and could be a throw in on the deal, making the Twins pitching staff much better in the total ERA catagory.




Since: Dec 30, 2006
Posted on: June 17, 2008 11:03 am
 

MLB Trade Fits: Deadline Deals That Make Sense

If I were Frank Wren, I'd take that in a heartbeat. In my opinion, Lillibridge has significantly declined as a solid prospect.

He has declined, but right now the best option in the farm system that are above AA are Luis Hernandez and Brandon Fahey. They have done nothing in the past, and it's time to try something new. Maybe Lillibridge needs a change of scenery.

Daniel Cabrera has had a few lousy starts lately, so his stock is going down. I'd sell while it's at it's best point.




Since: Nov 14, 2006
Posted on: June 17, 2008 2:07 am
 

MLB Trade Fits: Deadline Deals That Make Sense

can only hope cleveland doesnt trade away there good prospectsCleveland needs to make a decision pretty quickly here. They need to either decide to go for it, in which they'd keep C.C. Sabathia and need to make a trade for an outfield bat.....or...the call it quits on the season (pretty much giving the White Sox the division), trade C.C. Sabathia and look towards 2009.

Personally, I think they should go for it. They are only 5 games out of the division and help is on it's way as Fausto Carmona is returning from injury soon. Right now, the Indians should have doubts about Adam Miller as he got hurt and is basically out for the season. He's supposed to return in August, but remember, the minor league season ends at the beginning of September. Meanwhile, Mills is a solid prospect, but as mentioned before, they probably won't need him as Wes Hodges plays the same position (3rd) and is more major league ready. Some scouts say that Mills might switch into a first basemen, but I think that all depends on what the organization needs. As for Rodriguez, again, he's a player that isn't even considered a top 10 prospect by Baseball America (for some reason or another) and him and Mills are both Single-A prospects.

In my opinion, Jason Bay would help that lineup tremendously as Hafner and Martinez aren't doing ANYTHING but getting hurt.



Since: Nov 14, 2006
Posted on: June 17, 2008 1:59 am
 

MLB Trade Fits: Deadline Deals That Make Sense

The Orioles have no prospects at the middle infield for their farm. Lillibridge and Hernandez are both good infield prospects that are close to the MLB level.If I were Frank Wren, I'd take that in a heartbeat. In my opinion, Lillibridge has significantly declined as a solid prospect. I can understand why the Braves liked him when they traded LaRoche for him (and Gonzalez) a few years back as his batting average was up, he featured a high on base percentage, and he showed great speed. However, his numbers have been declining since he's been in the Braves farm system and now he's hitting a weak .188 for their AAA squad. With Yunel Escobar already on the big league roster and Lillibridge playing terrible, the Braves don't need him anymore.



Since: Nov 14, 2006
Posted on: June 17, 2008 1:46 am
 

MLB Trade Fits: Deadline Deals That Make Sense

But even with the Central ripe to be picked, would "Pohlad's Tightwads" change course and gamble on a guy like Beltre? And give up sound prospects in return?I debated putting this trade idea up at first because I didn't think that Pohlad would spend the money necessary for the Twins to compete. However, I then checked the payroll of the team and even with the big deals that were signed, the Twins opening day payroll this season was at 56 million dollars (when it was at 71 million a season ago). Adding Beltre's deal for next season wouldn't be a burden either, especially if the team stopped making stupid signings like Livan Hernandez (5.84 era - 6 million/yr) or Craig Monroe (.214 avg - 3.5 million/yr).

As for the prospects given up, Robertson is solid, but again, I don't think the Twins really appreciate him all that much now that the team has Deolis Guerra, Kevin Mulvey and Phil Humber from the Mets. Plus, Robertson is extremely young (only 20) and doesn't project to make the majors for another three seasons. Like Robertson, Parmelee is also young and in A+ ball. Right now he's only hitting .230, but already has 12 homers and 40 RBI. He doesn't figure to be a great prospect, so the Twins aren't giving up much here.

The Twins lineup would get a whole lot better with Beltre in there instead of Lamb:
  1. CF Carlos Gomez
  2. 3B Adrian Beltre
  3. C Joe Mauer
  4. 1B Justin Morneau
  5. RF Michael Cuddyer
  6. LF Delmon Young
  7. DH Jason Kubel
  8. 2B Alexi Cassilla
  9. SS Brendan Harris



Since: Jan 30, 2008
Posted on: June 17, 2008 12:04 am
 

MLB Trade Fits: Deadline Deals That Make Sense

can only hope cleveland doesnt trade away there good prospects



Since: Dec 30, 2006
Posted on: June 16, 2008 10:34 pm
 

MLB Trade Fits: Deadline Deals That Make Sense

I love playing the role of ArmChair GM.

Braves get:
Luke Scott/LF    &nb
sp;     &n
bsp;     &
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Daniel Cabrera/RHP

Orioles get:

Brent Lillibridge/SS
Diory Hernandez/2B
Cole Rohrbough/LHP
Todd Redmond/RHP

Braves GM Frank Wren is looking for a left fielder and a starter. Luke Scott has heated up over recent weeks and his replacement, Nolan Reimold has done the same in AA Bowie. Daniel Cabrera fill a whole in the starters role after John Smoltz went down for the season.

The Orioles have no prospects at the middle infield for their farm. Lillibridge and Hernandez are both good infield prospects that are close to the MLB level. O's GM Andy MacPhail is hoarding pitching prospects, and a low level pitcher would add to the group of young low level prospects they already have.



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