Blog Entry

Picking the Big Ten

Posted on: June 15, 2009 10:04 am
 

This might be the worst I've seen the Big Ten in 11 years.

That's as long as I've been at CBSSports.com, so 1998 seems like a reasonable benchmark. In '98, Michigan, Wisconsin and Ohio State shared the title. Michigan was coming off a national championship. Wisconsin went to the Rose Bowl that year. Ohio State went to the Sugar Bowl.

For gosh sakes, in '98 John Cooper was about to win at least 10 for the fourth consecutive year.

Now? Illinois can't decide whether it is a contender or in the middle of the pack. Bret Bielema is feeling the pressure at Wisconsin. The only new coach in the league is aptly named Hope (Danny, at Purdue). Eleven years ago the Boilermakers won their last six in row, went to the Alamo Bowl and upset Kansas State with Drew Brees.

The 2009 Boilers are coming off their worst season (4-8) in 12 years.

Iowa wants to be good again but it could use less yapping from its fans and more production on the field. And Michigan ... where have you gone Wolverines? A total meltdown in Rich Rodriguez' first season has to be rectified, like, yesterday.

Indiana and Minnesota will be at the bottom of the league, a place with which they are familiar.

The Big Ten remains the leader in BCS bowls (19) but you don't have to be told the league has lost a step in recent years. The 28 NFL draft picks each of the last two seasons ranked fifth (2008) and tied for fourth (2009) among major conferences.

The league is only 9-20 in bowls (1-6 last season) since 2005.  

Here's my best example for how average the Big Ten has become: Penn State has to replace 12 starters (the most in the league), including its entire secondary. It is a twisted ankle at quarterback away from finishing fifth. A good, not great, group of receivers have to be replaced by what might be good, not great, group of receivers.

Still, the Nittany Lions are a virtual pick-'em with Ohio State to go to the Rose Bowl.

By the way, the Rose Bowl is going to be it for the conference champ.  I don't see a national title contender in the bunch. The letters U, S and C will burn the ears of Big Ten loyalists. USC has beaten Big Ten teams by a combined 60 points the past three Januarys. The Trojans will likely be waiting in Pasadena to lay the smack down once again.

Like the Woody and Bo days, it's still a two-team league. Unlike the Woody and Bo days, there's not much national buzz.

1. Ohio State -- How do you lose Beanie Wells, Malcolm Jenkins and James Laurinaitis and get better? You don't. But there is enough left for the Bucks to win the Big Ten again. They have won at least a share of the four previous titles. Everyone seems to be jumping on the Terrelle Pryor bandwagon this season. Look, I like the kid and the athlete. I'm still not convinced he's going to make that quantum leap this season. There will be more pressure on Pryor to carry the offense with his legs if either Brandon Saine or Dan Herron can't become the big dog at tailback. Much will be learned on Sept. 12 when USC visits. Give Jim Tressel a running game, a punter and 105,000 homers and he will field-position you to death. If Tres can't pull it off in September, there's a rematch waiting in Pasadena.

2. Penn State -- It's a miracle of modern science. No, not JoePa's body, I'm talking about the Penn State staff. It has stayed together (for the most part), remained loyal and helped Joe dig out of that 2000-2004 hole. The Nittany Lions are Rose Bowl contenders for the foreseeable future. The defense keeps its snarl with the return of linebacker Sean Lee. The unit did finish in the top 10 in total defense last season. Will the D miss defensive ends Aaron Maybin and Maurice Evans? As mentioned, Daryll Clark has to stay healthy. He has enough elusiveness along with tailback Evan Royster to win the league. Ohio State comes to Happy Valley on Nov. 7.

3. Iowa -- If only Shonn Greene had returned, we might be talking about the Hawkeyes giving Ohio State and Penn State a run. With quarterback Ricky Stanzi having a year of experience and three offensive line starters returning, the Hawks will be productive but in a different way. Stanzi likely will have to make more plays himself (hint: scramble) unless sophomore Jewel Hampton or freshman Jeff Brinson replace those Greene yards.

4. Michigan State -- The Spartans are the Big Ten's flavor of the month. Coach Mark Dantonio has averaged eight wins in his first two seasons in East Lansing and the program ready to take off. Even with the loss of his two best players -- quarterback Brian Hoyer and tailback Javon Ringer -- there is plenty of talent waiting offstage. Watch true freshman tailbacks Edwin Baker and Larry Caper. Sorry Penn State, Michigan State might have the best linebackers in the league starting with junior Greg Jones, a consensus preseason all-Big Ten pick. Dantonio has the two best leg men in the league in kicker Brett Swenson and punter Aaron Bates. Iowa, Penn State and Michigan come to East Lansing. Ohio State is off the schedule.

5. Illinois -- What's your legacy going to be Juice Williams? Two years ago Illinois' quarterback guided a stunning upset at Columbus. Last season Williams and the Illini slumped. In his senior season, Juice could go out as one of Illinois' quarterback greats. Even though he led the Big Ten in passing yards, Williams threw too many interceptions (16). He will hook up often with the incredible Arrelious Benn. New offensive coordinator Mike Schultz will try to squeeze some of the old Juice out of his new quarterback. Schultz oversaw a similar offense at TCU. We'll know about the Illini before Oct. 1. They play Missouri in St. Louis and Ohio State in Columbus in September.

6. Northwestern -- The Big Ten's annually pesky Wildcats figure to be that way again. After Tressel, Pat Fitzgerald might be the league's best coach.  His team started 5-0 and came within an overtime loss to Missouri in the Alamo Bowl of winning 10 last season. There are too many holes this season to expect Northwestern to finish in the top half of the league but somebody's going to get punked by the purple in the parity-filled Big Ten.

7. Wisconsin -- Is it time to panic yet? Bielema started 21-5 in his first two seasons, then slumped to 7-6 last year. But it was the way it happened: Bielema still hasn't been able to find a serviceable quarterback. The Badgers looked lost on defense and the prospects aren't good for this season. The formula to beat Wisconsin hasn't changed: Let the tailbacks get their yards, smack the quarterback in the mouth, wait for the turnovers and control the ball against a poor-tackling defense.
 
8. Michigan -- I was at a Michigan scrimmage in April during the Final Four. Granted, you don't learn much from watching a scrimmage but it seemed to me the offense still struggled to move the ball. Rich Rod better hope that the early-enrolling Tate Forcier is the answer at quarterback. There isn't much behind him. The defense should toughen up. A bowl is a possibility but will a 5-7 season be considered progress?

9. Minnesota -- Third-year coach Tim Brewster has a new state-of-the art stadium. That won't distract fans from asking if the five-game season-ending losing streak is the beginning of the end or just a nit in Goldy's fur. Watch the combination of quarterback Adam Weber  and receiver Eric Decker.

10. Purdue -- There are spider webs in the cupboard left over from Tiller's era. Only two starters return on offense. The most experienced quarterback is fifth-year senior Joey Elliott who has played in 10 games in three seasons. Hope is looking at an 0-5 start if he can't beat Northern Illinois and Toledo early.

11. Indiana -- Kellen Lewis wasn't going to play quarterback anyway. Still, his dismissal from the team in April all but assures another down year in Bloomington. Lewis, the program's career passing touchdown leader, had been moved to receiver to make room for junior Ben Chappell. Lewis was the Hoosiers' best athlete. Without him there aren't many playmakers or much hope. Coach Bill Lynch might be on the hot seat.

Comments

Since: Sep 17, 2007
Posted on: June 17, 2009 11:52 am
 

Picking the Big Ten

coach older than santa

UofF, careful -- you may wind up with coal in your stocking this year.

Personally, I think Tebow is a great player and good kid, and wish the Gators the best this year. Q for the future: Who is replacing him, and will that person provide the outstanding leadership TT has?

And once you have more football-watching experience, you will realize that ANY team could end up at 6-6. How many fans (other than haters) predicted LSU would go 3 - 5 in conference last year, after going 19 - 5 (in conference) from 2005 - 2007?



Since: May 7, 2007
Posted on: June 17, 2009 11:46 am
 

Picking the Big Ten

You are right about Penn State. They were my wildcard in my posting because they have had very good teams that didn't get championships that they might have had a legitimate shot at. However, they were not in the Big 10 at the time. You do make good points about the Rose Bowl tie-in but I don't see the Big 10 winning that many more championships if the didn't have to play in the Rose Bowl.



Since: May 21, 2009
Posted on: June 17, 2009 11:39 am
 

Picking the Big Ten

sec teams are crooks bama is about to get slammed again - and i'll beat lsu florida and others follow!




Ok  Little 10 fan! Just b/c UF is a great team doesnt make them a cheater. Go wallow in your anger b/c you are a fan of an infrerior conference and team........Penn St sucks and will be lucky to be 6-6 this year with a coach older than santa




Since: May 14, 2008
Posted on: June 17, 2009 11:37 am
 

Picking the Big Ten

That's because southerners are Educationally Challenged. They aren't taught geography or history anymore. Yankees are from New England. Pennsylvania is a Mid-Atlantic state. As is New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland and Virginia. Some also include West Virginia in that grouping. People from Pennsylvania consider themselves as exclusively Pennsylvanians just as people from Virginia consider themselves exclusively Virginians. Neither claims any allegence or assimilation into any other larger regional group or classification.

Now for the history lesson :

The Civil War was instigated and initiated by John C. Calhoun, the Chairman of the Democratic Party at their "National" Convention in Charleston, S.C. John C. Calhoun was an avowed extreme racist and believed that no Negro should ever be granted freedomdue to his belief they were subhuman monkeys. He thus riled up the delegates with his rhetoric. Frustrated that his oratory against the Negro race would not incite fellow delegates to violence he proceeded to ply them with whiskey. He had cohorts bring the state militia cannons to the shore of the harbor to fire upon Ft. Summter. Thus, the most horrific chapter in American history was initiated by a bunch of drunken Southern Democrats. That also probably explains why they can't tell the difference between a Pennsylvanian and a "Yankee" or their sister or girlfriend, especially with the lights off.



Since: Sep 19, 2006
Posted on: June 17, 2009 11:31 am
 

Picking the Big Ten

I love how this "neutral" (by the way we have a contract with the SEC), website always has good things to say about the Big-10.  There seems to be this eternal struggle between these two conferences.  When in reality neither is much superior than any other.  Look at Michigan's dominance of the SEC, and yet Michigan is not listed as one of the " top tier" teams in this conference.  This blind distain for the Big-10 is silly.  They may have lost the last two championships to the SEC, but beyond that they have held their own....top to bottom.



Since: Nov 28, 2006
Posted on: June 17, 2009 11:26 am
 

Picking the Big Ten

That 9-20 record is a road record for the Big Ten and a home game for the teams you play.  Spin that, LSU plays in their own state every year, jesus christ what the hell kinda of advantage is that.  Home field possibly?




Since: Sep 17, 2007
Posted on: June 17, 2009 11:12 am
 

Picking the Big Ten

Reminder to State Penn:

(1) Joe is 23 - 7 against S&itt.

(2) Series total, Penn State is 50-42-4 against PU.

(3) 48-14!!

Keep on consoling yourself with Pitt's 12-0 win in 2000. That memory will have to sustain you for a long, long time, as the Pansies are no longer relevant to major college football. And will fall further now that Wanny can't recruit in the WPIAL anymore.

Send us another post from Loserville, State Penn.




Since: Jan 9, 2007
Posted on: June 17, 2009 10:44 am
 

Picking the Big Ten

State Penn is just mad because Wanny's wall around the WPIAL has fallen down.  2 of the best lineman in Pittsburgh, one who's dad played at Pitt and the other who's dad is a tennis coach at Pitt, both chose PSU over Pitt.  That's sad, these kids grew up huge Pitt fans, had connections to the university, and still when comparing Penn State and Pitt it was a no-brainer for them.  Good luck in the International Bowl this year.  I hear Toronto is beautiful in January.



Since: Sep 25, 2007
Posted on: June 17, 2009 10:35 am
 

Picking the Big Ten

Strive to be like Tx, USC, and Florida and you ask why?  Speed...Speed...Speed. All I know is that Michigan hasnt been in the picture except for 07 when Florida won it all, and they absolutely destroyed an OSU team that beat Mich. I give you credit for beating florida in 08 with tim tebow or whatever, but I think there were a few teams that did hell even Kentucky had a chance to beat them,  and it was lloyd carrs last game or whatever. I mean the tradition minus Oklahoma and USC is greater than those programs, but all im trying to say is that I think michigans AD is trying to get a system to attract that speed and the kind of offense that kids want to play today. look at all recent national title winners. Im sure they were all teams that liked to grind it out and play power I football. Im sorry to say that fast defense, and big strike  high scoring offenses get it done, and the proof is in the champions. This is not a knock on michigan football I always respected them, just think you should give him time before you run him out. Im a UK fan and we normally suck, but Rich brooks has made us atleast respectable in the toughest conference, all because he was giventime to do it. Rich Rod is a proven winner, so Ihink UM should give him time



Since: Sep 4, 2006
Posted on: June 17, 2009 4:21 am
 

Wrong

Bucks will be vastly improved...There not obligated to hand the ball to a tailback 25 times a game... where 8 men are waiting for him at the line of scrimage. This will be a much more dynamic offense than recently...

Oh and that little issue of sheding the biggest bust in CFB history...Alex Boone and his gang will increase the line play..
The recieving core will be much more talented than the departees... They may be young but they have playmakers to burn..


If you believe that Terrelle Pryor will win with his legs your missing the boat to .. This kid will be night and day from last season... He'll pass first run when they give it to him.. His passing game will set the defense back to allow Herron and mainly Saine to excel...

The myth concerning this defense is that they lost a lot..This group is filled with players that seen significant time last season.. Larinitus was a product of the system..The next star will emerge... The defensive front is nothing short of loaded ..which will take pressure off the young LB's untill they settle.. The DB's are senior heavy..with great depth

 Does this guy do any research on these teams or wing when throwing these peices togeather...I assume its the latter..  As fror the Nifty lions ..Their one year of falling togeather has ended.. See ya in 5 to 7 years


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