SteveElling

LAKE BUENA VISTA, Fla. -- This time around, the sea change looks like it's moved from a trickle to a potential tsunami.

At last year's PGA Tour season finale at Disney World, a not-so-grand total of one player was displaced from the top 125 players on the money list, the yardstick by which tour eligibility is largely decided for next season.

This week, the list of casualties seems certain to be both longer and more identifiable.

Bubble boy David Duval, a former major championship winner who entered the week at No. 125 in earnings, missed the cut Friday at the Children's Miracle Network Classic and has left his fate in the hands of others.

Rest assured, this year, the buzzards are circling.

"I feel that the overall picture of the year, I feel like it was mostly successful," Duval said after missing the cut by seven shots.

It was an improvement on his results from the past six seasons. But it wasn't enough for him to secure fully exempt status in 2010. Rich Beem, who started the week at No. 124, made the cut on the number and can breath easily, at least for the moment.

In all, of the 11 players between Nos. 121 and 131 in earnings entering the week, four missed the cut, including Robert Garrigus at No. 123. With Duval in danger, two of the three most vulnerable positions on the money list are up for grabs.

Players such as Chris DiMarco (No. 138) and Tim Herron (No. 128) stand to create the most havoc. The two multiple winners both entered the week outside the top 125 and currently stand in a tie for fourth, which could leapfrog them past dozens of players if the maintain their spots through Sunday night.

That's not even factoring in whatever movement happens among the players just outside the 125 muster themselves. Starting with Chris Riley at No. 126, five of the next six players on the list made the cut and can still improve their position and salvage their 2010 seasons.

Duval, easily the biggest name on the cusp, said he hadn’t decided if he would play at Qualifying School finals in Dec. 2-7, though he has sent in his entry check.

"I don't know, not certain when it is, first of all," he said. "I think it's in December, first couple weeks maybe. And then, you know, I would probably -- if you were going to bet, I'd probably not plan on going."

A look at the status of those closest to the top-125 cutline:

$No.  Player               Cutline Status
121   Ricky Barnes      Bogeyed last hole Friday, but made cut on number. 
122   Steve Flesch       Exempt through 2010 already, so MC didn’t hurt.
123   Robert Garrigus  Shot pair of 74s to MC and better hope for bad weather.
124   Rich Beem         Shot sloppy 73, but made cut on the number at 2 under.
125   David Duval       Blew up in both rounds, is certain to be dislodged.
126   Chris Riley         Bogeyed last hole but made cut by two. Looking good.
127   Jeff Maggert      Clutch 69 Friday ensures chance at moving up.
128   Tim Herron        Major mover of day, is tied for fourth place.
129   Matt Jones         Got in as last alternate, fell flat with opening 78 to MC.
130   Jimmy Walker    Is tied for 23rd place and can still mount weekend rally.
131   Will MacKenzie   Exempt in '10; Is T23 and can derail others by moving up.