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Dennis Dodd

Dodds and Ends  

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Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

Posted on: November 28, 2008 9:44 am
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I wrote about the secrecy of the coaches poll last week. BCS guru Jerry Palm took it a step further revealing on his website (collegebcs.com) this week that there was a miscalculation in the Colley Matrix, one of the six computers used in the BCS formula.

Colley is the only one of the six who makes his formula public. Therefore Palm, and others, can check it from week to week. Far be it from me to be able to check math. I have problems helping my sixth grader with area and perimeter.

Anyway, it turns out that Colley, Palm states, forgot to input two games this season -- Idaho at Hawaii and UC-Davis at San Diego. Idaho-Hawaii had no impact on the numbers. However, UC-Davis-San Diego did matter.

Palm says that the BCS got erroneous data from Colley this week.  Hold onto your computers. It didn't matter in the BCS top 25 but that's not the point.

The point, as I stated last week, is that we have no way of knowing if any of these indexes or polls are on the up-and-up. I still haven't determined if the Harris Poll has an oversight system that would, say, catch a bogus ballot that would rank Texas 25th and Oklahoma No. 1. At least the coaches poll has some oversight built in but not much.

The computers, though, scare me more. Colley owned up to his mistake. The five other computer guys won't so much as release their formulas. With all these numbers flying around are we just supposed to assume that everything is accurate?

Just another reason to be afraid of the BCS.

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Category: NCAAF
Comments Add a Comment
ETMortgage
Since: Dec 24, 2006
Posted on: November 28, 2008 11:08 am
This comment has been removed.

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Dafiedla
Since: Mar 16, 2008
Posted on: November 28, 2008 11:01 am
 

Last Boyscout

The BCS is no better than the fictitional powers in The Last Boy Scout.  Money comes first.  The student-athletes come last.  And who really cares who the real champion is?  At least people talk on Monday.  Where's Bruce Willis when we need him?


chirocolt
Since: Sep 12, 2006
Posted on: November 28, 2008 10:45 am
 

(don't fear) The BCS

(don't fear) The BCS

(sung to the tune of Blue Oyster Cult's "(don't fear) The Reaper"

All the games have come
Here but now they're gone
This season don't fear the BCS
It will all work out in the end
At least we can hope it will

Come on Texas... don't fear the BCS
Oklahoma take my hand... don't fear the BCS
I hope there isn's a tie... don't fear the BCS
Sagarin is your man...

Can you bribe a computer
Can you sway Peter Wolfe
Anderson and Hester
Are together in eternity...
Anderson and Hester

40,000 men and women everyday... can find a better answer
40,000 men and women everyday... redefine the system
Another 40,000 coming everyday...why can't they see it like we do

Come on Utah... don't fear the BCS
Ball State take my hand... don't fear the BCS

Boise doesn't need a big game... don't fear the BCS
Just play on your blue turf again...

Love of money wins out
Here but now there's doubt
Oklahoma, Texas, or Texas Tech?
Alabama, Florida, or USC?
Then the door was open and John Swofford appeared
The wind blew and our questions disappeared
The curtains flew then Miles Brand appeared
Saying don't be afraid

Come on baby... and we have no fear
And we drank the Kool-Aid... then we started to fly
We looked backward and said goodbye
We had become like they are
We had taken his hand
We had become like they are

Come on baby...don't fear the BCS

Total butchery of a great song, I know, but I couldn't help it.  I got a fever, and the only prescription is more cowbell!




BMaddMan
Since: Nov 28, 2008
Posted on: November 28, 2008 10:31 am
 

Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

YOW, the dork-o-meter just went through the roof with that comment. Way to go weimerrr


SWTGRAD99
Since: Jan 17, 2007
Posted on: November 28, 2008 10:28 am
 

Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

No Really....Serious!!!  Come on man give it a break!!!  Football and Chess?  The man said it did not affect the top 25...so really who cares!!!  I think a playoff would still be better and a true National Champion would be crowned!!!


weimerrr
Since: Nov 28, 2008
Posted on: November 28, 2008 10:18 am
 

Weekend bloglist (BCS inaccuracy revealed!)

To be fair to Jeff Sagarin, one of the other computer poll guys, the Elo-Chess method which Sagarin employs is in the public domain. The method is described in Arpad Elo's Book, 'The Rating of Chess Players, Past and Present'. Well, OK, it's a published mathematical work so maybe 'public domain' is a stretch, only mathematicians would ever read it, but still, you can buy it on Amazon.com.



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