Blog Entry

Draft days

Posted on: May 2, 2008 5:23 pm
  •  
 
It's been busy here at the office. Next week, I have two feature stories due for our annual Fantasy magazine; one is written, the other is an easy write. It's chasing down people to get quotes for the stories that's the tough part, but hopefully next week rolls by without incident.

I spent part of my week this week, however, drafting. Yes, in April (technically it was April). Krause Publications held their annual expert's draft, which I got to be a part of. I always look forward to this draft because it features Fantasy luminaries (is that really a good word to describe us?) such as Greg Ambrosius, Adam Caplan, John Hansen and former co-worker, Michael Fabiano. In fact, all of us are in the same division! No doubt, it's going to be a tough league.

I can't divulge the complete results, only my results. I picked 4th in the odd rounds, 9th in the even rounds. We start 3 WRs and a FLEX on top of 2 RBs, 1 QB, 1 TE, etc. There are points per reception; the rest of the scoring is how you'd expect it. Here are the notables ...

ROUND 1: Brian Westbrook. Pretty standard after LaDainian Tomlinson, Adrian Peterson and Steven Jackson went off the board. And NOT in that order.

ROUND 2: Larry Fitzgerald. While the running backs weren't entirely thin, I didn't want to lose out on getting TWO good WRs. Fitzgerald's potential for 100 receptions played a big role. Maurice Jones-Drew was also a consideration.

ROUND 3: Wes Welker.
Really wanted Marques Colston here. Steve Smith, T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Braylon Edwards went right before my pick. I passed on Torry Holt.

ROUND 4: Derek Anderson. Running backs were still plentiful, so I was able to pass on them and pick one up in a few picks.

ROUND 5: Julius Jones. Loved getting him here. I expect him to go a full round higher in drafts come August. AND, he was the only RB drafted in the round, so the talent pool that I was staring at heading into this pick was still there for the most part for my next pick.

ROUND 6: Kevin Smith. Big risk-reward pick here, but I figure the Lions will put him in at some point as their starter. I know Tatum Bell can't do it. I picked him over Travis Henry -- big, big risk there. I would have preferred Jonathan Stewart here, but he went earlier in the round.

ROUND 7: Todd Heap. Risk-reward, but doing it with a TE in a Cam Cameron offense. Lock it up.

ROUND 8: Santana Moss. Another player I expect to post a nice season. I may be a former Miami Hurricane like Moss, and I like Moss a lot on a personal level, but I've always been able to pass on him in drafts before, figuring that he'd underperform. In Round 8, I cannot pass him up. I hope he goes off for 1,200 yards.

ROUND 9: Vikings DST. HUGE pick there that will either pay off in spades or flub like a party boat filled with ... nevermind. I secretly hoped this would start a DST run, but I was wayyy off (keep in mind, I did draft with guys who know that DSTs are more plentiful than Britney Spears paparazzi shots).

ROUND 10: Bryant Johnson. Lots of upside playing in Mike Martz's offense. Has the size to be a No. 1. Not much competition for him there. Niners will be behind a lot. Not bad for Round 10.

ROUND 11: Jake Delhomme. A guy everyone reading this should target to be their backup QB in 2008.

ROUND 12: Leon Washington. Another guy I'm stealing. Not only will he see 8-to-10 carries a game, but he'll be a gem if something happens to Thomas Jones. That O-line in New York should be much better this year.

ROUND 13: T.J. Duckett. Backing up Julius Jones, with some upside as a touchdown hog.

ROUND 14: Darren Sproles. Just in case ...

ROUND 15: Lorenzo Booker. Backing up Brian Westbrook.

ROUND 16: Nate Kaeding. The necessary evil of Fantasy Football -- placekickers. My goal is to draft ALL of my kickers with my final pick in every single draft I do between now and when I die.

You may comment on my team and draft strategy below. Would love to hear from you.
  •  
Comments

Since: Dec 6, 2007
Posted on: May 25, 2008 2:23 pm
 

Draft days/ Not on Julius Jones

OK - I'll take an alternative view on Julius Jones - everyone here seems to love him - I don't.   I think (don't know,don't even believe, just think) that his O line is not good, will share carries, will be on a team that will end up throwing more, and I don't see him putting up No. 2 R5 (or less)  numbers.  I wouldn't draft him (now, we'll know more in late August) until round 7 or 8 as my No 3 RB.  He won't be therein those rounds, so some other unlikey dude will have gotten him R4 or 5, freeing me up for a higher value pick.  That's what I'm thinking.



Since: Mar 25, 2008
Posted on: May 16, 2008 5:25 pm
 

Draft days

I CANT BELIEVE YOU GOT THE VIKINGS IN RD 9! I KNOW SOME GEEK IN MY DRAFT WILL TAKE THEM IN RD 5 OR SOMETHING. WITH ADDING JARED ALLEN THEY WILL ABSOLUTLY BE THE BEST DST IN THE POOL. I THINK YOU GOT THE 3RD BEST RB AT THE 4TH SPOT WESTBROO SHOULD DO BETTER THAN JACKSON BARRING INJURY .



Since: Apr 1, 2008
Posted on: May 9, 2008 2:20 pm
 

Draft days

These are my 2 favorite picks of yours:

ROUND 1: . Pretty standard after , and went off the board. And NOT in that order.

ROUND 11: . A guy everyone reading this should target to be their backup QB in 2008. 

It's tough to make criticisms without knowing what else was on the board at the time of each pick.  It looks like you're gambling on some pics more than I would though.

"Micro Font Score Improver™" <o:p></o:p>

(TERRIBLE FOR MY FF TEAM LAST YEAR!) (AWESOME TE!) (innocent?) sucks sucks Devil Philadelphia suck suck suck out loud!<o:p> </o:p> The COWBOYS have a total of 27 winning seasons!, The league record of 20 consecutive winning seasons. They've also won 5 of the 8 Super Bowl games appearances (1st team to win 3 w/in a 4 year period), COWBOYS have earned 54 postseason games -  winning 32, DALLAS COWBOYS hold the most seasons with at least 10 wins, 14 NFC Championship game appearances (2 NFL championship games prior to NFL-AHL merger), The DALLAS COWBOYS




Since: Mar 22, 2007
Posted on: May 8, 2008 2:24 pm
 

Draft days

Dave,

Good looking draft, all in all. It was a big risk taking two WRs when you did, but it really paid off.

Here are your best picks:

1) Delhomme in round eleven. Are you kidding me? He would have been a good pick in round 7 or 8. Nice move.

2) Julius Jones in round 5. Nice pickup that late. I would have thought he'd go in round 4, too. In leagues that only require 2 WRs, he might go even higher.

3) Santana Moss in round eight. Two years ago, he somehow slipped all the way down to the 14th round in our 10-team league. My cousin grabbed him there and he ended up being the #2 receiver on his team. With a QB as a coach and more targets for Campbell to throw to, he ought to be in single coverage more often. With Fitzgerald and Welker, you have 3 really good receiers.

4) Darren Sproles. Let me get this straight... You backed up your SECOND RB a whole round earlier and the idiot who picked Tomlinson didn't have the sense to back up his FIRST? Nice steal.

Your worst picks:

1) Taking Heap that early. I know Cameron is there, but Heap gets hurt a lot, and his backup isn't very good. I suffered with Heap last year. I'd have waited 5 or 6 rounds and gotten another good running back in that spot. You could have picked up someone like Alge Crumpler who is coming off a knee-injury-plagued season, but is moving into a very nice situation: a mobile QB without a marquee receiver.

2) Vikings D in 9. Unless there was a run on DSTs, that seems high. The Vikings were surprisingly good on defense last year, and they drafted well to fill their weaknesses, but I would have thought you could have gotten them a round later.

I had to get picky to come up with those 2, though. You should have a pretty good season with this team. Keep us posted.




Since: May 7, 2008
Posted on: May 7, 2008 11:36 pm
 

Draft days

I loved your strategy.I play in IDP leagues so I need to make some adjustments. The first 6 picks were excellent strategically. Many of the top IDP players go early. I plan on waiting until rounds 6 or 7 before even considering one this year.



Since: Nov 13, 2007
Posted on: May 7, 2008 7:53 pm
 

Draft days

Nice draft Dave. The beauty of getting one of the top RBs is you can draft 2 stud WRs next and still get a quality #2 RB later. I think Kevin Smith just might be that #2 RB. If he beats out Tatum Bell or even just gets the bigger chunck of a split back-field, I think he will put up solid #2 RB numbers. Your right though, I would rather have Stewart as well. As for your boy Santana Moss, if nothing else, you can start him against my Cowboys twice a year! I swear that guy goes for 100 yards and a TD or more EVERY game against Dallas!



Since: Jul 7, 2007
Posted on: May 6, 2008 5:54 pm
 

Draft days

ROUND 1: . Pretty standard after , and went off the board. 

Nice pick especially in PPR. 

ROUND 2: . While the running backs weren't entirely thin, I didn't want to lose out on getting TWO good WRs. Fitzgerald's potential for 100 receptions played a big role. was also a consideration.

Hopefully the return of Leinhart as starter won't hurt since he had his best days last year were with Warner.  But a quality receiver non the less.

ROUND 3: . Really wanted here. , and went right before my pick. I passed on .

Just a personal opinion but I think Bulger and STL make a comeback this year and Torry out produces Wes. (then again I figured Moss would be a bust last year)


ROUND 4: . Running backs were still plentiful, so I was able to pass on them and pick one up in a few picks.

Probably a good pick since we don't know what other QB's were available.  (see Delhomme)

ROUND 5: . Loved getting him here. I expect him to go a full round higher in drafts come August. AND, he was the only RB drafted in the round, so the talent pool that I was staring at heading into this pick was still there for the most part for my next pick.

I would say this was a steal !!!!!!!!!


ROUND 6: . Big risk-reward pick here, but I figure the will put him in at some point as their starter. I know can't do it. I picked him over -- big, big risk there. I would have preferred here, but he went earlier in the round.

The kid has talent and will do well.  Probably the best talent at RB the Loins have had for quite some time.

ROUND 7: . Risk-reward, but doing it with a TE in a Cam Cameron offense. Lock it up.

Wait and see.  If Billick was still calling plays then it would have been a great pick.  The guys called his number darn near everytime inside the 5.  IT WAS HELL on us McGahee owners!!

ROUND 8: . Another player I expect to post a nice season. I may be a former Miami Hurricane like Moss, and I like Moss a lot on a personal level, but I've always been able to pass on him in drafts before, figuring that he'd underperform. In Round 8, I cannot pass him up. I hope he goes off for 1,200 yards.

Probably not a bad value at this point.

ROUND 9: DST. HUGE pick there that will either pay off in spades or flub like a party boat filled with ... nevermind. I secretly hoped this would start a DST run, but I was wayyy off (keep in mind, I did draft with guys who know that DSTs are more plentiful than Britney Spears paparazzi shots).

Even last year with the horrible pass defense they managed some big weeks.  I think you've got it the nail on the head - feast or ....

ROUND 10: . Lots of upside playing in Mike Martz's offense. Has the size to be a No. 1. Not much competition for him there. Niners will be behind a lot. Not bad for Round 10.

As a filler or bye week guy he may have some value.  Just no faith in the QB situation there.


ROUND 11: . A guy everyone reading this should target to be their backup QB in 2008.

Great pick - - Believe he will come back strong and will likely be your starter by week 3.


ROUND 12: . Another guy I'm stealing. Not only will he see 8-to-10 carries a game, but he'll be a gem if something happens to . That O-line in New York should be much better this year.

Another great value and potential 1000yd guy.

ROUND 13: . Backing up Julius Jones, with some upside as a touchdown hog.

Handcuff

ROUND 14: . Just in case ...

Hey at this point why not?

ROUND 15: . Backing up Brian Westbrook.

Nice handcuff

ROUND 16: . The necessary evil of Fantasy Football -- placekickers. My goal is to draft ALL of my kickers with my final pick in every single draft I do between now and when I die.

Hopefully he will produce better for you than me.  But it is just a kicker. ...




Since: Apr 14, 2007
Posted on: May 6, 2008 4:46 pm
This comment has been removed.

Post Deleted by Administrator




Since: Apr 21, 2008
Posted on: May 5, 2008 10:31 am
 

Draft days

Favorite Pick - Round 5 Jones. No way he lasts that long closer to the season. GREAT VALUE.

Least Favorite Pick - Round 7 Heap. Too much RISK, not enough reward.  With guys named Flacco and Boller throwing the ball, and guys named McGahee and Rice running...can't see the passing game doing anything spectacular. Oh, yeah. And don't breath too heavy on him, he might break something.




Since: Dec 19, 2006
Posted on: May 2, 2008 7:21 pm
 

Draft days

Alright - here's what I think pick-by-pick.
Westbrook - guess he's the only pick. A QB would be a bit of a stretch

Fitzgerald - Not a BAD pick, but maybe could have went with your third rounder. But again, not bad

Welker - Wow, seems a bit high. Now I am assuming you get 1 pt per reception. B/c if not, then this is terrible. If you do, then still Holt would have been better or maybe a QB (Palmer available?)

Anderson - I'm always suspect of guys coming out of nowhere to post monster years, so I don't really like Anderson coming into this year. But I guess this isn't bad. Not my favorite though.

Julius Jones - Good value, but more of a #3 RB for sure. Duckett will vulture his TDs.

Kevin Smith - Like the risk a lot, b/c Tatum Bell seems to be out of the picture. And with Martz gone that means Kitna won't throw 45 a game.

Heap - OK, but I always wait a bit to take a TE.

Moss - Like somewhat, but the additions in the draft are going to hurt a bit. But he could possibly have a nice 1200 yard 10TD season.

Vikings - Hopefully a pass rush will generate sacks. If not, then their secondary may suffer again since opposing QBs will torch it with so much time.

B. Johnson - Eh... with a QB controversy he may not do much but this is fine. Not much of a ceiling though.

Delhomme - Quality backup

Wasington - LOVE it. With Thomas Jones getting old, he has to get some carries. And the new OL will take some time to grow chemistry, but should have a breakout season.

Duckett - Only good when he gets TDs, doesn't do much otherwise.

Sproles - Taking Jacob Hester concerns me a little, but the Chargers will have to share the wealth.

Booker - Honestly, even if Westbrook goes down, he won't be worth much. But a handcuff is good to have in a 16 round draft.

Kaeding - I've always been suspect of him, but even if he misses plenty, he'll get some points every week.

Overall I think you did fine, but not spectacular. I think Washington was your best pick for sure - he's going to have a breakthrough year in my opinion. And Welker in 3, eh... I see that as a reach. The Pats offense can't keep up their greatness, and there will be regressions. Honestly, I think he'll have a Brandon Stokley-effect year (after a nice 1000 yard 10 TD season when Manning went crazy, he regressed and did diddly poo). So not in love with it.


The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com