Blog Entry

Vegas oddsmaker says Tiger is a sucker bet

Posted on: April 6, 2011 10:22 am
 
AUGUISTA, Ga. -- The man who sets one of golf's biggest betting lines in Las Vegas believes people are gambling with their hearts and not their heads as it relates to four-time Masters winner Tiger Woods.

In other worlds, Tiger is a sucker bet.

Woods hasn't won on the PGA Tour since September, 2009, the longest drought of his career, and hasn't finished better than fourth in a full-field event since. Yet he ranks second on the board behind Phil Mickelson as far as favorites.

Jeff Sherman, who sets the golf odds for the Las Vegas Hilton sports book and runs the American website Golfodds.com, told a Las Vegas paper that Woods' performance doesn't justify the amount of action he is drawing from bettors. Woods is running 10/1 and Sherman isn't backing him.

Sherman said the action that Woods generates keeps the odds price low. For those unfamiliar with how the betting line works, it it not necessarily a reflection of what Las Vegas thinks will happen, but how much money is being wagered on the players.

“He’s only had a couple good performances in the last year,” Sherman told the Las Vegas Sun. “He’s shown nothing near the dominating performances that made him the great golfer he was. There are chances for a lot more golfers than ever before.”

According to the newspaper, with Woods' game looking suspect, the bookmakers have been reeling in plenty of action. The Hilton broke its previous Masters handle record set last year, two days before the first tee time.
Comments

Since: Sep 13, 2007
Posted on: April 11, 2011 10:24 am
 

Vegas oddsmaker says Tiger is a sucker bet

If he wouldn't have missed about 15 gimme's, he might have won by 10.  Once he gets his putting figured out, it's game over for everyone else because he knows how to play courses; hits the shots exactly where he wants most of the time.  This guy doesn't mis-hit many.

Winning by 10 strokes might have been a little bold but really, I wouldn't have been shocked if he did it.
You act as if he plays in a vacuum and that none of the other guys that finished within a few strokes of him +/- missed easy putts, etc. over the 4 rounds.

He has plenty of company nowadays in terms of talented players...I'm sure he'll win again, but I think it's a longshot that he'll ever dominate again.

The Masters is also the major where I'd expect Woods to be the most dangerous over the next decade...some guys just own that course, and he's definitely in that category.

Very good result from Woods this weekend, we'll see where he takes it from here.  Also, it will be interesting to see how this affects McIlroy...he broke down mentally when it counted most - I really didn't expect that to happen.  He's so young and talented and seems to have the right attitude, but that implosion is still troubling.


fuzznutz
Since: Oct 6, 2006
Posted on: April 11, 2011 12:59 am
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fuzznutz
Since: Oct 6, 2006
Posted on: April 11, 2011 12:56 am
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Since: Sep 13, 2007
Posted on: April 10, 2011 7:29 pm
 

Vegas oddsmaker says Tiger is a sucker bet

Sure did...I watched the entire day...Woods played very well today.

I was alluding to the joke of a statement that he can completely dominate and win by 10 strokes.  I think he's certainly capable of winning more majors, but I'll bet the house that we won't see him blowing away a field by 10+ strokes at a major ever again.


fuzznutz
Since: Oct 6, 2006
Posted on: April 9, 2011 1:30 am
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fuzznutz
Since: Oct 6, 2006
Posted on: April 9, 2011 1:29 am
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Since: Sep 13, 2006
Posted on: April 7, 2011 7:55 pm
 

Vegas oddsmaker says Tiger is a sucker bet




Since: Sep 13, 2007
Posted on: April 7, 2011 2:33 pm
 

Vegas oddsmaker says Tiger is a sucker bet

I wouldn't be surprised at all to see him win by 10 strokes.
You're about a decade too late with that comment...the calendar says 2011, not 2000 or 2001.





Since: Jul 22, 2008
Posted on: April 7, 2011 1:50 pm
 

Agree---Tiger is already falling and 6 out

Was 1 under, now even after 10.  He keeps up this play and once again he'll already be out of contention come tomorrow. 



fuzznutz
Since: Oct 6, 2006
Posted on: April 7, 2011 1:14 am
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