Blog Entry

MLB Draft

Posted on: June 4, 2008 2:37 pm
 

Twenty four hours from now the MLB draft will start. I get the impression that many baseball fans, from the casual to die-hard fans don't know all that much about the draft. So, I have created my very own mock draft to give fans a better idea of the prospects that may called upon by your favorite teams tomorrow. I'll be back this weekend to recap the draft.<o:p></o:p>

1. Tampa Bay Rays: Buster Posey C Florida State <o:p></o:p>

This pick could easily be either Beckham or Posey. Posey is a catcher who can hit, and will be able to field well behind the plate time. Beckham may be the best overall player in the draft. He’s a toolsy SS, who will be able to stay at that position in the MLs. In so many words, he’s B.J. Upton with less power. I think the Rays will choose the slightly less talented Posey, because they need a catcher, and he will move to the big league much quicker than Beckham and the Rays are ready to win now (see the AL East standings). I think Posey is the final piece to their puzzle.<o:p></o:p>

2. Pittsburgh Pirates: Tim Beckham SS Griffin HS Griffin, Georgia<o:p></o:p>

Word from the Pirates is they are taking Pedro Alvarez, the best overall hitter in the draft. But, if Beckham falls to them I don’t see them passing up the best player in the draft. <o:p></o:p>

3. Kansas City Royals: Eric Hosmer 1B American Heritage HS Plantation, Florida <o:p></o:p>

This pick comes down to two Boras advisees. Hosmer is a great high school hitter who is likely to develop plus power, he makes great contact. Alvarez’s bat is major league ready, but he has some injury history, and it is likely he will have to shift to 1B eventually. Hosmer could play in the outfield, and could surpass Alvarez’s bat in time. <o:p></o:p>

4. Baltimore Orioles: Pedro Alvarez 3B Vanderbilt <o:p></o:p>

Alvarez was the suspected first pick up until the past couple months, where Posey has played his way into consideration. He will probably play at first in the MLs, but he could stay at third, his bat is ready to play now. The Orioles won’t hesitate to take Alvarez here, although he won’t be cheap (he’ll sign for the highest bonus in the draft, Boras, of course), but the Orioles can’t pass up the prospect of having Matt Wieters, and Alvarez in the heart of their lineup as soon as next year. Matusz could be the pick if the
Orioles go for a pitcher.<o:p></o:p>

5. San Fransisco Giants: Justin Smoak 1B University of South Carolina<o:p></o:p>

The Giants are jumping out of their socks with the possibility of Posey or Alvarez dropping to them, but they probably won’t. Justin Smoak is a switch hitting first basemen. He is a good fielder at first (but, limited to first), and has plus power. He could be the first player from this class to make the big leagues. The Giants will take a college bat with this pick.<o:p></o:p>

6. Florida Marlins: Brian Matusz LHP University of San Diego <o:p></o:p>

Much like the scenario in Pittsburgh, the word out of Florida is the best catcher available. That’s Kyle Skipworth, he’s got the most power in the draft, and can field behind the plate with a plus arm. But, with Brian Matusz falling, the Marlins will grab the best pitcher in the draft. He’s a left hander, with four pitches, including a great fastball/curveball combo.<o:p></o:p>

7. Cincinnati Reds: Yonder Alonso 1B University of Miami<o:p></o:p>

Any name could fall in here, including Aaron Crow and Skipworth. Casey Kelly the SS/RHP/QB has been the hot rumor here, but it’d be a big reach. Yonder Alonso is a great overall hitter, with great plate discipline. <o:p></o:p>

8. Chicago White Sox: Gordon Beckham SS University of Georgia<o:p></o:p>

I hate the White Sox, and I would love to see him drop, but Beckham seems to be the easy choice for Chicago. He’s a good hitter with pretty good power. He doesn’t have blazing speed, but will be able to steal a few bags. He is a pretty good fielder, but may have to slide to second in the big leagues. Brett Wallace or Kyle Skipworth are other choices.<o:p></o:p>

9. Washington Nationals: Kyle Skipworth C Patriot HS Riverside, California <o:p></o:p>

The way I see this draft, there are ten guys who are significantly better than the rest. They should be the top ten picks. I think the Nationals will take the four tool high school catcher in this scenario. Brett Wallace or Shooter Hunt are other options. <o:p></o:p>

10. Houston Astros: Aaron Crow RHP University of Missouri<o:p></o:p>

The Astros need help everywhere in their organization, and they’ll likely take a college player with this pick. Shooter Hunt, Christian Fredrich, and Andrew Cashner are all options. Going with my ten best theory the Astros will take whoever is left of that group. In this case, that is Aaron Crow. He may have the best stuff in the draft with a mid 90s fastball and a power slider. He could easily be taken earlier, but if he falls this far, Houston should take him, or else their fans, led by this guy [me], will have Ed Wade’s head.<o:p></o:p>

11. Texas Rangers: Shooter Hunt RHP Tulane<o:p></o:p>

12. Oakland Athletics: Christian Fredrich LHP Eastern Kentucky<o:p></o:p>

13. St. Louis Cardinals: Aaron Hicks OF/RHP Woodrow Wilson HS Long Beach, California<o:p></o:p>

14. Minnesota Twins: Ryan Perry RHP University of Arizona<o:p></o:p>

15. Las Angeles Dodgers: Zach Collier OF Chino Hills HS California<o:p></o:p>

16. Milwaukee Brewers: Andrew Cashner RHP Texas Christian<o:p></o:p>

17. Toronto Blue Jays: Brett Wallace 1B/3B Arizona State<o:p></o:p>

18. New York Mets: Ike Davis OF/1B Arizona State<o:p></o:p>

19. Chicago Cubs: Brett Lawrie C/3B/LF Langley, B.C. [Canada]<o:p></o:p>

20. Seattle Mariners: Josh Fields RHP University of Georgia<o:p></o:p>

21. Detroit Tigers: Tim Melville RHP Wentzville Holt HS Missouri<o:p></o:p>

22. New York Mets: Jason Castro C Stanford<o:p></o:p>

23. San Diego Padres: Daniel Schlereth LHP University of Arizona<o:p></o:p>

24. Philadelphia Phillies: Ethan Martin RHP Stephen County HS Toccoa, Georgia<o:p></o:p>

25. Colorado Rockies: Jake Ordorizzi RHP Highland HS Illinois<o:p></o:p>

26. Arizona Diamondbacks: Casey Kelly SS Sarasota HS Florida<o:p></o:p>

27. Minnesota Twins: Brett DeVall Niceville HS Florida <o:p></o:p>

28. New York Yankees: Anthony Hewitt Salisbury School Connecticut <o:p></o:p>

29. Cleveland Indians: Jermile Weeks 2B University of Miami

30. Boston Red Sox: Reese Havens SS University of South Carolina
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Category: MLB
Tags: MLB Draft
 
Comments

Since: Sep 8, 2006
Posted on: June 7, 2008 10:09 am
 

MLB Draft

Thanks for the explanation on the draft choices. Very easy to understand. I remember once looking up the rules regarding "designated for assignment" and minor league options and my head is still spinning.



Since: Dec 13, 2006
Posted on: June 6, 2008 10:45 pm
 

MLB Draft

Yeah, the more I read on Jason Castro the more I like the pick also...

Its interesting cause John Sickels initial reaction was, and I quote, "WTF!!"  That said however, Castro has been playing OF and 1B in addition to time behind the plate.  The bottom line is the guy can flat out hit and should see the big show quickly.  While CF is huge we have seen that even Lee can handle LF, so if Towles does it get it figured out in Round Rock we have a place for him.

I didn't say it earlier, but HUGE THANKS for the blog and posts.  I love football, but baseball is my passion and not having XM has been horrible for me.  I enjoyed your takes and look forward to reading more from you.



Since: Aug 16, 2006
Posted on: June 6, 2008 9:39 pm
 

MLB Draft

I actually like the Jason Castro over Justin Smoak move by the Astros.  First of all, Jason Castro will sign for slot money, and he was going to be picked in the top 18 picks anyway, he wasn't that big of a reach.  Second, what would have the Astros done with Smoak?  He'll be ready for the big league's by the start of 2010, if not sooner, and Berkman isn't moving from first base anytime soon.  The real test of McClane's wallet would've been seeing what he would have done if Aaron Crow fell one more spot.



Since: Dec 13, 2006
Posted on: June 6, 2008 5:39 pm
 

MLB Draft

Well we know now that Houston took Castro and not Smoak.  But what do you expect from the Stros whose drafting under their current owner is abysmal.   Drayton sticks to that slot money and won't budge.  As owner of Wal-Mart you sort of get the impression that he wants his draft picks to come at "sale" prices and not premium in direct opposition to his free agents where he is wiling to spend on the sparkle.

All in all he has been a solid owner, but this is one of his weakest areas - spending on the youngsters. 



Since: Aug 16, 2006
Posted on: June 5, 2008 3:03 pm
 

MLB Draft

It was my second attempt, but three hours before the draft I got the first nine picks. Know hopefully Houston comes through and takes Justin Smoak, the best player available, to complete the top 10.



Since: Jun 4, 2008
Posted on: June 5, 2008 1:43 pm
 

MLB Draft



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Since: Aug 16, 2006
Posted on: June 5, 2008 10:59 am
 

MLB Draft

Color me red, it's official, the Rays will pick Tim Beckham. Which busts my mock draft already. So here's what will happen next...

2. Pirates- Pedro Alvarez

3. Royals - Eric Hosmer

4. Orioles - Brian Matusz

5. Giants - Buster Posey

6. Marlins - Kyle Skipworth

7. Reds - Yonder Alonso

8. White Sox - Gordon Beckham

9. Nationals - Aaron Crow

10. Astros - Justin Smoak



Since: Jul 31, 2007
Posted on: June 5, 2008 10:53 am
 

MLB Draft

Great blog, good inside, way to do your homework!!!!  Can't wait for orange(men) hoops season again and packer football!! Keep up the good work, be good.




Since: Apr 13, 2007
Posted on: June 4, 2008 11:52 pm
 

MLB Draft

I think that Brett Lawrie is certainly a possibility for the Blue Jays, although I don't believe he projects as a shortstop.  However, Brett Wallace, whom the originatior of this mock draft thinks Toronto will take, certainly fits the Jays' mold in that he is a productive college hitter with an adequate sample size against upper level competition.  Sure, the Jays selected prep infielder Kevin Ahrens with one of their first round choices last season, but they also had a bevy of relatively early choices and GM JP Ricciardi probably felt more comfortable rolling the dice on a high school kid with that being the case.  As for Travis Snider in 2006, I think it was just a case of Snider being, by far and away, the best player on Toronto's board (thankfully) and Ricciardi et al having to come to grips with that fact.  With a more typical draft set up in 2008 though, I , unfortunately, expect the Jays front office to revert back to their prior modus operandi and almost entirely focus on college players.  I think that Wallace, Yonder Alonso, David Cooper, Jason Castro, Ike Davis, Shooter Hunt and Josh Fields are all very likely suspects with Castro and Alonso being the ones whom I would be the least vexed by. 

I do think, Mancini, that there is something to the Lawrie rumblings, as the Rogers ownership group has made no secret of its desire to add any type of Canadain talent and Lawrie certainly sounds like an exceptional hitter.  Lawrie is probably the only prep player that wouldn't surprise me at #17.  I would love to see Toronto select Tim Melville if he were to slip to their spot even it meant paying him over slot money.  However, it practically a certainty that the Jays front office won't roll the dice on prep pitching.  The Jays passed on Rick Porcello twice last year and, while Melville might not be quite as elite a prospect as Porcello, I believe to be superior to all arms in the draft besides Brian Matusz and maybe Aaron Crow (I could go either way).  With AJ Burnett's contract almost obviously coming off of th ebooks in 2009, I think that an investment in Melville could certainly be fulfilling. 




Since: Oct 29, 2006
Posted on: June 4, 2008 10:08 pm
 

MLB Draft

Very nice!!!!  It's great to see a mock MLB draft.  But I'm secretly hoping that Crow falls to the Cardinals at 13, even though it ain't gonna happen, and even if it did we probably wouldn't take him. :)


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