Blog Entry

Buy Low , Sell High - Fantasy Time.

Posted on: October 15, 2009 5:35 pm
Edited on: October 15, 2009 8:08 pm
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Time to start making those trades!!!

By: Christopher Torola


Hello fellow fantasy football junkies. Right now is that magical time of year when you look at your roster and think one of a few things. Hopefully, "Wow! My roster is stacked, is it time to start looking at playoff match ups?". Then there are those thinking, "My team is so close, if I could just rearrange my talent a bit." And of course there are those of you thinking.... "If I don't put together a big winning streak... I'm done." Or maybe your like me and play in way too many leagues, so your facing all of the above.

No need to worry. I have decided to put together a list of some players that will make your team better as the year goes on, as well as a list of guys that you may want to sell high on. I'll go position by position, and list a few guys in each category.

Quarterbacks: Buy Low

- Matt Cassel is a great buy low option. He has increased his numbers week by week as he has regained his health. The Kansas City Chiefs defense is terrible so he is likely to still be throwing the ball late in games, Larry Johnson has proven ineffective this year, and he still has games against 7 bad teams, including the Bills and Browns during the 1st two rounds of most fantasy play-offs (weeks 14 and 15).

- Donovan McNabb is another that may be had for cheap. He was hurt yet again, but he seems to already be recovered from that. The Original Campbell's Chunky Soup Man has already had his bye, has 2 running backs that will catch the ball, and a couple talented young wide outs. He has put up his numbers against bad teams, but he still has plenty of those left, and just look what Kevin Colb was able to do with the Eagle's weapons when he was running the team. McNabb may play even better if he thinks he has to worry about losing his job.

Quarterbacks: Sell High

- Joe Flacco. Of the teams remaining on his schedule, at least 6 look to be tough match ups. His receiving core is old, and not that good anymore. Both Todd Heap and Derrik Mason tend to get banged up. A few of his touchdowns have come off passing plays to Willis McGahee in the redzone. You shouldn't expect that to keep up. As the season goes on Ray Rice should continue to mature and turn passing play calls into rushing ones.

- Tom Brady is an odd choice for sell high, as he has not been meeting expectations this year; however, if you act fast you may be able to trade him to someone who thinks that he is still knocking the rust off. I think that what you have seen from Brady so far, is what your going to get this year. Over the next 2 weeks he plays the Titans and the Buccaneers, but after that he has a bye followed by 5 straight quality passing defenses. If you can still find someone willing to pay top value for Brady.. cash in.

Running Backs: Buy Low

- Pierre Thomas. Thomas was hurt to start the season and missed the first 2 games. Since he has been back he has averaged more fantasy points per start then Adrian Peterson. I know 2 games is a small sample size, but look at what he did the end of last year. Another interesting note is that as Thomas has preformed, Brees has cooled off. It seems the Saints will be willing to get a quick lead and then run the ball with Thomas. He is still being listed on the injury report and limited at practice... you should be able to get him for a song.

- Steven Jackson. Jackson has been running hard this season, but has been unable to find the endzone. That is the difference between Jackson being a decent #2 and a fantasy darling. With a return of Marc Bulger on the horizon, Jackson should see a little less of the 8 and 9 man fronts. He also has a great play-off schedule, that feature the Titans, Texans, and the Cardinals.

Running Backs: Sell High

- Willis McGahee. McGahee has seen a huge amount or red zone success this year, and the Ravens have a line built for running, but there just too many chefs in the kitchen. So far McGahee has seen almost all of the touchdowns, and that is unlikely to continue. Ray Rice is playing amazingly, and is the future of the team. If you can find someone to buy his NFL leading 7 TDs as anything more than an anomaly, trade with them quick.

- Rashard Mendenhall. He is coming off to very productive weeks, and there are a lot of people out there who think he is going to become the guy in Pittsburgh. It seem like almost the only people saying otherwise are the Steelers. This is a risky sell high, because if he does hold on to the starting job, he will put up good numbers... but I think a job share with Willie Parker is much more likely. If you can get good value for him, play it safe and deal him now.

Wide Receivers: Buy Low

- Roddy White. He is coming off a huge week, so it may already be too late to get him cheap. I am assuming the reason for the slow start was his hold out. He played very poorly the first 3 weeks, but as soon as the team had the bye week off, it seems as though Matt Ryan and WHite synced up, and should continue to put up solid numbers.

- Brandon Marshall. Here is another guy the secret may be out on already.He is coming off his 2 touchdown game against the Patriots, but get him if you can. He has posted better numbers each week this season, which makes sense after getting kicked out of practice this pre-season. Marshall may be turning into T.O. Jr, but with the attitude comes the talent.

- Braylon Edwards. Take a chance on him as a player with upside. Don't pay for his 2007 numbers, but look for better then his 2008. It is suppose to take a while for a wide out to make any impact on a new team, but Edwards caught a TD in his first game as a member of the Jets. He actually caught 2, but the refs blew a challenge and reversed the second.

Wide Receivers: Sell High

- Terrell Owens. T.O. isn't as much of a sell high, as an abandon ship. If you have him, you know how bad it is. There still might be someone in your league who hasn't got burnt by T.O. yet, find him and see what he will give you for him. Don't give him away for nothing, but if you can find someone who will give you a viable #3 or low end #2... it might be time to cut your losses. 

- Calvin Johnson. Thats right, Megatron. This has more to do with his and his QBs injuries then anything else. I will not be surprised if he misses more then just last week with his thigh and knee injuries. Mix that with the possibility that he will be going with either a banged up rookie or a washed out veteran throwing him the ball, and it may be time to move on him. I am still a big Calvin Johnson fan, but I don't think this is his year. You may want to try trade on his name for big value while you still can

Tight End: Buy Low

- Jason Witten. The talent is still there and the scores will come. As teams start to game plan against the Cowboys running game, we should start to see Witten sneaking past the line backers for 20 yards up the middle on a regular basis. Get him while owners are worried about the demise of Tony Romo and the Cowboys passing game.

Tight End: Sell High

- Heath Miller. Miller has traditionally been a hot starter, but tends to disappear as the year goes on. This could have a lot to do with Big Ben usually getting killed in the pocket, and the Steelers looking for extra blocking. As the Steeler look to build up their running game, Miller will become less and less of a factor in the passing game.

I hope this helps some of you out there. Feel free to throw out some more names, talk about the ones I suggested, or just call me an idiot. Feedback is fun!

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Comments

Since: Oct 19, 2009
Posted on: October 19, 2009 7:14 pm
 

Buy Low , Sell High - Fantasy Time.

I play in a League which offers new Drafts (read: fresh starts) each week, so I really like that format.  I have yet to enter the more "traditional" setup, but friends of mine who have definitely prefer the new Draft each week. 



Since: Dec 4, 2007
Posted on: October 19, 2009 6:44 pm
 

Buy Low , Sell High - Fantasy Time.

In REAL fantasy leagues that you do with people you know, trades happen all the time. And they can me mutually beneficial. Before week 5 I traded Randy Moss and Tashard Choice for Knoshon Moreno and Roddy White. This helped both of us. He was not playing Moreno, so he gets to start Moss over White. I had to play Choice at the time. It was an upgrade for both of us.



Since: May 15, 2009
Posted on: October 18, 2009 12:45 pm
 

Buy Low , Sell High - Fantasy Time.

if you can find someone dunb enoughThat is the whole deal.  Guys try to trade you players who are playing lousy for some of your studs.  It's a joke.


Other trades appear to be bogus-  one team is gonna move up and the other is tanking...



Since: Oct 17, 2009
Posted on: October 17, 2009 3:47 pm
 

Buy Low , Sell High - Fantasy Time.

I just got rid of both T.O. and Panthers Steve Smith for Hines Ward and Sims- Walker.  T.O. and Smith both play on horrible offenses and if you can find someone dunb enough to take them now is the time to do it.  




Since: Oct 16, 2009
Posted on: October 17, 2009 6:29 am
 

Buy Low , Sell High - Fantasy Time.

I would argue that one should at least consider including Steve Smith under "selling high"--for several reasons.  First, Manning is banged up, and there is no guarantee that injury won't linger.  Second, the Giants schedule gets much tougher with such defenses as New Orleans, Washington, Denver, and Minnesota.  Third, other weapons have arisen such as Manningham and Bradshaw that could limit his touches.  While I think Smith will continue to be productive, it seems there is a high probability that his value is at its apex now.



Since: Aug 23, 2006
Posted on: October 16, 2009 7:13 pm
 

Buy Low , Sell High - Fantasy Time.

...on that note why hasn't CBS/FOX/Espn, etc. developed an IDP league? "Defense wins championships" is true for fantasy as well. my 2 cents.



Since: Aug 23, 2006
Posted on: October 16, 2009 7:11 pm
 

Buy Low , Sell High - Fantasy Time.

Our 32 team O/D dynasty league developed a trade formula that eliminates the "human" factor. No blocks, no collusion, no bro deals. I'd like to see yearly 10-12 team "offense only" leagues adopt a similar formula. Nothing worse than to have a deal that works for both parties blocked because "I just don't want to see it happen" or "that guy is in my divison/conference -BLOCK"



Since: Sep 29, 2009
Posted on: October 16, 2009 11:46 am
 

Buy Low , Sell High - Fantasy Time.

Wow, I feel for you llpapall.  Trades are a huge part of fantasy.  Moreso in baseball than in football, but still a big part of football.  T Unit is right, you are missing out!  Private leagues are much more fun that public ones.  Not only do you have trades, but you also get to talk smack with your buddies.  It's the comraderie of it all that makes it worth while for me.



Since: Dec 4, 2007
Posted on: October 16, 2009 6:14 am
 

Buy Low , Sell High - Fantasy Time.

llpapall, seriously? you are missing out on a huge part of fantasy... call your friends, co-workers, relatives, neighbors, or old classmates and form a private league. I play in mostly commissioner leagu
es with different groups of friends, its better that way, I suggest you try it. You can do free private leagues on CBS.



Since: May 15, 2009
Posted on: October 16, 2009 4:02 am
 

Buy Low , Sell High - Fantasy Time.

Trades?
  • Don't you just Drop players and Add them?
  • Nobody makes online trades
  • Unless it is bogus screen-name to screen-name/troll trades.
  • Doesn't EVERYBODY just block any potential trade?
  • Seems like it.
  • I would love to be in a league that HAD trades-  but there is  SO MUCH DISTRUST
  • And any time some other parties attempted a trade it seemed so shady   Embarassed
  • So everybody blocked.


The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com