Blog Entry

First expert draft results

Posted on: May 12, 2009 3:39 pm

Last week, I wrapped up my first Fantasy Football expert draft of the season, and I am a happy man. Based on the rankings and projections I did, I built a mammoth squad.

So either I nailed it and had a killer draft, or I completely stunk up the joint and will go 3-9.

Here's the rundown – I picked 10th overall.

Round 1: Steve Slaton, RB, Houston
Nothing but running backs over the first eight picks before Larry Fitzgerald went ninth overall. Slaton falling to 10th was a joy for me, and taking a stud rusher with goal-line and receiving duties this late was a no-brainer. I doubt we'll see him last this long in other drafts going forward.
Passed up: Frank Gore, Marion Barber, Drew Brees

Round 2: Andre Johnson, WR, Houston
Fine, I took back-to-back Texans. It doesn't bother me – both are solid and put up a lot of points in a potent offense. Johnson is one of three Fantasy receivers well worth a Top-15 pick, and if you miss on one of them your receiving corps is already behind the proverbial eight-ball. I did pass up DeAngelo Williams for Johnson here, but I wouldn't have done it if I hadn't already taken Slaton.
Passed up: DeAngelo Williams, Calvin Johnson, Randy Moss

Round 3: Pierre Thomas, RB, New Orleans
Not a well-known name … if you didn't make the Fantasy playoffs last year. Thomas should easily top 1,000 total yards and be a candidate for 10-plus touchdowns. I'll gladly take the rusher in the middle of the Saints offense … especially in Round 3. It was tough to pass on Peyton Manning, but he was left as well as Tom Brady, and with one team picking behind me already having drafted a QB, I can wait until my next pick. IT PAYS TO KEEP TRACK OF WHAT THE PEOPLE NEAR YOU IN THE DRAFT DO WITH THEIR PICKS!
Passed up: Peyton Manning, Tom Brady

Round 4: Peyton Manning, QB, Indianapolis
First-round talent in Round 4. I loved this. I should also mention that I took Manning over Brady because I know Manning's knees are fine. Brady's? Who can say with 100 percent certainty. I like Brady this year, sure, but Manning is safer.
Passed up: Tom Brady

Round 5: Vincent Jackson, WR, San Diego
A lot of owners picked wide receivers in Rounds 4-5, so I was left with Jackson here. Also taken in front of me: Knowshon Moreno and Chris Wells (too early for my tastes, for now) along with Jason Witten. I needed a receiver before they dried up.
Passed up: Anthony Gonzalez, Santonio Holmes, Santana Moss, DeSean Jackson, Darren McFadden

Round 6: Dallas Clark, TE, Indianapolis
Jason Witten had gone before my Round 5 pick and Tony Gonzalez after. If I was going to get excellent production out of my tight end, I needed to take one now. Took Clark over Antonio Gates because he could effectively be the Colts' No. 2 receiver this season.
Passed up: Antonio Gates, DeSean Jackson, Donald Brown, Darren McFadden

Round 7: Devin Hester, WR, Chicago
Hester should be an excellent No. 3 Fantasy receiver this year with Jay Cutler in under center for the Bears. And really, the receiving pool was getting awfully shallow by this point. Taken in front of me: Kevin Walter and Laveranues Coles. I had to grab a wideout.
Passed up: Donald Driver, Le'Ron McClain, Derrick Mason

Round 8: Le'Ron McClain, RB, Baltimore
Couldn't pass up 10-touchdown potential in Round 8. I highly doubt the Ravens will make McClain's 2008 season a one-year wonder.
Passed up: Darren Sproles, Derrick Mason, Earnest Graham

Round 9: Percy Harvin, WR, Minnesota

I normally don't draft rookie wide receivers, but I think Harvin could be an effective stat machine with the Vikings provided that he learns the offense right away. The Vikings invested a lot in him, including trips to Florida to make sure he was a good kid. I think they had designs on how to use him before they drafted him. I want a cut of that action.
Passed up: Ted Ginn, Jr., Ahmad Bradshaw, Sammy Morris

Round 10: LeSean McCoy, RB, Philadelphia
Because there's no way Brian Westbrook at age 30 will play 16 games this year after failing to do so in every previous year in his career.
Passed up: Ricky Williams, Dustin Keller, Fred Jackson, Fred Taylor

Round 11: Jerious Norwood, RB, Atlanta
Value pick. Banking on improved stats since he's in a contract year. No way Michael Turner runs 350+ times in 2009 after doing it in 2008.
Passed up: Chester Taylor, Jeremy Maclin, Kyle Orton

Round 12: Kyle Orton, QB, Denver
I normally don't draft a backup QB if I get an elite passer, but Orton has a shot to be a huge stats machine in Denver with Josh McDaniels running the show. Hopefully it happens and I can deal Orton for some help at the midseason.
Passed up: Deion Branch, Hakeem Nicks

Round 13: Nate Washington, WR, Tennessee
Another value pick. Has a shot to post good numbers in favorable matchups. The Titans didn't sign him for nothing, did they?
Passed up: Isaac Bruce, Brian Robiskie, T.J. Duckett

Round 14: Giants DST
The unit is much improved after a busy offseason and should be very effective. Plus, I'm not sold on Dallas and Washington's offenses being threats to them. I think the NFC East has taken a step back … at least outside of N.Y. and Philly.

Round 15: Tashard Choice, RB, Dallas
Talent. Depth. Late-round flier. End of story.

Round 16: Mason Crosby, PK, Green Bay
Kicker. End of story.

As always, your feedback is appreciated. Let's talk about who I should have picked and who I nailed. Please either post below or hit me up on Twitter:

Since: Aug 17, 2006
Posted on: May 15, 2009 10:07 am

First expert draft results


Since: Jul 19, 2007
Posted on: May 13, 2009 2:34 pm

Watching the picks around you!

One of THE MOST important things to do during a draft is to watch the picks around you!  Dave was picking 10th, and he was GUARANTEED to get either Brady or Manning in the 4th round since Brees was picked by one of the 2 teams drafting between Dave's 3rd and 4th picks.

I have a sheet that I always use when drafting, where I keep track of how many players at each position that every team has.  Everyone needs to do this when drafting.  While you are on the clock, it helps you spot what should be available with your NEXT pick.

Since: Apr 1, 2008
Posted on: May 13, 2009 12:24 pm

First expert draft results

Looks like a good draft.  I don't like having teammates, but no one could pass up Andre Johnson in that slot.  Good advice about watching the picks around you - I need to remember to do that.

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