Blog Entry

Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

Posted on: November 28, 2008 9:44 am
 

I wrote about the secrecy of the coaches poll last week. BCS guru Jerry Palm took it a step further revealing on his website (collegebcs.com) this week that there was a miscalculation in the Colley Matrix, one of the six computers used in the BCS formula.

Colley is the only one of the six who makes his formula public. Therefore Palm, and others, can check it from week to week. Far be it from me to be able to check math. I have problems helping my sixth grader with area and perimeter.

Anyway, it turns out that Colley, Palm states, forgot to input two games this season -- Idaho at Hawaii and UC-Davis at San Diego. Idaho-Hawaii had no impact on the numbers. However, UC-Davis-San Diego did matter.

Palm says that the BCS got erroneous data from Colley this week.  Hold onto your computers. It didn't matter in the BCS top 25 but that's not the point.

The point, as I stated last week, is that we have no way of knowing if any of these indexes or polls are on the up-and-up. I still haven't determined if the Harris Poll has an oversight system that would, say, catch a bogus ballot that would rank Texas 25th and Oklahoma No. 1. At least the coaches poll has some oversight built in but not much.

The computers, though, scare me more. Colley owned up to his mistake. The five other computer guys won't so much as release their formulas. With all these numbers flying around are we just supposed to assume that everything is accurate?

Just another reason to be afraid of the BCS.

Category: NCAAF
Comments

Since: Oct 11, 2006
Posted on: December 1, 2008 1:54 am
 

Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

Hey folks, please check out my blog:

It's a history of the BCS BS that should interest most everyone.

Thanks!




Since: Nov 30, 2008
Posted on: November 30, 2008 11:42 am
 

Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

If major college football has four undefeated teams, as they did this year, than why not have a four team playoff to determine the overall national champion? There should be at least one team finishing the season undefeated this year anyway and having a one-loss team play "Bama" for the title, for example, just opens the door for a one loss team winning the national championship. If Boise State or Utah or Ball U. all go undefeated and one loss Texas wins the championship, how does one put Texas atop of three undefeated programs for the season? How does anyone in major college ball validate this way of thinking? I realize the harsh reality and the scar put on Oklahoma by Boise State a couple years ago and it scares the crap out of the major money conferences. These conferences, your familiar with them, should stop feathering their own nests with the bucks, while BS-ing themselves and the public with one-loss national champions. Unbeaten teams should be given their glory and destiny for the greatness which comes from a perfect seaon and it's hard work.




Since: Sep 3, 2007
Posted on: November 30, 2008 12:09 am
 

Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

Sir: You would do yourself a favor by leaving out all the vulgarities.  It doesn't add anything to your argument and if anything detracts from it.

Sorry about that. Oh wait, it wasn't me! Neveer mind.



Since: Sep 3, 2007
Posted on: November 30, 2008 12:07 am
 

Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

The play-off is no-brainer (which is pretty indicative of the powers that be).

  • There are 11 division A1 conferences.  Each one has an automatic berth for their champion.  There are 5 at-large invitations.
  • Seeding can be done by the present BCS/revamped BCS combination of formulas.  Certainly there will be some bias to such seeding that someone won't like, but that pretty much retains the present method.
  • The main point is that ANY 1A team can in theory enter the play-offs and win the national title -- which is all the folks at Boise State, Ball State, BYU, Fresno State, Utah, Hawaii, et al are asking.
  • Will these non-BCS conference teams be patsies for the "big boys" and get blown away?  Perhaps.  But the chance exists for upsets.  And over time some parity may develop as great HS players have a greater option to stay in state for school and still be scouted/seen by the pros.

bgtaylor brings up a system I read about last year that, unfortunately, makes perfect sense and therefore stands no chance of ever being adopted. The best part of this system as described would be that it would encourage teams to play tougher and better non conference schedules to better prepare them for their conference games. Winning the conference games being the best and easiest road to the playoffs means that losing to a top notch opponent wouldn't kill your chances and beating Sacramento State by 93 points won't help you at all. Teams like Boise State that suffer from a weaker schedule because the "good" teams won't go to Boise might have a better chance at playing "better" teams. Would they win all those games? Probably not, but it would make them a better team without jeopardizing their playoff chances.




Since: Dec 2, 2006
Posted on: November 29, 2008 3:33 pm
 

Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

> Where's Bruce Willis when we need him?

Welcome to the Party, PAL!!!



Since: Apr 29, 2008
Posted on: November 29, 2008 3:02 pm
 

Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

Holy Crap... LOL.

Dude, are you getting enough sleep, sex and food?

Are you struggling with additional addictions (beyond football and old music)?

I'm here for you friend and I feeeeeeeel your pain!   ;^)




Since: Jul 5, 2007
Posted on: November 29, 2008 2:41 pm
 

Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

I would rather have a play-off system where possibly a #8 team gets screwed at #9, than a poll method where a #1 team gets screwed.



Since: Nov 7, 2006
Posted on: November 29, 2008 11:27 am
 

Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

So long as we don't have a playoff system for I-A/FBS college football, we will have to put up with insanity like this.  It's time for someone with power, political or otherwise, to seize control of college football's post-season.

There are four I-A/FBS teams that are unbeaten as of this writing, yet only two of them are likely to even make a BCS bowl game, and only one (Alabama) even has a realistic shot at playing for the BCS Title.  There is something inherently wrong with that.



Since: Jun 30, 2008
Posted on: November 29, 2008 10:56 am
 

Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

OUT-F'in-STANDING!

MORE COWBELL!!!




Since: Oct 8, 2006
Posted on: November 29, 2008 10:44 am
 

Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

How will it be a miscalculation??? Because you are a Texas fan. Sure, Texas beat Oklahoma... Oklahoma kicked the hell out of the team that beat Texas, (Texas Tech).  Look at non-conferance match-ups and try and tell me that Oklahoma doesn't deserve to be ranked ahead of Texas. The travesty would be that Oklahoma does not go to the national championship game if they win out, end of story!!


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