Blog Entry

Three bowl teams that might miss the postseason

Posted on: June 30, 2010 4:43 pm
Edited on: June 30, 2010 4:58 pm
 

Last week I wrote about the five teams that can make a bowl after posting a losing season in 2009.

Now it's time to go in the opposite direction and give you three teams that played in the postseason that will be in major danger of missing it this season.

Adam WeberMinnesota (7-6): How did this team make a bowl last season? The Golden Gophers were ranked last in the Big Ten in total offense (109th in the nation) and last in scoring (21 ppg). Nine starters are back from that squad, including quarterback Adam Weber and the entire offensive line, so a year older could mean some improvement. On defense, just two starters are back -- both safties. Keep an eye on the defensive line, where DTs Brandon Kirksey and Jewhan Edwards could help a squad that allowed 151.7 yards per game on the ground. Now Minnesota's biggest challenge -- games against USC, at Wisconsin, at Purdue, Penn State, Ohio State, at Michigan and Iowa. Those could all be losses meaning no bowl game for Minnesota.

Bowling Green (7-6): For a team that lost starting quarterback Tyler Sheehan and one of the best wide receivers in the nation in Freddie Barnes, it will be tough for the Falcons to get back to a bowl game in 2010. Just four starters are back on offense. Sophomore Aaron Pankratz (13 attempts in 2009) or redshirt freshman Matt Schilz will be the starting quarterback. The only problem is on defense as just four starters are back. The top two tackles are gone, so the Falcons will have an all new starting linebacker crew. If the Falcons can win some games early (at Troy, at Tulsa, Marshall and at Michigan), things could change, but right now I don't see them returning to the postseason.

Ole Miss (9-4): When you lose do-all running back Dexter McCluster, starting quarterback Jevan Snead and four starting offensive lineman, things might be a lot tougher this go around. Houston Nutt is going to have a very young team this season, with a ton of sophomores in the starting lineup. The defense will be strong again with the return of six starters, including DT Jerrell Powe and junior college transfer Wayne Dorsey at defensive end. This team still might be able to get six wins, especially with a schedule of Jacksonville State, at Tulane, Vanderbilt and Louisiana-Lafayette, but I the Egg Bowl at the end of the year could mean the difference of postseason or staying home for the holidays.

Comments

Since: Aug 20, 2006
Posted on: July 5, 2010 1:13 pm
 

Three bowl teams that might miss the postseason

Ole Miss reminds me of last year's Maryland team.  That team went 8-5 in 2008 and contended for the ACC, then fell flat on their face in 2009 and went 2-10.  Just like Maryland, Ole Miss lost a ton of players especially on the offensive line.   Its going to be a bad season in Mississippi.




Since: Jul 2, 2010
Posted on: July 2, 2010 1:36 pm
 

Three bowl teams that might miss the postseason

I'll also add a few more to the mix:

I don't think Cal will make a bowl game this season.

I also think that USF, Cincy, and South Carolina will be cutting it dangerously close this season.



Since: Jul 2, 2010
Posted on: July 2, 2010 1:31 pm
 

Three bowl teams that might miss the postseason

Can't argue with that one either.  I have UCLA at 5-7.   Good catch.



Since: Aug 12, 2006
Posted on: July 2, 2010 12:29 pm
 

Three bowl teams that might miss the postseason

Here's another one for you:  UCLA

The Bruins play non-conference games against Texas, Houston and Kansas State.  The best they can do there is 2-1, but it would not be out of the question for them to lose a second one. 

In the PAC 10, the Bruins should be underdogs to USC, Oregon, Oregon State, Stanford, Washington and Arizona, at the minimum.  Cal?  Who knows?  They could lose that one, too.  A very realistic estimate for their final regular season record may be 4-8.



Since: Aug 14, 2006
Posted on: July 2, 2010 10:39 am
 

Three bowl teams that might miss the postseason

Clemson was a tough one. I still think they can get to a bowl, but yeah 5-7 is a possibility too. For me, the Tigers are right on the bubble.



Since: Jul 2, 2010
Posted on: July 2, 2010 8:10 am
 

Two more to add

I am no expert, but I follow college football religiously.  Through my analysis of the teams, I think that I can add two more sure things to this list:

Oklahoma State: They are losing quite a bit.  Last year they should have been better than they were and really missed their chances to become a consistent player in the Big 12.  Look for OK ST to drop a game to either Tulsa or Troy, They will also go 2-6 in the Big 12 this year with wins vs KU and KSU.  I will say a 5-7 season is in line for the Cowboys.

Clemson: Who knows what will happen with Parker, even if he does play this season..will his head be completely in it with his career clearly in baseball?  Losing all purpose everything man CJ Spiller won't help out much either.  The one thing that can help Clemson is playing in what could be the weakest division in football...the ACC Atlantic.  Unfortunately, they drew UNC (National Champion dark horse), Miami, and Ga Tech from the Coastal. They will probably lose to Clemson and Auburn on the ooc schedule, the three above Coastal teams, FSU and BC (another quite but strong season), and possibly one game between Wake, MD, NC State.  I think they could get to 5-7, but 4-8 is the most likely for this team.



Since: Jul 2, 2010
Posted on: July 2, 2010 7:58 am
 

Completely agree

Spot on. 

Minnesota starts strong but flames out, this year with USC on the schedule and I think, losing at MTSU (Dasher will torch them) that they will be sitting on a 4-8, 5-7 season.

Ole Miss will struggle heavily in the SEC this year.  I can really see them finishing last in the SEC West.  They should win 3 of their ooc games, but will falter in conference and finish behing Miss St (more cowbell) and sit in the celler.

I am a current BG student...having said that, and that I was at the spring game......Wow. This team is going to be B-A-D. Bottom line, the QB "competition" is scary.  I hope its not Schilz because for all of their opponents...here is what you need to know about him...watch his eyes. he follows his receiver the entire way down the field.  He threw pics in back to back possessions in the spring game...on the first pass of each possession.  BG is going to be awful.  They will lose all 4 non-cons..maybe go 2-10 or 3-9 at the best as I see it.


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