Blog Entry

Keith Law's Mid-Season Top 25 Prospects

Posted on: July 9, 2010 9:38 am
 
1. Domonic Brown, OF, Philadelphia.
2. Desmond Jennings, OF, Tampa Bay.
3. Mike Trout, OF, LA Angels.
4. Dustin Ackley, 2B, Seattle.
5. Martin Perez, LHP, Texas.
6. Jesus Montero, C/DH, NY Yankees.
7. Aroldis Chapman, RHP, Cincinnati.
8. Jeremy Hellickson, RHP,
9. Aaron Hicks, OF, Minnesota.
10. Casey Kelly, RHP, Boston.
11. Julio Teheran, RHP, Atlanta.
12. Brett Wallace, 1B, Toronto.
13. Logan Morrison, 1B, Florida.
14. Tyler Matzek, LHP, Colorado.
15. Shelby Miller, RHP, St. Louis.
16. Zack Britton, LHP, Baltimore.
17. Eric Hosmer, 1B, Kansas City.
18. Lonnie Chisenhall, 3B, Cleveland.
19. Arodys Vizcaino, RHP, Atlanta.
20. Kyle Gibson, RHP, Minnesota.
21. Mike Moustakas, 3B, Kansas City.
22. Jarred Cosart, RHP, Philadelphia.
23. Brett Lawrie, 2B, Milwaukee.
24. Jordan Lyles, RHP, Houston.
25. Michael Pineda, RHP, Seattle

I know a lot will question guys like Martin Perez and Jesus Montero being so high on the list even though both are so young and both playing in a higher minor league class than they should be.
Comments

Since: Sep 27, 2006
Posted on: July 9, 2010 7:23 pm
 

Keith Law's Mid-Season Top 25 Prospects

I'd see him as more of a possible high end #2, maybe a low end #1.



Since: May 14, 2010
Posted on: July 9, 2010 6:38 pm
 

Keith Law's Mid-Season Top 25 Prospects

Actually the one thing that concerns me most about Britton is his pedestrian K/9 up to this year. I don't know if he's going to be much of a strikeout pitcher if he can't even do it in the minors.



Since: May 14, 2010
Posted on: July 9, 2010 6:34 pm
 

Keith Law's Mid-Season Top 25 Prospects

Thanks for the advice, very helpful. I am looking for long-term benefits rather than who is coming up first, so I think I'll grab Britton. Would you say he has the upside of a no. 1 starter?



Since: Sep 27, 2006
Posted on: July 9, 2010 6:14 pm
 

Keith Law's Mid-Season Top 25 Prospects

You have to look at the situation. It's more than likely JP will end up in the majors first considering his age and he's doing well in AAA. But he is 24 and struggled last year in AAA. It's always good for a player to improve but you have to take into account his age in AAA and the fact this is his second go around in AAA.

Oramas I'm interested in seeing more of. He missed all of last season, and he spent 2 years in rookie ball. But he's done pretty well this season moving from A to A+ and pitching well since the promotion. His last game was his worst of the season and only 1 other game has he given up more than 2 earned runs. The most interesting part about him is he has improved on his numbers in May and had an even better June. His ERA fell, and his walk rate fell while his strikeout rate increased. Not off to the best July but everyone has a bad game now and then. It's good to note he's only 20. 4 years younger than JP and just a year older than Martin Perez (Whom I believe is only pitching badly due to already being in AA at 19.).

In the end it's more or less what kind of prospect your going for. Do you want one that will help you sooner or one who can potentially reward you more later on? JP is your best bet for the present but if Oramas keeps building on his numbers, he will be the better option in the future.

I myself would probably drop JP and pick up Britton. Then again I don't really worry about how soon someone comes to the majors, i think more about the future and how much a player will improve my team for years to come.



Since: May 14, 2010
Posted on: July 9, 2010 1:49 pm
 

Keith Law's Mid-Season Top 25 Prospects

You seem to know a lot about prospects, Matt. What do you think of Juan Oramas and J.P. Arencibia? Would you recommend dropping either for Zack Britton in a long term H2H keeper league that includes 10 minors keepers? I haven't had much luck with Baltimore pitching prospects Arrieta and Tillman, but I feel like they will get better.


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